Find a TenderOpen for tender Tender notice
Published 11 May 2026, 13:15 BST

Official UK procurement notice

Stop Smoking and Falls Prevention Strength & Balance Services

Authority: Lincolnshire County Council (Local council)

2 lotsServicesOpen procedureAbove thresholdLight touch regimeSME suitableVCSE suitable
Published estimate£17,761,476total for 2 lots · £21,313,771 inc. VAT · 3 value updates
Submission deadline 2 Nov 202612:00 GMT · 13d 0h left
Clarification cut-off 26 Oct 202612:00 GMT · questions to the authority
Contract term 3 yrsends 31 Mar 2030 · up to 31 Mar 2033 with extensions · starts 1 Apr 2027

What is being bought2 lots · detail below

Published requirement description

Lincolnshire County Council is initiating a tender opportunity for a new Stop Smoking Service and a Falls Prevention Strength and Balance Service. These two services will be procured as part of a single lotted tender process, which will result in the award of two separate contracts.

Lot 1 – Stop Smoking Service: Delivery of a countywide Stop Smoking Service across Lincolnshire, providing evidence-based smoking cessation support that aligns with national policy objectives, Department of Health and Social Care funding requirements and local public health priorities. Funded through the consolidated and ringfenced smoking cessation grant, the service will offer behavioural support, access to cessation aids, digital interventions and targeted initiatives to help residents successfully quit smoking tobacco. The service will place a strong emphasis on reducing smoking-related health inequalities, increasing access for priority and underserved populations, and working collaboratively with health and community partners to maximise referrals and engagement. The service will include the delivery of a 'Swap to Stop' programme, using designated funding as part of the overall contract value to supporting smokers to move away from tobacco use through alternative nicotine products where appropriate.

Lot 2 - Falls Prevention Strength and Balance Service: Delivery of a countywide Falls Prevention Strength and Balance Service across Lincolnshire, providing evidence-based interventions to help reduce falls risk, maintain independence and improve the health and wellbeing of older residents. The service will primarily support people aged 65 and over who have been identified as being at risk of falls, helping them to remain active, confident and independent for longer. It will deliver structured Falls Management Exercise (FaME) programmes led by appropriately qualified instructors, alongside home-based exercise support, referral management, pathway coordination and signposting to wider health, wellbeing and community services. A key focus of the service will be to improve physical strength, balance and mobility, reducing the likelihood and impact of falls and supporting individuals to maintain their quality of life.

The procurement will be undertaken using the Competitive Process pursuant to Regulation 11 of the Health Care Services (Provider Selection Regime) Regulations 2023. The tender opportunity will be published on 2 October 2026, with a tender submission deadline of 2 November 2026 at 12:00 noon.

The commencement date for the new contracts will be 1st April 2027 and an initial contract period of 3 years, with options to extend the contracts by a further period or periods of up to a maximum of 36 months.

CPV: Health services

Lots and requirements (2)Procurement structure

2 lots · all with a published value (£17,761,476 together) · evaluation weights differ by lot
Lot #1Stop Smoking ServiceRenewal 3 yrsSMEVCSEPublished value£16,801,476

This lot is for the delivery of a countywide Stop Smoking Service across Lincolnshire, providing evidence-based smoking cessation support that aligns with national policy objectives, Department of Health and Social Care funding requirements and local public health priorities. Funded through the consolidated and ringfenced smoking cessation grant, the service will offer behavioural support, access to cessation aids, digital interventions and targeted initiatives to help residents successfully quit smoking tobacco. The service will place a strong emphasis on reducing smoking-related health inequalities, increasing access for priority and underserved populations, and working collaboratively with health and community partners to maximise referrals and engagement. The service will also include a 'Swap to Stop' programme, with designated funding as part of the wider contract value, to support smokers to move away from tobacco use through alternative nicotine products where appropriate.

