Find a TenderOpen for tender Tender notice
Published 14 Oct 2026, 15:54 BST

Official UK procurement notice

Care Package 425707 · UK public procurement notice

Authority: Cheshire West and Chester Council (Local council)

ServicesBelow threshold - open competitionBelow thresholdLight touch regimeSME suitableVCSE suitable
Published estimate£300,000≈ £73k / year · £300,000 inc. VAT
Submission deadline 29 Oct 202610:00 GMT · 14d 6h left
Contract term 4 yrs 1 moends 31 Dec 2030 · up to 31 Dec 2033 with extensions · starts 15 Dec 2026

What is being bought

Published requirement description

complex care outside of Cheshire West and Chester

Residential

CPV: Health and social work services

The lotProcurement structure

single lot · value published
Lot #1Renewal 4 yrs 1 moSMEVCSEPublished value£300,000
Contract period: 15 Dec 2026 – 31 Dec 2030 (4 yrs 1 mo) · up to 31 Dec 2033 with extensionsValue: £300,000 exc. VAT · £300,000 inc. VAT
Delivery: North East, North West, Yorkshire & Humber, East Midlands, West Midlands, East of England, London, South East, South WestEligibility: SME eligibleVCSE eligibleTurnover guideline: ~£148,173/yr≈ 2× annual value
Extensions: depending on successful care of client

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

What it takes to win
i

How this buyer will score bids.

The evaluation criteria and weights exactly as published on the notice, grouped by family (price, quality, social value and so on).

Evaluation split and conditions of participation as published; the tender pack may add more
How bids are scored

Lot awarding rule: initial shortlisting stage based on acceptable pricing and answers to quality questions. Interview for shortlist applicants leading to award. Note we may not award if there are no suitable applicants

No conditions of participation were published on the notice; check the tender documents.

What this means for your bid
  • Turnover usually expected at this size: about £148,173 (twice the annual value).

Turnover is an indicative market norm (≈2× annual value), not a published condition.

Competition analysis · published record, not a forecast of who will bid

How Cheshire West and Chester Council buys Health and social work services (CPV 85), and who usually turns up

Cheshire West and Chester Council’s own published record, next to the published market for the same work. Frameworks and DPS are kept out: they attract a different number of bids. Whole-market view: Health and social work services (CPV 85) →

1

How the contest usually goes

Winner shares use published awards; bid and price charts use contested lots.

Question for the bid
This buyerCheshire West and Chester Council · division 85
The marketHealth and social work services (CPV 85) · North East England
What to do with it
How often do SMEs win?
i

How often small and medium firms win.

Share of awards where the winner’s size is known.

The counts under this question show how many awards have a known supplier size.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 6 of 11 known-size awards · market: division 85 · North East England, n=1,036
55%40%

Small firms have won here. Neither number says whether you qualify; it describes who has been winning.

How often do local suppliers win?
i

How often local firms win similar work.

Winners with a registered address in the delivery region, out of awards with a known address.

Here, local means registered in North East England.

A local branch does not count if the registered address is elsewhere.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 13 of 18 known-location awards · market: division 85 · North East England, n=2,725
72%73%

Most of this buyer’s recorded winners are registered in North East England.

How long to a decision?
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the deadline to the first award notice, on competitions that published both dates.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 6 decided notices · market: division 85 · North East England, n=112
54 days41 days

Half of these awards were announced within 54 days of the bid deadline.

How often single-bid or direct?
i

How often work is awarded with no recorded rival.

Direct awards and tenders where every published lot count shows one bid.

Both shares are minimums: some awards have no bid count.

Thin markets produce this too; it is not proof of a tailored specification.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: at least 3 of 12 procurements with awards had no recorded rival · market: division 85 · North East England, n=1,951
25%85%

Direct awards or one recorded bid are common here. Check the route before spending time on a bid.

How many bids did past lots attract?

i

How many bids past lots received.

Each colour is a bid-count range. Only competed lots with a published count are included.

Past bids do not predict this tender.

Last 36 months.

This buyer11 lots with bid counts · broad CPV 85
0% had one bid
The market227 lots with bid counts · division 85 · North East England
24% had one bid
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
1 bid0% / 24%
Buyer: 0 of 11 lots with published bid counts. Market: 55 of 227 lots with published bid counts.
2–39% / 35%
Buyer: 1 of 11 lots with published bid counts. Market: 80 of 227 lots with published bid counts.
4–636% / 20%
Buyer: 4 of 11 lots with published bid counts. Market: 45 of 227 lots with published bid counts.
7+55% / 21%
Buyer: 6 of 11 lots with published bid counts. Market: 47 of 227 lots with published bid counts.

How did awards compare with estimates?

i

Where winning prices landed against estimates.

Each colour shows awards below, close to or above the published estimate, one lot at a time.

Past prices are a guide, not a bid price.

Last 36 months.

This buyer9 lots with estimate and award · broad CPV 85
0% below estimate
The market138 lots with estimate and award · division 85 · North East England
34% below estimate
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
Below estimate0% / 34%
Buyer: 0 of 9 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 47 of 138 lots with an estimate and award.
Within ±2%89% / 60%
Buyer: 8 of 9 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 83 of 138 lots with an estimate and award.
Above estimate11% / 6%
Buyer: 1 of 9 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 8 of 138 lots with an estimate and award.
2

Assess each lot
i

What past awards tell you about each lot.

