Find a TenderPlanned procurementPipeline notice
Published 20 May 2025, 13:09 BST

Official UK procurement notice

Peninsula Residential Children's Homes Flexible Purchasing System (FPS)

Authority: Devon County Council (Local council)

ServicesLight touch regime
Planned pipeline valueValue not publishedpipeline notice, not a live tender
Tender notice expected 1 Aug 2026from the planned procurement notice
Contract term 5 yrsends 31 Jan 2032 · starts 1 Feb 2027

What is being bought

Published requirement description

Establishment of replacement Peninsula Residential Children's Homes Flexible Purchasing System (FPS) - This is due to replace the existing FPS

CPV: Health and social work services · Other community, social and personal services

The lotProcurement structure

single lot · no lot value published

Pipeline intelligence · planning stage: how this market runs before the tender is published

How Devon County Council buys Health and social work services (CPV 85), and who usually turns up

Devon County Council’s own published record, next to the published market for the same work. Frameworks and DPS are kept out: they attract a different number of bids. Whole-market view: Health and social work services (CPV 85) →

1

How the contest usually goes

Winner shares use published awards; bid and price charts use contested lots.

Question for the bid
This buyerDevon County Council · division 85
The marketHealth and social work services (CPV 85) · South West England
What to do with it
How often do SMEs win?
i

How often small and medium firms win.

Share of awards where the winner’s size is known.

The counts under this question show how many awards have a known supplier size.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 5 of 9 known-size awards · market: division 85 · South West England, n=890
56%45%

Small firms have won here. Neither number says whether you qualify; it describes who has been winning.

How often do local suppliers win?
i

How often local firms win similar work.

Winners with a registered address in the delivery region, out of awards with a known address.

Here, local means registered in South West England.

A local branch does not count if the registered address is elsewhere.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 14 of 15 known-location awards · market: division 85 · South West England, n=1,359
93%50%

Most of this buyer’s recorded winners are registered in South West England. More of this buyer’s work stays local than in this market: 93% against 50%, n=15.

How long to a decision?
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the deadline to the first award notice, on competitions that published both dates.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 24 decided notices · market: division 85 · South West England, n=121
51 days49 days

Half of these awards were announced within 51 days of the bid deadline.

How often single-bid or direct?
i

How often work is awarded with no recorded rival.

Direct awards and tenders where every published lot count shows one bid.

Both shares are minimums: some awards have no bid count.

Thin markets produce this too; it is not proof of a tailored specification.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: at least 10 of 14 procurements with awards had no recorded rival · market: division 85 · South West England, n=1,040
71%74%

Direct awards or one recorded bid are common here. Check the route before spending time on a bid.

How many bids did past lots attract?

i

How many bids past lots received.

Each colour is a bid-count range. Only competed lots with a published count are included.

Past bids do not predict this tender.

Last 36 months.

This buyer46 lots with bid counts · all categories
15% had one bid
The market239 lots with bid counts · division 85 · South West England
22% had one bid
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
1 bid15% / 22%
Buyer: 7 of 46 lots with published bid counts. Market: 52 of 239 lots with published bid counts.
2–337% / 37%
Buyer: 17 of 46 lots with published bid counts. Market: 89 of 239 lots with published bid counts.
4–633% / 23%
Buyer: 15 of 46 lots with published bid counts. Market: 54 of 239 lots with published bid counts.
7+15% / 18%
Buyer: 7 of 46 lots with published bid counts. Market: 44 of 239 lots with published bid counts.

How did awards compare with estimates?

i

Where winning prices landed against estimates.

Each colour shows awards below, close to or above the published estimate, one lot at a time.

Past prices are a guide, not a bid price.

Last 36 months.

This buyer29 lots with estimate and award · all categories
48% below estimate
The market172 lots with estimate and award · division 85 · South West England
33% below estimate
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
Below estimate48% / 33%
Buyer: 14 of 29 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 56 of 172 lots with an estimate and award.
Within ±2%38% / 66%
Buyer: 11 of 29 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 113 of 172 lots with an estimate and award.
Above estimate14% / 2%
Buyer: 4 of 29 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 3 of 172 lots with an estimate and award.
2

Assess each lot
i

What past awards tell you about each lot.

See the forecast, this buyer’s earlier suppliers and firms with relevant wins.

No supplier is confirmed as a bidder.

Open a lot for its forecast, this buyer’s previous supplier and possible competitors, from published award history, not a bid list

Our matching links this notice to “CP2216-22 Peninsula Residential Children's Homes Flexible Purchasing System (FPS)” of this authority, but none of the 4 panel members sit in a category matching this notice.

