Find a TenderDirect award proposedPreliminary market engagement notice
Published 5 Aug 2025, 10:22 BST

Official UK procurement notice

Project TELUM - provision of aerobatic capable, light powered training aircraft, Qualified Flying Instructors, and associated support services to enable ground and flying training capability, Air Experience Flying, Flying Grading and Streaming.

Authority: Ministry of Defence (Central government)

ServicesDirect awardAbove thresholdSME suitable
Planned pipeline value£336,000,000pipeline notice, not a live tender
Award expected 1 Oct 2026direct award proposed, no call for competition
Contract term 10 yrsends 31 Mar 2040 · up to 31 Mar 2045 with extensions · starts 1 Apr 2030

What is being bought

Published requirement description

Ground and flying training capability is required for University Air Squadrons, Air Experience Flying for MOD sponsored cadets, Flying Grading for the Army and Flying Grading and Streaming for the Royal Navy.

Capability is required to inspire and attract young people to a career in the RAF to include ground training, powered air experience and flying training, whilst simultaneously providing a means to enable non-established, critical Defence tasks and Pan-Defence flying grading and streaming activity, using a suitably capable light flying training aircraft supported by robust core services. Support services include aircraft engineering and other supporting services at permanent sites accross the UK.

CPV: Engineering services · Flying-school services · Ground flying trainer · Military aircrafts

The lotProcurement structure

single lot · no lot value published
Lot #1PlannedRenewal 10 yrsSME
Contract period: 1 Apr 2030 – 31 Mar 2040 (10 yrs) · up to 31 Mar 2045 with extensions
Delivery: UKEligibility: SME eligible
Extensions: Extension options published

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

Pipeline intelligence · planning stage: how this market runs before the tender is published

How Ministry of Defence buys Aircraft or spacecraft equipment, trainers, simulators and associated parts (CPV 3474), and who usually turns up

Ministry of Defence’s own published record, next to the published market for the same work. Frameworks and DPS are kept out: they attract a different number of bids. Whole-market view: Aircraft or spacecraft equipment, trainers, simulators and associated parts (CPV 3474) →

1

How the contest usually goes

Winner shares use published awards; bid and price charts use contested lots.

Question for the bid
This buyerMinistry of Defence · division 34
What to do with it
How often do SMEs win?
i

How often small and medium firms win.

Share of awards where the winner’s size is known.

The counts under this question show how many awards have a known supplier size.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 13 of 22 known-size awards · market: no supplier sizes published
59%—

Small firms have won here. Neither number says whether you qualify; it describes who has been winning.

How often do local suppliers win?
i

How often local firms win similar work.

Winners with a registered address in the delivery region, out of awards with a known address.

A local branch does not count if the registered address is elsewhere.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 0 of 3 known-location awards · market: no winner locations published
0 of 3—

Most of this buyer’s recorded winners are registered outside the delivery region.

How long to a decision?
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the deadline to the first award notice, on competitions that published both dates.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 8 decided notices · market: no decision dates published
24 days—

Half of these awards were announced within 24 days of the bid deadline.

How often single-bid or direct?
i

How often work is awarded with no recorded rival.

Direct awards and tenders where every published lot count shows one bid.

The buyer’s share is a minimum: some awards have no bid count.

Thin markets produce this too; it is not proof of a tailored specification.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: at least 21 of 43 procurements with awards had no recorded rival · market: no bid counts or routes published
49%—

Direct awards or one recorded bid are common here. Check the route before spending time on a bid.

How many bids did past lots attract?

i

How many bids past lots received.

Each colour is a bid-count range. Only competed lots with a published count are included.

Past bids do not predict this tender.

Last 36 months.

This buyer16 lots with bid counts · broad CPV 34
25% had one bid
The marketNo bid counts published
Buyer · select a colour for counts
1 bid25%
Buyer: 4 of 16 lots with published bid counts.
2–350%
Buyer: 8 of 16 lots with published bid counts.
4–625%
Buyer: 4 of 16 lots with published bid counts.
7+0%
Buyer: 0 of 16 lots with published bid counts.

How did awards compare with estimates?

i

Where winning prices landed against estimates.

Each colour shows awards below, close to or above the published estimate, one lot at a time.

Past prices are a guide, not a bid price.

Last 36 months.

This buyer92 lots with estimate and award · all categories
61% below estimate
The marketNo estimate-and-award pairs published
Buyer · select a colour for counts
Below estimate61%
Buyer: 56 of 92 lots with an estimate and award.
Within ±2%22%
Buyer: 20 of 92 lots with an estimate and award.
Above estimate17%
Buyer: 16 of 92 lots with an estimate and award.
2

Assess each lot
i

What past awards tell you about each lot.

See the forecast, this buyer’s earlier suppliers and firms with relevant wins.

No supplier is confirmed as a bidder.

