Find a TenderPlanned procurement
Published 16 Mar 2026, 09:57 GMT

Official UK procurement notice

Childrens Home Provision Dumfries and Galloway

Authority: Dumfries and Galloway Council (Local council)

Services
Planned pipeline valueValue not publishedpipeline notice, not a live tender
Tender notice expected 11 Jan 2027from the planned procurement notice

What is being bought

Published requirement description

Dumfries and Galloway Council are seeking market engagement with the Children's Social Work sector to obtain market research on models of care for a 4 bedroom Children's Home. Dumfries and Galloway are currently scoping creation of 1-2 children's homes in Dumfries and Galloway and are seeking organisations who operate children's home to feed into market research.

CPV: Social work services

The lotProcurement structure

single lot · no lot value published
Lot #1Dumfries and Galloway Council are seeking providers to inform the market research to…Planned

Dumfries and Galloway Council are seeking providers to inform the market research to determine the operating and financial model of two 4 bedroom Children's Homes in Dumfries and Galloway.

We are looking to gain information on;

Operational requirements within a home; what providers can offer.

The staffing compliment for a 4 bed home.

Overall high level commercial insight into providing a fully managed service within a Children's Home where the Home is owned and/or leased by the Council.

Delivery: Scotland · There is scope to create 2 children's homes in Dumfries and Galloway. 1 in the West of the Region and 1 in the East.

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

Pipeline intelligence · planning stage: how this market runs before the tender is published

How Dumfries and Galloway Council buys Social work services (CPV 8531), and who usually turns up

Dumfries and Galloway Council’s published record next to the market for the same work. Frameworks and DPS are left out: they draw different bid counts. Whole-market view: Social work services (CPV 8531) →

1

How the contest usually goes

Winner shares use published awards; bid and price charts use contested lots.

Question for the bid
This buyerDumfries and Galloway Council · division 85
What to do with it
How often do SMEs win?
i

How often small and medium firms win.

Share of awards where the winner’s size is known.

The counts under this question show how many awards have a known supplier size.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 9 of 13 known-size awards · market: CPV 8531 · Scotland, n=56
69%80%

Small firms have won here. Neither number says whether you qualify; it describes who has been winning.

How often do local suppliers win?
i

How often local firms win similar work.

Winners with a registered address in the delivery region, out of awards with a known address.

Local means the winner is registered in the region where that award was delivered. The market figure counts awards delivered in Scotland.

A local branch does not count if the registered address is elsewhere.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 14 of 14 known-location awards · market: CPV 8531 · Scotland, n=53
100%87%

Most of this buyer’s recorded winners were registered in the region where that award was delivered.

How long to a decision?
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the bid deadline to the award date, on competitions that published both.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: no decision dates published · market: CPV 8531 · UK-wide, n=245
—52 days

Half of these awards have an award date within 52 days of the bid deadline.

How often single-bid or direct?
i

How often work is awarded with no recorded rival.

Direct awards and tenders where every published lot count shows one bid.

Both shares are minimums: some awards have no bid count.

Thin markets produce this too; it is not proof of a tailored specification.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: at least 4 of 8 procurements with awards had no recorded rival · market: CPV 8531 · Scotland, n=55
50%53%

Direct awards or one recorded bid are common here. Check the route before spending time on a bid.

How many bids did past lots attract?

i

How many bids past lots received.

Each colour is a bid-count range. Only competed lots with a published count are included.

Past bids do not predict this tender.

Last 36 months.

This buyer40 lots with bid counts · all categories
25% had one bid
The market44 lots with bid counts · CPV 8531 · Scotland
36% had one bid
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
1 bid25% / 36%
Buyer: 10 of 40 lots with published bid counts. Market: 16 of 44 lots with published bid counts.
2–335% / 34%
Buyer: 14 of 40 lots with published bid counts. Market: 15 of 44 lots with published bid counts.
4–628% / 18%
Buyer: 11 of 40 lots with published bid counts. Market: 8 of 44 lots with published bid counts.
7+13% / 11%
Buyer: 5 of 40 lots with published bid counts. Market: 5 of 44 lots with published bid counts.

How did awards compare with estimates?

i

Where winning prices landed against estimates.

Each colour shows awards below, close to or above the published estimate, one lot at a time.

Past prices are a guide, not a bid price.

Last 36 months.