Contract period: 1 Apr 2027 – 31 Mar 2030 (3 yrs) · up to 31 Mar 2033 with extensionsValue: £16,801,476 exc. VAT · £20,161,771 inc. VAT
Delivery: East MidlandsEligibility: SME eligibleVCSE eligibleTurnover guideline: ~£11,191,190/yr≈ 2× annual value
Extensions: The Council reserves the right to extend for up to a further three years, subject to performance and funding availability.Authority reference: Lot 1

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

Lot #2Falls Prevention Strength & Balance ProgrammeRenewal 3 yrsSMEVCSEPublished value£960,000

This Lot is for the delivery of a countywide Falls Prevention Strength and Balance Service across Lincolnshire, providing evidence-based interventions to help reduce falls risk, maintain independence and improve the health and wellbeing of older residents. The service will primarily support people aged 65 and over who have been identified as being at risk of falls, helping them to remain active, confident and independent for longer.

The service will deliver structured Falls Management Exercise (FaME) programmes led by appropriately qualified instructors, alongside home-based exercise support, referral management, pathway coordination and signposting to wider health, wellbeing and community services. A key focus of the service will be to improve physical strength, balance and mobility, reducing the likelihood and impact of falls and supporting individuals to maintain their quality of life

Contract period: 1 Apr 2027 – 31 Mar 2030 (3 yrs) · up to 31 Mar 2033 with extensionsValue: £960,000 exc. VAT · £1,152,000 inc. VAT
Delivery: East MidlandsEligibility: SME eligibleVCSE eligibleTurnover guideline: ~£639,440/yr≈ 2× annual value
Extensions: The Council reserves the right to extend for up to a further three years, subject to performance and funding availability.

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

What it takes to win
i

How this buyer will score bids.

The evaluation criteria and weights exactly as published on the notice, grouped by family (price, quality, social value and so on).

Evaluation split and conditions of participation as published; the tender pack may add more
How bids are scored

Lots publish different evaluation splits; there is no single procedure weighting.

Lot distribution rule: • If a tender is submitted for both Lots, Suppliers will be required to confirm whether they are willing to accept either or both lots in isolation, or both lots together. • If a tender is submitted for both Lots, Suppliers are asked to identify, as part of their tender response for each Lot, any differences in the proposal, including both service delivery and pricing approaches, if they are successful in both Lots. • Any such differentiated proposals, which are conditional on success in both Lots, will be evaluated separately, alongside the Supplier’s proposal for each Lot in isolation, based on the same award criteria. • This will result in a supplier receiving two overall scores for each Lot, one for the tender for the Lot in isolation, and one for the Lot proposal which applies if successful in both Lots.

No conditions of participation were published on the notice; check the tender documents.

What this means for your bid
  • Price carries 20 points on every lot: a 10% discount moves about 2 points.
  • Turnover usually expected: about £639,440 – ~£11,191,190 per lot (twice each lot's annual value).

Price arithmetic assumes straight proportional scoring; the tender pack may use another formula. Turnover is an indicative market norm (≈2× annual value), not a published condition.

Competition analysis · published record, not a forecast of who will bid

How Lincolnshire County Council buys Health services (CPV 8510), and who usually turns up

Lincolnshire County Council’s own published record, next to the published market for the same work. Frameworks and DPS are kept out: they attract a different number of bids. Whole-market view: Health services (CPV 8510) →

1

How the contest usually goes

Winner shares use published awards; bid and price charts use contested lots.

Question for the bid
This buyerLincolnshire County Council · division 85
The marketHealth services (CPV 8510) · East Midlands
What to do with it
How often do SMEs win?
i

How often small and medium firms win.

Share of awards where the winner’s size is known.

The counts under this question show how many awards have a known supplier size.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 89 of 100 known-size awards · market: CPV 8510 · East Midlands, n=771
89%55%

Small firms have won here. Neither number says whether you qualify; it describes who has been winning.

How often do local suppliers win?
i

How often local firms win similar work.