Lot #160 monthsEstimate not published
Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative. The bar shows 239 past lots.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

—No model forecast yet22% chance of a single bid
Past bids on 239 similar lots
1 bid22%
52 of 239 similar past lots received 1 bid (22%).
2–337%
89 of 239 similar past lots received 2–3 (37%).
4–623%
54 of 239 similar past lots received 4–6 (23%).
7+18%
44 of 239 similar past lots received 7+ (18%).
Comparable past lots usually drew 3 bids.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

No comparable awards for this lot yet.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

—Estimate not published
The buyer published no estimate for this lot, so there is nothing to forecast against. A price prediction here would be a number about a number we do not have.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

SupplierThis buyer’s earlier contractLotAward valueWhy listed
Keys PCE LimitedLive contractCP2216-22 Peninsula Residential Children's Homes Flexible Purchasing System (FPS)runs to Jan 2028Lot 1 Standard Residential Placements (Individual and Block Placements)—Matched as the earlier contract
Five Rivers Child Care LtdLive contractCP2216-22 Peninsula Residential Children's Homes Flexible Purchasing System (FPS)runs to Jan 2028Lot 1 Standard Residential Placements (Individual and Block Placements)—Matched as the earlier contract
IDEM Living LtdLive contractCP2216-22 Peninsula Residential Children's Homes Flexible Purchasing System (FPS)runs to Jan 2028Lot 1 Standard Residential Placements (Individual and Block Placements)—Matched as the earlier contract
Aspris Children's Services LimitedLive contractCP2216-22 Peninsula Residential Children's Homes Flexible Purchasing System (FPS)runs to Jan 2028Lot 1 Standard Residential Placements (Individual and Block Placements)—Matched as the earlier contract
Acorn Education and Care Services LtdLive contractCP2216-22 Peninsula Residential Children's Homes Flexible Purchasing System (FPS)runs to Jan 2028Lot 1 Standard Residential Placements (Individual and Block Placements)—Matched as the earlier contract

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

Candidate suppliers for this notice have not been worked out yet, so this is not a verdict that nobody fits.

About this data
  • Source. Official UK public procurement notices (Find a Tender), reused under the Open Government Licence v3.0. New notices arrive through the day; the figures are rebuilt nightly.
  • Two views, kept apart. The authority’s own track record and the wider market for the same kind of work sit side by side and are never mixed. Where the local picture is too thin, a figure widens to a broader market and says which one it used.
  • Forecasts are labelled. The price forecast and its range, possible competitors and the earlier-work matches are our estimates from past awards: not published facts, not win chances and not price advice. Official notices do not say who is bidding.
  • Every figure shows what it rests on. Not every notice publishes a bid count, a value or a delivery region, so each figure carries the number of records behind it, and one built on few records is marked as such. The on a figure explains it; the counting rules are in the methodology. Spotted something wrong? Tell us.

What this replaces
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

88% title match.

A past supplier may not bid again.

The prior contract this notice most likely re-tenders · matched by title and category (88% title match), the holder is not guaranteed to re-bid

CP2216-22 Peninsula Residential Children's Homes Flexible Purchasing System (FPS) — held by Mutual Care Limited and Next Step Independence Ltd (+1 more); the published contract ends 31 Jan 2028.

Procedure terms & legal framework

From the official record
Legal basis
UKPGA · 2023/54 Procurement Act 2023
Procurement category
Services
Notice status
Planned procurement
Procurement threshold
Unspecified in notice
Regulatory regime
Light touch regime
Commercial structure
Stand-alone contract (no framework)
Competition type
Competitive procedure
GPA / WTO covered
Unspecified in notice
Recurring procurement
Unspecified in notice
First published
20 May 2025, 13:09 BST
Last source update
20 May 2025, 13:09 BST
FTS notice number
2025/S 000-023211
Latest notice
Pipeline notice (UK1)
Classification (CPV)
Health and social work servicesOther community, social and personal services
Delivery area
South West (UKK)
Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-0518a7 Find a Tender

How it was run

Official notice
Submission deadline
—

Timeline

20 May 2025 → 1 Feb 2027 · 3 dates
  1. Planning notice published
    20 May 2025, 13:09 BST
  2. Tender notice expected81 days ago
    1 Aug 2026, 23:59 BST
  3. Today
    22 Oct 2026
  4. Contract startsin 102 days
    1 Feb 2027

Notice history

1 event · 1 release on Find a Tender
  1. Pipeline notice published
    20 May 2025, 13:09 BST
    UK1

Commercial outcome & contract awards

Pipeline notice
Awards (0)
No award published
Contracts (0)
No contract published
Bid statistics
No aggregate bid statistics published

Contracting authority & participating public bodies

Devon County Council

Contracting authorityPublic authority - sub-central government GB-PPON: PJRC-4623-RJBH County Hall, Topsham Road,, Exeter,, South West, EX2 4QDContact email

Official documents & specifications (1)

Official links; attachments are not copied

Notices published for this procedure

  • Pipeline notice planningPipeline noticeUK1Pipeline notice on Find a Tender