This buyer10 lots with estimate and award · all categories
70% below estimate
The market16 lots with estimate and award · CPV 8531 · Scotland
31% below estimate
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
Below estimate70% / 31%
Buyer: 7 of 10 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 5 of 16 lots with an estimate and award.
Within ±2%20% / 50%
Buyer: 2 of 10 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 8 of 16 lots with an estimate and award.
Above estimate10% / 19%
Buyer: 1 of 10 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 3 of 16 lots with an estimate and award.
2

Assess each lot
i

What past awards tell you about each lot.

See the forecast, this buyer’s earlier suppliers and firms with relevant wins.

No supplier is confirmed as a bidder.

Open a lot for its forecast, this buyer’s previous supplier and possible competitors, from published award history, not a bid list

Our matching links this notice to “Provision of Day Centres in Dumfries and Galloway” of this authority, but none of the 9 panel members sit in a category matching this notice.

Lot #1Dumfries and Galloway Council are seeking providers to inform the market research to…CPV 8531Estimate not published
Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative. The bar shows 44 past lots.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

—No model forecast yet36% chance of a single bid
Past bids on 44 similar lots
1 bid36%
16 of 44 similar past lots received 1 bid (36%).
2–334%
15 of 44 similar past lots received 2–3 (34%).
4–618%
8 of 44 similar past lots received 4–6 (18%).
7+11%
5 of 44 similar past lots received 7+ (11%).
Comparable past lots usually drew 2 bids.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

No comparable awards for this lot yet.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

—Estimate not published
The buyer published no estimate for this lot, so there is nothing to forecast against. A price prediction here would be a number about a number we do not have.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

No earlier contract of this buyer matches this lot on the published record.

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

Candidate suppliers for this notice have not been worked out yet, so this is not a verdict that nobody fits.

About this data
  • Source. Official UK public procurement notices (Find a Tender), reused under the Open Government Licence v3.0. New notices arrive through the day; the figures are rebuilt nightly.
  • Two views, kept apart. The authority’s own track record and the wider market for the same kind of work sit side by side and are never mixed. Where the local picture is too thin, a figure widens to a broader market and says which one it used.
  • Forecasts are labelled. The price forecast and its range, possible competitors and the earlier-work matches are our estimates from past awards: not published facts, not win chances and not price advice. Official notices do not say who is bidding.
  • Every figure shows what it rests on. Not every notice publishes a bid count, a value or a delivery region, so each figure carries the number of records behind it, and one built on few records is marked as such. The on a figure explains it; the counting rules are in the methodology. Spotted something wrong? Tell us.

What this replaces
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

54% title match.

A past supplier may not bid again.

The prior contract this notice most likely re-tenders · matched by title and category (54% title match), the holder is not guaranteed to re-bid

Provision of Day Centres in Dumfries and Galloway, winner not published; the published contract ends 31 Mar 2027.

Procedure terms & legal framework

From the official record · publisher note attached
Legal basis
CELEX · 32014L0024 Public Contracts Regulations 2015 (Directive 2014/24/EU)
Procurement category
Services
Notice status
Planned procurement
Procurement threshold
Unspecified in notice
Regulatory regime
Standard
Commercial structure
Stand-alone contract (no framework)
Competition type
Competitive procedure
GPA / WTO covered
Yes (GPA)
Recurring procurement
Unspecified in notice
First published
16 Mar 2026, 09:57 GMT
Last source update
16 Mar 2026, 09:57 GMT
FTS notice number
2026/S 000-023331
Classification (CPV)
Social work services
Delivery area
Scotland (UKM92)
Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-066a9d Find a Tender

Publisher note: If you are a provider and would be willing to share information for market gathering and research purposes, please contact [email protected]. This information will form market research only and any further contract opportunity will be published on Public Contracts Scotland / PCS-Tender. NOTE: To register your interest in this notice and obtain any additional information please visit the Public Contracts Scotland Web Site at https://www.publiccontractsscotland.gov.uk/Search/Search_Switch.aspx?ID=825711. (SC Ref:825711)

How it was run

Official notice
Submission deadline
—

Timeline

16 Mar 2026 → 11 Jan 2027 · 2 dates
  1. Notice published223 days ago
    16 Mar 2026, 09:57 GMT
  2. Today
    25 Oct 2026
  3. Tender notice expectedin 77 days
    11 Jan 2027

Commercial outcome & contract awards

Pipeline notice
Awards (0)
No award published
Contracts (0)
No contract published
Bid statistics
No aggregate bid statistics published

Contracting authority & participating public bodies

Dumfries and Galloway Council

Contracting authorityLocal CouncilRegional or local authorityGeneral public services Procurement Team, Carruthers House, Dumfries, Scotland, DG1 2HPContact email, phone

Official documents & specifications

Official links; attachments are not copied

No document links were published on the notice.