Winners with a registered address in the delivery region, out of awards with a known address.

Here, local means registered in East Midlands.

A local branch does not count if the registered address is elsewhere.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 102 of 110 known-location awards · market: CPV 8510 · East Midlands, n=1,039
93%68%

Most of this buyer’s recorded winners are registered in East Midlands.

How long to a decision?
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the deadline to the first award notice, on competitions that published both dates.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 5 decided notices · market: CPV 8510 · East Midlands, n=11
42 days57 days

Half of these awards were announced within 42 days of the bid deadline.

How often single-bid or direct?
i

How often work is awarded with no recorded rival.

Direct awards and tenders where every published lot count shows one bid.

Both shares are minimums: some awards have no bid count.

Thin markets produce this too; it is not proof of a tailored specification.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: at least 11 of 27 procurements with awards had no recorded rival · market: CPV 8510 · East Midlands, n=552
41%84%

Direct awards or one recorded bid are common here. Check the route before spending time on a bid.

How many bids did past lots attract?

i

How many bids past lots received.

Each colour is a bid-count range. Only competed lots with a published count are included.

Past bids do not predict this tender.

Last 36 months.

This buyer19 lots with bid counts · broad CPV 85
16% had one bid
The market49 lots with bid counts · CPV 8510 · East Midlands
12% had one bid
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
1 bid16% / 12%
Buyer: 3 of 19 lots with published bid counts. Market: 6 of 49 lots with published bid counts.
2–337% / 43%
Buyer: 7 of 19 lots with published bid counts. Market: 21 of 49 lots with published bid counts.
4–611% / 22%
Buyer: 2 of 19 lots with published bid counts. Market: 11 of 49 lots with published bid counts.
7+37% / 22%
Buyer: 7 of 19 lots with published bid counts. Market: 11 of 49 lots with published bid counts.

How did awards compare with estimates?

i

Where winning prices landed against estimates.

Each colour shows awards below, close to or above the published estimate, one lot at a time.

Past prices are a guide, not a bid price.

Last 36 months.

This buyer10 lots with estimate and award · broad CPV 85
20% below estimate
The market35 lots with estimate and award · CPV 8510 · East Midlands
43% below estimate
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
Below estimate20% / 43%
Buyer: 2 of 10 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 15 of 35 lots with an estimate and award.
Within ±2%80% / 49%
Buyer: 8 of 10 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 17 of 35 lots with an estimate and award.
Above estimate0% / 9%
Buyer: 0 of 10 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 3 of 35 lots with an estimate and award.
2

Assess each lot
i

What past awards tell you about each lot.

See the forecast, this buyer’s earlier suppliers and firms with relevant wins.

No supplier is confirmed as a bidder.

Open a lot for its forecast, this buyer’s previous supplier and possible competitors, from published award history, not a bid list

Lot #1Stop Smoking ServiceCPV 8510000036 monthsSME suitablePublished estimate£17m
Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

4expected bids14% single-bid risk
forecast from 482 past contests
Forecast chances for this lot
1 bid14%
Chance this lot gets 1 bid: 14%. This is a forecast.
2–339%
Chance this lot gets 2–3: 39%. This is a forecast.
4–615%
Chance this lot gets 4–6: 15%. This is a forecast.
7+32%
Chance this lot gets 7+: 32%. This is a forecast.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

Based on 30 comparable awards. Each lot reflects its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

£17mLevel with estimate
30 comparable awards
Forecast compared with the buyer’s estimate
Middle 50%£15m–£17m
Half of likely prices fall between £15,240,816 and £16,801,476.
Estimate£17m
The buyer published an estimate of £16,801,476 for this lot.
A 46% chance the award lands exactly on the estimate.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

SupplierThis buyer’s earlier contractLotAward valueWhy listed
Thrive Tribe LtdWorked for this buyerSmoke Free Generation Servicesnotice published Sept 2026——Similar wording and category

