Find a TenderPlanned procurementPipeline notice
Published 13 May 2026, 14:54 BST

Official UK procurement notice

Southwark Arboricultural Maintenance Contract 2027-2031 PLEASE NOTE THIS IS A PIPELINE NOTICE-NOT A LIVE TENDER OPPORTUNITY

Authority: London Borough of Southwark (Local council)

ServicesOpen procedureAbove thresholdSME suitable
Planned pipeline value£12,000,000pipeline notice, not a live tender
Tender notice expected 2 Nov 2026from the planned procurement notice
Contract term 4 yrsends 1 Oct 2031 · up to 1 Oct 2033 with extensions · starts 1 Oct 2027

What is being bought

Published requirement description

Tree maintenance contracts borough-wide - Tree surgery, stump grinding, all tree maintenance operations

PLEASE NOTE THIS IS A PIPELINE NOTICE-NOT A LIVE TENDER OPPORTUNITY

CPV: Tree pruning · Trees

The lotProcurement structure

single lot · no lot value published
Lot #1PlannedRenewal 4 yrsSME
Contract period: 1 Oct 2027 – 1 Oct 2031 (4 yrs) · up to 1 Oct 2033 with extensions
Delivery: LondonEligibility: SME eligible
Extensions: Extension options published

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

Pipeline intelligence · planning stage: how this market runs before the tender is published

How London Borough of Southwark buys Tree-nursery products (CPV 0345), and who usually turns up

London Borough of Southwark’s published record next to the market for the same work. Frameworks and DPS are left out: they draw different bid counts. Whole-market view: Tree-nursery products (CPV 0345) →

1

How the contest usually goes

Winner shares use published awards; bid and price charts use contested lots.

Question for the bid
This buyerLondon Borough of Southwark · all categories
What to do with it
How often do SMEs win?
i

How often small and medium firms win.

Share of awards where the winner’s size is known.

The counts under this question show how many awards have a known supplier size.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 15 of 45 known-size awards · market: CPV 0345 · UK-wide, n=16
33%88%

Small firms have won here. Neither number says whether you qualify; it describes who has been winning.

How often do local suppliers win?
i

How often local firms win similar work.

Winners with a registered address in the delivery region, out of awards with a known address.

Local means the winner is registered in the region where that award was delivered.

A local branch does not count if the registered address is elsewhere.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 47 of 67 known-location awards · market: CPV 0345 · UK-wide, n=29
70%48%

Most of this buyer’s recorded winners were registered in the region where that award was delivered.

How long to a decision?
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the bid deadline to the award date, on competitions that published both.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 6 decided notices · market: CPV 0345 · UK-wide, n=5
81 days61 days

Half of these awards have an award date within 81 days of the bid deadline.

How often single-bid or direct?
i

How often work is awarded with no recorded rival.

Direct awards and tenders where every published lot count shows one bid.

Both shares are minimums: some awards have no bid count.

Thin markets produce this too; it is not proof of a tailored specification.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: at least 13 of 53 procurements with awards had no recorded rival · market: CPV 0345 · Greater London, n=5
25%20%

Direct awards or one recorded bid are common here. Check the route before spending time on a bid.

How many bids did past lots attract?

i

How many bids past lots received.

Each colour is a bid-count range. Only competed lots with a published count are included.

Past bids do not predict this tender.

Last 36 months.

This buyer27 lots with bid counts · all categories
7% had one bid
The market12 lots with bid counts · CPV 0345 · UK-wide
50% had one bid
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
1 bid7% / 50%
Buyer: 2 of 27 lots with published bid counts. Market: 6 of 12 lots with published bid counts.
2–319% / 25%
Buyer: 5 of 27 lots with published bid counts. Market: 3 of 12 lots with published bid counts.
4–641% / 25%
Buyer: 11 of 27 lots with published bid counts. Market: 3 of 12 lots with published bid counts.
7+33% / 0%
Buyer: 9 of 27 lots with published bid counts. Market: 0 of 12 lots with published bid counts.

How did awards compare with estimates?

i

Where winning prices landed against estimates.

Each colour shows awards below, close to or above the published estimate, one lot at a time.

Past prices are a guide, not a bid price.

Last 36 months.

