Find a TenderPlanned procurementPreliminary market engagement notice
Published 13 Jan 2026, 10:28 GMT

Official UK procurement notice

Supported Housing for Young People with Care Experience

Authority: Denbighshire County Council (Local council)

ServicesAbove thresholdLight touch regimeSME suitableVCSE suitable
Planned pipeline value£1,500,000pipeline notice, not a live tender
Tender notice expected 2 Mar 2026from the planned procurement notice
Contract term 3 yrsends 31 Jul 2029 · up to 31 Jul 2031 with extensions · starts 1 Aug 2026

What is being bought

Published requirement description

This will be a housing related supported housing project for care experienced young people aged 16 to 18, of either gender, with no dependent children. It is a high intensity supported housing project, consisting of 5 units of supported accommodation which will be staffed 24 hours a day, with post move on floating housing related support for up to 6 months.

The Young People’s Supported Housing Project will provide holistic, trauma-informed support to young people with care experience that are also experiencing homelessness, housing instability, or complex needs. The service will offer short and medium-term supported accommodation, empowering young people to build the skills, resilience, and confidence they need for sustainable independent living.

Young people’s needs will be such that they require support at a staff to client ratio of 1:2.5, and will require the presence of sleep-in staff overnight, with the flexibility to increase staff ratios dependant on need which may include waking night staff.

The contract value is estimated at £300,000 per annum at this time, confirmed contract dimensions will be provided in the tender specification.

Details of a meet the buyer event for this contract are provided in the engagement section of this notice.

CPV: Health and social work services · Housing services · Other community, social and personal services · Social work and related services

The lotProcurement structure

single lot · no lot value published
Lot #1PlannedRenewal 3 yrsSMEVCSE
Contract period: 1 Aug 2026 – 31 Jul 2029 (3 yrs) · up to 31 Jul 2031 with extensions
Delivery: WalesEligibility: SME eligibleVCSE eligible
Extensions: Extension options published

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

Pipeline intelligence · planning stage: how this market runs before the tender is published

How Denbighshire County Council buys Social work and related services (CPV 8530), and who usually turns up

Denbighshire County Council’s published record next to the market for the same work. Frameworks and DPS are left out: they draw different bid counts. Whole-market view: Social work and related services (CPV 8530) →

1

How the contest usually goes

Winner shares use published awards; bid and price charts use contested lots.

Question for the bid
This buyerDenbighshire County Council · all categories
What to do with it
How often do SMEs win?
i

How often small and medium firms win.

Share of awards where the winner’s size is known.

The counts under this question show how many awards have a known supplier size.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 9 of 12 known-size awards · market: CPV 8530 · Wales (Cymru), n=24
75%58%

Small firms have won here. Neither number says whether you qualify; it describes who has been winning.

How often do local suppliers win?
i

How often local firms win similar work.

Winners with a registered address in the delivery region, out of awards with a known address.

Local means the winner is registered in the region where that award was delivered. The market figure counts awards delivered in Wales (Cymru).

A local branch does not count if the registered address is elsewhere.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 19 of 29 known-location awards · market: CPV 8530 · Wales (Cymru), n=42
66%76%

Most of this buyer’s recorded winners were registered in the region where that award was delivered.

How long to a decision?
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the bid deadline to the award date, on competitions that published both.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 5 decided notices · market: CPV 8530 · Wales (Cymru), n=13
32 days33 days

Half of these awards have an award date within 32 days of the bid deadline.

How often single-bid or direct?
i

How often work is awarded with no recorded rival.

Direct awards and tenders where every published lot count shows one bid.

Both shares are minimums: some awards have no bid count.

Thin markets produce this too; it is not proof of a tailored specification.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: at least 12 of 30 procurements with awards had no recorded rival · market: CPV 8530 · Wales (Cymru), n=35
40%34%

Direct awards or one recorded bid are common here. Check the route before spending time on a bid.

How many bids did past lots attract?

i

How many bids past lots received.

Each colour is a bid-count range. Only competed lots with a published count are included.

Past bids do not predict this tender.

Last 36 months.

This buyer9 lots with bid counts · all categories
33% had one bid
The market41 lots with bid counts · CPV 8530 · Wales (Cymru)
24% had one bid
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
1 bid33% / 24%
Buyer: 3 of 9 lots with published bid counts. Market: 10 of 41 lots with published bid counts.
2–311% / 44%
Buyer: 1 of 9 lots with published bid counts. Market: 18 of 41 lots with published bid counts.
4–644% / 24%
Buyer: 4 of 9 lots with published bid counts. Market: 10 of 41 lots with published bid counts.
7+11% / 7%
Buyer: 1 of 9 lots with published bid counts. Market: 3 of 41 lots with published bid counts.

How did awards compare with estimates?

i

Where winning prices landed against estimates.

Each colour shows awards below, close to or above the published estimate, one lot at a time.

Past prices are a guide, not a bid price.

