Find a TenderPlanned procurementPreliminary market engagement notice
Published 17 Aug 2026, 15:04 BST

Official UK procurement notice

Pensions Valuation Software · UK public procurement notice

Authority: Government Actuary's Department (Central government)

GoodsAbove threshold
Sectors: Software Packages & ERP (48) Delivery: UK
Planned pipeline value£1,400,000pipeline notice, not a live tender
Tender notice expected 1 Mar 2027from the planned procurement notice
Contract term 5 yrsends 28 Feb 2033 · up to 28 Feb 2038 with extensions · starts 1 Mar 2028

What is being bought

Published requirement description

The Government Actuary's Department (GAD) is a non-ministerial department and Arm's Length Body of His Majesty's Treasury.

GAD provides actuarial solutions, including financial risk analysis, modelling and advice, to support the UK public sector. GAD works with a wide range of government departments, public bodies and other organisations, providing impartial actuarial expertise to assist effective decision-making and management of financial risk.

GAD is undertaking preliminary market engagement in relation to an actuarial valuation software solution. GAD currently utilises a third-party software platform to support the delivery of actuarial valuation, modelling and pension scheme analysis services across a range of public sector clients. The existing contract runs to February 2028, and GAD is commencing early market engagement to better understand available solutions, market capability, implementation approaches and emerging innovations.

The Authority is interested in engaging with suppliers that can provide an off-the-shelf software solution and associated services capable of supporting actuarial valuation and modelling activities, including (but not limited to):

  • Pension scheme valuation calculations and analysis, covering: Active, Deferred and Pensioner members, Open to future accrual, Final Salary & Career Average Revalued Earnings
  • Cashflow and funding modelling
  • Asset Liability Modelling
  • Scenario testing and sensitivity analysis
  • Data import, validation and management
  • Reporting and audit trail functionality
  • Appropriate security, resilience and support arrangements
  • Transition, implementation and user training services.
  • Data migration and exit capability from incumbent systems.

The purpose of this engagement is to:

  • Understand the current supplier landscape.
  • Inform the development of requirements and the procurement strategy.
  • Identify opportunities for innovation and improved functionality.
  • Better understand implementation, migration and transition considerations.
  • Assess approach to future valuation systems including available commercial models and contracting approaches.

Participation in this engagement will not confer any advantage or disadvantage in any future procurement process.

CPV: Analytical, scientific, mathematical or forecasting software package

The lotProcurement structure

single lot · no lot value published
Lot #1PlannedRenewal 5 yrs
Contract period: 1 Mar 2028 – 28 Feb 2033 (5 yrs) · up to 28 Feb 2038 with extensions
Delivery: UK
Extensions: Extension options published

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

Pipeline intelligence · planning stage: how this market runs before the tender is published

How Government Actuary's Department buys Analytical, scientific, mathematical or forecasting software package (CPV 4846), and who usually turns up

Government Actuary's Department’s own published record, next to the published market for the same work. Frameworks and DPS are kept out: they attract a different number of bids. Whole-market view: Analytical, scientific, mathematical or forecasting software package (CPV 4846) →

1

How the contest usually goes

Winner shares use published awards; bid and price charts use contested lots.

How often do SMEs win?
i

How often small and medium firms win.

Share of awards where the winner’s size is known.

The counts under this question show how many awards have a known supplier size.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 0 of 4 known-size awards · market: CPV 4846 · UK-wide, n=16
0 of 425%

No small-firm winners recorded among this authority’s published awards in this sample.

How often do local suppliers win?
i

How often local firms win similar work.

Winners with a registered address in the delivery region, out of awards with a known address.

Here, local means the winner is registered in the region where that contract was delivered.

A local branch does not count if the registered address is elsewhere.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 0 of 4 known-location awards · market: CPV 4846 · UK-wide, n=20
0 of 415%

Most of this buyer’s recorded winners are registered outside Greater London.

How long to a decision?
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the deadline to the first award notice, on competitions that published both dates.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: no decision dates published · market: division 48 · Greater London, n=25
—77 days

Half of these awards were announced within 77 days of the bid deadline.

How often single-bid or direct?
i

How often work is awarded with no recorded rival.

Direct awards and tenders where every published lot count shows one bid.

The market share is a minimum: some awards have no bid count.

Thin markets produce this too; it is not proof of a tailored specification.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: exactly 5 of 5 procurements with awards had no recorded rival · market: CPV 4846 · UK-wide, n=26
100%85%

Direct awards or one recorded bid are common here. Check the route before spending time on a bid.

How many bids did past lots attract?

i

How many bids past lots received.

Each colour is a bid-count range. Only competed lots with a published count are included.

Past bids do not predict this tender.

Last 36 months.

This buyerNo bid counts published
The market49 lots with bid counts · division 48 · Greater London
12% had one bid
Market · select a colour for counts
1 bid12%
Market: 6 of 49 lots with published bid counts.
2–324%
Market: 12 of 49 lots with published bid counts.
4–635%
Market: 17 of 49 lots with published bid counts.
7+29%
Market: 14 of 49 lots with published bid counts.