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

SupplierWon in this categoryLive contractsAward vs estimate
2 wins in East Midlands7 panel places
£690m36 awards in 36m · last 2 months ago9 live · £270m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=16
3 wins in East Midlands2 panel places
£40m22 awards in 36m · last 1 months ago5 live · £6.7m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=16
6 wins in East Midlands6 panel places
£30m18 awards in 36m · last 1 months ago6 live · £52m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=5
4 wins in East Midlands2 panel places
£2.1m18 awards in 36m · last 9 months agoNone on file40% below n=1
1 win in East Midlands1 panel places
2 awards in 36m · last 18 months ago2 live · £2
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

no comparable pairs
Lot #2Falls Prevention Strength & Balance ProgrammeCPV 8510000036 monthsSME suitablePublished estimate£960k
Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

3expected bids25% single-bid risk
forecast from 482 past contests
Forecast chances for this lot
1 bid25%
Chance this lot gets 1 bid: 25%. This is a forecast.
2–348%
Chance this lot gets 2–3: 48%. This is a forecast.
4–612%
Chance this lot gets 4–6: 12%. This is a forecast.
7+16%
Chance this lot gets 7+: 16%. This is a forecast.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

Based on 30 comparable awards. Each lot reflects its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

£960kLevel with estimate
30 comparable awards
Forecast compared with the buyer’s estimate
Middle 50%£904k–£960k
Half of likely prices fall between £903,661 and £960,000.
Estimate£960k
The buyer published an estimate of £960,000 for this lot.
A 47% chance the award lands exactly on the estimate.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

SupplierThis buyer’s earlier contractLotAward valueWhy listed
Thrive Tribe LtdWorked for this buyerIntegrated Lifestyle Support Servicenotice published Sept 2026——Similar wording and category
Turning Point Services LtdWorked for this buyerSubstance Misuse Families and Affected Others Support Servicesnotice published May 2025——Similar wording and category

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

SupplierWon in this categoryLive contractsAward vs estimate
6 wins in East Midlands4 panel places
£212m18 awards in 36m · last this month6 live · £191m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=6
3 wins in East Midlands2 panel places
£40m22 awards in 36m · last 1 months ago5 live · £6.7m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=16
6 wins in East Midlands6 panel places
£30m18 awards in 36m · last 1 months ago6 live · £52m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=5
£1.1bn12 awards in 36m · last 6 months ago2 live · £158m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=2
2 wins in East Midlands3 panel places
£36m16 awards in 36m · last 1 months agoNone on fileat estimate n=10
About this data
  • Source. Official UK public procurement notices (Find a Tender), reused under the Open Government Licence v3.0. New notices arrive through the day; the figures are rebuilt nightly.
  • Two views, kept apart. The authority’s own track record and the wider market for the same kind of work sit side by side and are never mixed. Where the local picture is too thin, a figure widens to a broader market and says which one it used.
  • Forecasts are labelled. The price forecast and its range, possible competitors and the earlier-work matches are our estimates from past awards: not published facts, not win chances and not price advice. Official notices do not say who is bidding.
  • Every figure shows what it rests on. Not every notice publishes a bid count, a value or a delivery region, so each figure carries the number of records behind it, and one built on few records is marked as such. The on a figure explains it; the counting rules are in the methodology. Spotted something wrong? Tell us.

Procedure terms & legal framework

From the official record
Procedure method
Open procedure
Legal basis
UKPGA · 2023/54 Procurement Act 2023
Procurement category
Services
Notice status
Open for tender
Procurement threshold
Above threshold (FTS publication)
Regulatory regime
Light touch regime
Commercial structure
Stand-alone contract (no framework)
Competition type
Competitive procedure
GPA / WTO covered
Unspecified in notice
Recurring procurement
Unspecified in notice
First published
11 May 2026, 13:15 BST
Last source update
2 Oct 2026, 13:39 BST
Award evaluation window
Submission end – 25 Jan 2027
Authority reference
CTPS.0007
FTS notice number
2026/S 000-093359
Latest notice
Tender notice (UK4)
Classification (CPV)
Health services
Delivery area
East Midlands (UKF3)
Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-0695b1 Find a Tender