This buyer12 lots with estimate and award · all categories
42% below estimate
The market8 lots with estimate and award · CPV 0345 · UK-wide
25% below estimate
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
Below estimate42% / 25%
Buyer: 5 of 12 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 2 of 8 lots with an estimate and award.
Within ±2%42% / 38%
Buyer: 5 of 12 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 3 of 8 lots with an estimate and award.
Above estimate17% / 38%
Buyer: 2 of 12 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 3 of 8 lots with an estimate and award.
2

Assess each lot
i

What past awards tell you about each lot.

See the forecast, this buyer’s earlier suppliers and firms with relevant wins.

No supplier is confirmed as a bidder.

Open a lot for its forecast, this buyer’s previous supplier and possible competitors, from published award history, not a bid list

Lot #1CPV 034548 monthsSME suitablePublished estimate£12m
Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative. The bar shows 12 past lots.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

—No model forecast yet50% chance of a single bid
Past bids on 12 similar lots
1 bid50%
6 of 12 similar past lots received 1 bid (50%).
2–325%
3 of 12 similar past lots received 2–3 (25%).
4–625%
3 of 12 similar past lots received 4–6 (25%).
7+0%
0 of 12 similar past lots received 7+ (0%).
Check who supplied similar work and whether the route limits bidders.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

No comparable awards for this lot yet.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

—No model forecast yet
No comparable awards on record for this lot’s category yet. The published estimate is £12m, and the forecast stays empty until the market has a record to read.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

No earlier contract of this buyer matches this lot on the published record.

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

Candidate suppliers for this notice have not been worked out yet, so this is not a verdict that nobody fits.

About this data
  • Source. Official UK public procurement notices (Find a Tender), reused under the Open Government Licence v3.0. New notices arrive through the day; the figures are rebuilt nightly.
  • Two views, kept apart. The authority’s own track record and the wider market for the same kind of work sit side by side and are never mixed. Where the local picture is too thin, a figure widens to a broader market and says which one it used.
  • Forecasts are labelled. The price forecast and its range, possible competitors and the earlier-work matches are our estimates from past awards: not published facts, not win chances and not price advice. Official notices do not say who is bidding.
  • Every figure shows what it rests on. Not every notice publishes a bid count, a value or a delivery region, so each figure carries the number of records behind it, and one built on few records is marked as such. The on a figure explains it; the counting rules are in the methodology. Spotted something wrong? Tell us.

Procedure terms & legal framework

From the official record
Procedure method
Open procedure
Legal basis
UKPGA · 2023/54 Procurement Act 2023
Procurement category
Services
Notice status
Planned procurement
Procurement threshold
Above threshold (FTS publication)
Regulatory regime
Standard
Commercial structure
Stand-alone contract (no framework)
Competition type
Competitive procedure
GPA / WTO covered
Unspecified in notice
Recurring procurement
Unspecified in notice
First published
13 May 2026, 14:54 BST
Last source update
13 May 2026, 14:54 BST
Authority reference
DN815998
FTS notice number
2026/S 000-043999
Latest notice
Pipeline notice (UK1)
Classification (CPV)
Tree pruningTrees
Delivery area
London (UKI44)
Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-0697e0 Find a Tender

How it was run

Official notice
Submission deadline
—

Timeline

13 May 2026 → 1 Oct 2027 · 3 dates
  1. Planning notice published165 days ago
    13 May 2026, 14:54 BST
  2. Today
    25 Oct 2026
  3. Tender notice expectedin 9 days
    2 Nov 2026, 23:59 GMT
  4. Contract startsin 341 days
    1 Oct 2027, 00:00 BST

Notice history

1 event · 1 release on Find a Tender
  1. Pipeline notice published
    13 May 2026, 14:54 BST
    UK1

Commercial outcome & contract awards

Pipeline notice
Awards (0)
No award published
Contracts (0)
No contract published
Bid statistics
No aggregate bid statistics published

Contracting authority & participating public bodies

London Borough of Southwark

Contracting authorityPublic authority - sub-central government GB-PPON: PXTW-7647-VDLV Southwark Council, London, London, SE1 2QHContact name, email

Official documents & specifications (1)

Official links; attachments are not copied

Notices published for this procedure

  • Pipeline notice planningPipeline noticeUK1Pipeline notice on Find a Tender