How did awards compare with estimates?

i

Where winning prices landed against estimates.

Each colour shows awards below, close to or above the published estimate, one lot at a time.

Past prices are a guide, not a bid price.

Last 36 months.

This buyer2 lots with estimate and award · all categories · too few to chart
The market31 lots with estimate and award · division 48 · Greater London
52% below estimate
Market · select a colour for counts
Below estimate52%
Market: 16 of 31 lots with an estimate and award.
Within ±2%23%
Market: 7 of 31 lots with an estimate and award.
Above estimate26%
Market: 8 of 31 lots with an estimate and award.
2

Assess each lot
i

What past awards tell you about each lot.

See the forecast, this buyer’s earlier suppliers and firms with relevant wins.

No supplier is confirmed as a bidder.

Open a lot for its forecast, this buyer’s previous supplier and possible competitors, from published award history, not a bid list

Lot #1CPV 484660 monthsPublished estimate£1.4m
Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative. The bar shows 49 past lots.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

—No model forecast yet12% single-bid risk
Past bids on 49 similar lots
1 bid12%
6 of 49 similar past lots received 1 bid (12%).
2–324%
12 of 49 similar past lots received 2–3 (24%).
4–635%
17 of 49 similar past lots received 4–6 (35%).
7+29%
14 of 49 similar past lots received 7+ (29%).
Comparable past lots usually drew 5 bids.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

No comparable awards for this lot yet.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

—No model forecast yet
No comparable awards on record for this lot’s category yet. The published estimate is £1.4m, and the forecast stays empty until the market has a record to read.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

No earlier contract of this buyer matches this lot on the published record.

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

Candidate suppliers for this notice have not been worked out yet, so this is not a verdict that nobody fits.

About this data
  • Source. Official UK public procurement notices (Find a Tender), reused under the Open Government Licence v3.0. New notices arrive through the day; the figures are rebuilt nightly.
  • Two views, kept apart. The authority’s own track record and the wider market for the same kind of work sit side by side and are never mixed. Where the local picture is too thin, a figure widens to a broader market and says which one it used.
  • Forecasts are labelled. The price forecast and its range, possible competitors and the earlier-work matches are our estimates from past awards: not published facts, not win chances and not price advice. Official notices do not say who is bidding.
  • Every figure shows what it rests on. Not every notice publishes a bid count, a value or a delivery region, so each figure carries the number of records behind it, and one built on few records is marked as such. The on a figure explains it; the counting rules are in the methodology. Spotted something wrong? Tell us.

Procedure terms & legal framework

From the official record
Legal basis
UKPGA · 2023/54 Procurement Act 2023
Procurement category
Goods
Notice status
Planned procurement
Procurement threshold
Above threshold (FTS publication)
Regulatory regime
Standard
Commercial structure
Stand-alone contract (no framework)
Competition type
Competitive procedure
GPA / WTO covered
Unspecified in notice
Recurring procurement
Unspecified in notice
First published
17 Aug 2026, 15:04 BST
Last source update
17 Aug 2026, 15:04 BST
Authority reference
P12813
FTS notice number
2026/S 000-078186
Latest notice
Preliminary market engagement notice (UK2)
Classification (CPV)
Analytical, scientific, mathematical or forecasting software package
Delivery area
UK
Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-06e5c6 Find a Tender

How it was run

Official notice
Submission deadline
—

Timeline

17 Aug 2026 → 1 Mar 2028 · 4 dates
  1. Planning notice published65 days ago
    17 Aug 2026, 15:04 BST
  2. Today
    21 Oct 2026
  3. Market engagementin 72 days
    31 Dec 2026, 23:59 GMT

    The Authority intends to engage with interested suppliers through one or more of the following activities:

    • Expressions of interest.
    • Supplier questionnaires.
    • One-to-one supplier discussions.
    • Supplier demonstrations and presentations.
    • Requests for written information.

    Engagement discussions may cover:

    • Product functionality and roadmap.
    • Technical architecture and hosting arrangements.
    • Data migration approaches.
    • Integration capabilities.
    • Licensing and commercial models.
    • Implementation timescales.
    • Support and service management arrangements.
    • Exit and transition support.

    Suppliers wishing to participate should register their interest by contacting the Authority using the details below.

    Information obtained during market engagement will be used solely to inform procurement planning, specification development and route-to-market decisions.

  4. Tender notice expectedin 132 days
    1 Mar 2027, 23:59 GMT
  5. Contract starts
    1 Mar 2028

Notice history

1 event · 1 release on Find a Tender
  1. Preliminary market engagement notice published
    17 Aug 2026, 15:04 BST
    UK2

Commercial outcome & contract awards

Pipeline notice
Awards (0)
No award published
Contracts (0)
No contract published
Bid statistics
No aggregate bid statistics published

Contracting authority & participating public bodies

Government Actuary's Department

Contracting authorityPublic authority - central government GB-PPON: PJVY-9952-JQGR 6th Floor, 10 South Colonnade, London, London, E14 4PUContact email

Official documents & specifications (1)

Official links; attachments are not copied

Notices published for this procedure