See the forecast, this buyer’s earlier suppliers and firms with relevant wins.

No supplier is confirmed as a bidder.

Open a lot for its forecast, this buyer’s previous supplier and possible competitors, from published award history, not a bid list

Lot #149 monthsSME suitablePublished estimate£300k
Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

6expected bids3% single-bid risk
forecast from 1,664 past contests
Forecast chances for this lot
1 bid3%
Chance this lot gets 1 bid: 3%. This is a forecast.
2–39%
Chance this lot gets 2–3: 9%. This is a forecast.
4–654%
Chance this lot gets 4–6: 54%. This is a forecast.
7+34%
Chance this lot gets 7+: 34%. This is a forecast.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

Based on 140 comparable awards. Each lot reflects its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

£300kLevel with estimate
140 comparable awards
Forecast compared with the buyer’s estimate
Middle 50%£284k–£300k
Half of likely prices fall between £284,219 and £300,000.
Estimate£300k
The buyer published an estimate of £300,000 for this lot.
A 43% chance the award lands exactly on the estimate.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

No earlier contract of this buyer matches this lot on the published record.

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

SupplierWon in this categoryLive contractsAward vs estimate
12 wins in North East England9 panel places
£1.1bn18 awards in 36m · last this month3 live · £2.1m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=3
14 wins in North East England5 panel places
£1.1bn21 awards in 36m · last this month3 live · £477k
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

no comparable pairs
19 wins in North East England13 panel places
£453m25 awards in 36m · last this month13 live · £352m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

5% below n=9
26 wins in North East England5 panel places
£305m281 awards in 36m · last 1 months ago15 live · £3.9m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

no comparable pairs
24 wins in North East England1 panel places
£54m101 awards in 36m · last this month3 live · £22m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

no comparable pairs
About this data
  • Source. Official UK public procurement notices (Find a Tender), reused under the Open Government Licence v3.0. New notices arrive through the day; the figures are rebuilt nightly.
  • Two views, kept apart. The authority’s own track record and the wider market for the same kind of work sit side by side and are never mixed. Where the local picture is too thin, a figure widens to a broader market and says which one it used.
  • Forecasts are labelled. The price forecast and its range, possible competitors and the match score are our estimates from past awards: not published facts, not win chances and not price advice. Official notices do not say who is bidding.
  • Every figure shows what it rests on. Not every notice publishes a bid count, a value or a delivery region, so each figure carries the number of records behind it, and one built on few records is marked as such. The on a figure explains it; the counting rules are in the methodology. Spotted something wrong? Tell us.

Procedure terms & legal framework

From the official record
Procedure method
Below threshold - open competition
Legal basis
UKPGA · 2023/54 Procurement Act 2023
Procurement category
Services
Notice status
Open for tender
Procurement threshold
Below threshold
Regulatory regime
Light touch regime
Commercial structure
Stand-alone contract (no framework)
Competition type
Competitive procedure
GPA / WTO covered
Unspecified in notice
Recurring procurement
Unspecified in notice
First published
14 Oct 2026, 15:54 BST
Last source update
14 Oct 2026, 15:54 BST
Authority reference
DN830355
FTS notice number
2026/S 000-097159
Latest notice
Tender notice (UK4)
Classification (CPV)
Health and social work services
Delivery area
North East (UKC)North West (UKD)Yorkshire & Humber (UKE)East Midlands (UKF)West Midlands (UKG)East of England (UKH)London (UKI)South East (UKJ)
+1 moreSouth West (UKK)
Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-0787de Find a Tender

How to participate & submission route

Official notice Submit via portal
Submission portal named on this notice: portal not identified
Electronic submission allowed
Requests to participate (first stage)
—
Tender submission deadline
29 Oct 2026, 10:00 GMT
Clarification deadline
—
Submission channel
Official e-sourcing portal
Electronic submission
Allowed
Detailed submission instructions & authority contactsFrom official release

documents and full description to be found www.the-chest.org ↗

DN830355

Published estimate £300,000 excludes VAT (£300,000 including VAT).

Timeline

14 Oct 2026 → 15 Dec 2026 · 3 dates
  1. Tender notice published1 day ago
    14 Oct 2026, 15:54 BST
  2. Today
    15 Oct 2026
  3. Submission deadlinein 14 days
    29 Oct 2026, 10:00 GMT
  4. Contract startsin 61 days
    15 Dec 2026

Notice history

1 event · 1 release on Find a Tender
  1. Tender notice published
    14 Oct 2026, 15:54 BST
    UK4

Commercial outcome & contract awards

Nothing awarded yet
Awards (0)
No award published
Contracts (0)
No contract published
Bid statistics
No aggregate bid statistics published

Contracting authority & participating public bodies

Cheshire West and Chester Council

Contracting authorityPublic authority - sub-central government GB-PPON: PCJB-2814-BHZP The Portal, Wellington Road, Ellesmere Port, North West, CH65 0BAContact email

Official documents & specifications (1)

Official links; attachments are not copied

Notices published for this procedure

  • Tender notice tenderTender noticeUK4Tender notice on Find a Tender