Open a lot for its forecast, this buyer’s previous supplier and possible competitors, from published award history, not a bid list

Lot #1CPV 3474120 monthsSME suitablePublished estimate£336m
Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative. The bar shows 351 past lots.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

—No model forecast yet24% chance of a single bid
Past bids on 351 similar lots
1 bid24%
83 of 351 similar past lots received 1 bid (24%).
2–345%
157 of 351 similar past lots received 2–3 (45%).
4–625%
89 of 351 similar past lots received 4–6 (25%).
7+6%
22 of 351 similar past lots received 7+ (6%).
Comparable past lots usually drew 3 bids.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

No comparable awards for this lot yet.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

—No model forecast yet
No comparable awards on record for this lot’s category yet. The published estimate is £336m, and the forecast stays empty until the market has a record to read.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

No earlier contract of this buyer matches this lot on the published record.

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

Candidate suppliers for this notice have not been worked out yet, so this is not a verdict that nobody fits.

About this data
  • Source. Official UK public procurement notices (Find a Tender), reused under the Open Government Licence v3.0. New notices arrive through the day; the figures are rebuilt nightly.
  • Two views, kept apart. The authority’s own track record and the wider market for the same kind of work sit side by side and are never mixed. Where the local picture is too thin, a figure widens to a broader market and says which one it used.
  • Forecasts are labelled. The price forecast and its range, possible competitors and the earlier-work matches are our estimates from past awards: not published facts, not win chances and not price advice. Official notices do not say who is bidding.
  • Every figure shows what it rests on. Not every notice publishes a bid count, a value or a delivery region, so each figure carries the number of records behind it, and one built on few records is marked as such. The on a figure explains it; the counting rules are in the methodology. Spotted something wrong? Tell us.

Procedure terms & legal framework

From the official record
Procedure method
Direct award
Legal basis
UKPGA · 2023/54 Procurement Act 2023
Procurement category
Services
Notice status
Direct award proposed
Procurement threshold
Above threshold (FTS publication)
Regulatory regime
Standard
Commercial structure
Stand-alone contract (no framework)
Competition type
Direct award (no call for competition)
GPA / WTO covered
Unspecified in notice
Recurring procurement
Unspecified in notice
First published
5 Aug 2025, 10:22 BST
Last source update
15 Sept 2025, 17:25 BST
Authority reference
61965994
FTS notice number
2025/S 000-056739
Latest notice
Preliminary market engagement notice (UK2)
Classification (CPV)
Engineering servicesFlying-school servicesGround flying trainerMilitary aircrafts
Delivery area
UK
Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-05813b Find a Tender

How it was run

Official notice
Submission deadline
—

Timeline

5 Aug 2025 → 1 Apr 2030 · 5 dates
  1. Planning notice published
    5 Aug 2025, 10:22 BST
  2. Latest notice published
    15 Sept 2025, 17:25 BST
  3. Market engagement373 days ago
    14 Oct 2025, 23:59 BST

    We are pleased to be announcing virtual supplier 1-2-1 Pre-Market Engagement days for Project TELUM on 9th, 10th, 13th and 14th October 2025 held on Microsoft Teams. The sessions will focus on a variety of topics to inform the potential solution and requirements. The sessions will last for approximately 90 minutes and comprise:

    • MoD / supplier introductions
    • Rationale and purpose of engagement
    • Advise the Aerospace/Defence Industry that MoD is reviewing the options for the new project TELUM procurement.
    • Exploration of current and future capabilities
    • Supplier presentation
    • Q&A session

    In order to register interest and have the opportunity to attend, you will be required to register your details via email to [email protected] by 17:00 on 06 October 2025 and include the following as part of your response:

    • Full Name
    • Company Name
    • Names, role names and Email addresses of up to four attendees
    • An indication of your top 3 dates and times for the 1-2-1 Pre-market engagement sessions in order of preference from the detail in the RFI published on the Defence Sourcing Portal here contracts.mod.uk/esop/guest/go/opport… ↗

    We encourage and support SME engagement so please identify yourself as an SME when submitting your request. SMEs that can demonstrate participations as part of a consortium or a key subcontractor in a Contract will be invited to the event.

    An agenda and timings for the event are included in the RFI document. Registration for the event will close on 06 October 2025 at 1700.

  4. Tender notice expected21 days ago
    1 Oct 2026, 23:59 BST
  5. Today
    22 Oct 2026
  6. Contract starts
    1 Apr 2030, 00:00 BST

Notice history

3 events · 3 releases on Find a Tender · since 5 Aug 2025
  1. Pipeline notice published
    5 Aug 2025, 10:22 BST
    UK1
  2. Pipeline notice published
    6 Aug 2025, 12:12 BST
    UK1
  3. Preliminary market engagement notice published
    15 Sept 2025, 17:25 BST
    UK2
Published amendments (1)

Updated contact details

Contracting authority & participating public bodies

Ministry of Defence

Contracting authorityPublic authority - central government GB-PPON: PHVX-4316-ZVGZ Headquarters Air Command, High Wycombe, South East, HP14 4UEContact name, email, phone

Official documents & specifications (3)

Official links; attachments are not copied

Notices published for this procedure

  • Preliminary market engagement notice planningPreliminary market engagement noticeUK2Preliminary market engagement notice on Find a Tender
  • Pipeline notice planningPipeline noticeUK1Pipeline notice on Find a Tender
  • Pipeline notice planningPipeline noticeUK1Pipeline notice on Find a Tender