Last 36 months.

This buyer8 lots with estimate and award · all categories
75% below estimate
The market15 lots with estimate and award · CPV 8530 · Wales (Cymru)
27% below estimate
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
Below estimate75% / 27%
Buyer: 6 of 8 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 4 of 15 lots with an estimate and award.
Within ±2%25% / 67%
Buyer: 2 of 8 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 10 of 15 lots with an estimate and award.
Above estimate0% / 7%
Buyer: 0 of 8 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 1 of 15 lots with an estimate and award.
2

Assess each lot
i

What past awards tell you about each lot.

See the forecast, this buyer’s earlier suppliers and firms with relevant wins.

No supplier is confirmed as a bidder.

Open a lot for its forecast, this buyer’s previous supplier and possible competitors, from published award history, not a bid list

Lot #1CPV 703336 monthsSME suitablePublished estimate£1.5m

This lot is listed as CPV 7033. The table above uses the notice category.

Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative. The bar shows 14 past lots.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

—No model forecast yet0% chance of a single bid
Past bids on 14 similar lots
1 bid0%
0 of 14 similar past lots received 1 bid (0%).
2–357%
8 of 14 similar past lots received 2–3 (57%).
4–636%
5 of 14 similar past lots received 4–6 (36%).
7+7%
1 of 14 similar past lots received 7+ (7%).
Comparable past lots usually drew 3 bids.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

No comparable awards for this lot yet.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

—No model forecast yet
No comparable awards on record for this lot’s category yet. The published estimate is £1.5m, and the forecast stays empty until the market has a record to read.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

No earlier contract of this buyer matches this lot on the published record.

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

Candidate suppliers for this notice have not been worked out yet, so this is not a verdict that nobody fits.

About this data
  • Source. Official UK public procurement notices (Find a Tender), reused under the Open Government Licence v3.0. New notices arrive through the day; the figures are rebuilt nightly.
  • Two views, kept apart. The authority’s own track record and the wider market for the same kind of work sit side by side and are never mixed. Where the local picture is too thin, a figure widens to a broader market and says which one it used.
  • Forecasts are labelled. The price forecast and its range, possible competitors and the earlier-work matches are our estimates from past awards: not published facts, not win chances and not price advice. Official notices do not say who is bidding.
  • Every figure shows what it rests on. Not every notice publishes a bid count, a value or a delivery region, so each figure carries the number of records behind it, and one built on few records is marked as such. The on a figure explains it; the counting rules are in the methodology. Spotted something wrong? Tell us.

Procedure terms & legal framework

From the official record
Legal basis
UKPGA · 2023/54 Procurement Act 2023
Procurement category
Services
Notice status
Planned procurement
Procurement threshold
Above threshold (FTS publication)
Regulatory regime
Light touch regime
Commercial structure
Stand-alone contract (no framework)
Competition type
Competitive procedure
GPA / WTO covered
Unspecified in notice
Recurring procurement
Unspecified in notice
First published
13 Jan 2026, 10:28 GMT
Last source update
13 Jan 2026, 10:28 GMT
FTS notice number
2026/S 000-002526
Latest notice
Preliminary market engagement notice (UK2)
Classification (CPV)
Health and social work servicesHousing servicesOther community, social and personal servicesSocial work and related services
Delivery area
Wales (UKL13)
Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-060454 Find a Tender

How it was run

Official notice
Submission deadline
—

Timeline

13 Jan 2026 → 1 Aug 2026 · 4 dates
  1. Planning notice published285 days ago
    13 Jan 2026, 10:28 GMT
  2. Market engagement267 days ago
    30 Jan 2026, 23:59 GMT

    A meet the buyer event for this contract will taking place via Microsoft Teams at 2pm on 30/01/26 to give potential providers opportunity to learn more about the expectations of the contract and answer any queries. To book your attendance at this event please email Hayley Jones at [email protected] and a meeting invite link will be sent out nearer to the time to your requested email address.

    Separate engagement has taken place with young people who are currently living in similar supported housing projects, staff from the current providers and other stakeholders. Consultation was offered via questionnaire.

  3. Tender notice expected236 days ago
    2 Mar 2026, 23:59 GMT
  4. Contract starts85 days ago
    1 Aug 2026, 00:00 BST

Notice history

1 event · 1 release on Find a Tender
  1. Preliminary market engagement notice published
    13 Jan 2026, 10:28 GMT
    UK2

Commercial outcome & contract awards

Pipeline notice
Awards (0)
No award published
Contracts (0)
No contract published
Bid statistics
No aggregate bid statistics published

Contracting authority & participating public bodies

Denbighshire County Council

Contracting authorityPublic authority - sub-central governmentWelsh devolved regulations apply GB-PPON: PTPG-8659-JMCD Russell House, Churton Road, Rhyl, Wales, LL18 3DPContact name, email, phone

Official documents & specifications (1)

Official links; attachments are not copied

Notices published for this procedure