How to participate & submission route

Official notice Submit via Panacea
Submission portal named on this notice: Panacea
Supplier login requiredElectronic submission allowedLanguage: EN
Access & registration note: Free
Requests to participate (first stage)
—
Tender submission deadline
2 Nov 2026, 12:00 GMT
Clarification deadline
26 Oct 2026, 12:00 GMT
Submission channel
Official e-sourcing portal
Electronic submission
Allowed
Accepted languages
en
Detailed submission instructions & authority contactsFrom official release

Timeline

11 May 2026 → 1 Apr 2027 · 8 dates
  1. Planning notice published162 days ago
    11 May 2026, 13:15 BST
  2. Next notice expected146 days ago
    27 May 2026, 23:59 BST
  3. Market engagement146 days ago · met
    27 May 2026, 23:59 BST

    Market engagement has concluded

  4. Tender notice published18 days ago
    2 Oct 2026, 13:37 BST
  5. Today
    20 Oct 2026
  6. Clarification questions byin 6 days
    26 Oct 2026, 12:00 GMT
  7. Submission deadlinein 13 days
    2 Nov 2026, 12:00 GMT
  8. Award decision expected byin 98 days
    25 Jan 2027, 23:59 GMT
  9. Contract startsin 163 days
    1 Apr 2027

Notice history

13 events · 7 releases on Find a Tender · since 11 May 2026
  1. Preliminary market engagement notice published
    11 May 2026, 13:15 BST
    UK2
  2. Preliminary market engagement notice published
    11 May 2026, 14:09 BST
    UK2
  3. Published value updated
    11 May 2026, 14:09 BST
  4. Preliminary market engagement notice published
    13 May 2026, 13:22 BST
    UK2
  5. Preliminary market engagement notice published
    21 May 2026, 13:26 BST
    UK2
  6. Preliminary market engagement notice published
    22 Sept 2026, 09:51 BST
    UK2
  7. Published value updated
    22 Sept 2026, 09:51 BST
  8. Tender notice published
    2 Oct 2026, 13:37 BST
    UK4
  9. Published value published: £17,761,476
    2 Oct 2026, 13:37 BST
  10. Status changed to active
    2 Oct 2026, 13:37 BST
  11. Procurement method changed
    2 Oct 2026, 13:37 BST
  12. Deadline published: 2 Nov 2026, 12:00 GMT
    2 Oct 2026, 13:37 BST
  13. Tender notice published
    2 Oct 2026, 13:39 BST
    UK4
Published amendments (4)

The contract value has been amended to the correct value of £8,100,00 for the three years and the contract end date was amended to reflect the initial 3 year contract duration

The contract value has been amended to the correct value of £8,100,00 for the three years and the contract end date was amended to reflect the initial 3 year contract duration

NEW INFORMATION as of 21st May 2026 Please note that the PowerPoint presentation from the online event on the 19th May are now uploaded for everyone's reference Also appendix A & B are now available to download which align to question 4 of the questionnaire. There is a newly amended questionnaire which supersedes the last as there is an additional question. Please ensure you download, complete and…

Quality Criteria Weighting Comments Added.

Routine re-releases (7)
  • 2026-05: 4 releases · 11 May 2026, 21 May 2026

Commercial outcome & contract awards

Nothing awarded yet
Awards (0)
No award published
Contracts (0)
No contract published
Bid statistics
No aggregate bid statistics published

Contracting authority & participating public bodies

Lincolnshire County Council

Contracting authorityPublic authority - sub-central government GB-PPON: PGRB-3736-CHZN County Offices, Newland, Lincoln, East Midlands, LN1 1YLContact name, email

Official documents & specifications (7)

Official links; attachments are not copied

Notices published for this procedure