Find a TenderPlanned procurementPlanned procurement notice
Published 7 Jan 2026, 15:56 GMT

Official UK procurement notice

HMP Rye Hill - Planned procurement notice

Authority: Ministry of Justice (Central government)

ServicesCompetitive flexible procedureAbove thresholdLight touch regime
Planned pipeline value£400,000,000pipeline notice, not a live tender
Tender notice expected 15 Jun 2026from the planned procurement notice
Contract term 12 yrsends 19 Jan 2040 · starts 20 Jan 2028

What is being bought

Published requirement description

The Authority is seeking to establish a new contract for Prison Operator Services at HMP Rye Hill. The anticipated contract duration is 12 years from the operational services commencement date, with an option to extend by up to 3 years in 1-year increments, making the maximum term 15 years.

The procurement for HMP Rye Hill will be conducted under the Competitive Flexible Procedure (Light Touch Regime) under the Procurement Act 2023.

The Authority has tendered the operation of prisons to the private sector since the early 1990s and has long advocated a mixed approach to prison operation that includes public, voluntary and private sector involvement. HMP Rye Hill is a male Category C Private Finance Initiative (PFI) located in Northamptonshire, England, with a current operational maximum capacity of 1,122.

An indicative timetable for the procurement is outlined below. Please note these dates may be subject to change:

  • Publication of Tender Notice and Procurement Documentation – 15/06/2026
  • Deadline for Submission of PSQ and COP Responses – Midday 26/06/2026
  • Authority issue PSQ and COP Notification Letters – 10/07/2026
  • Bidder Engagement and Dialogue - 13/07/2026 to 31/08/2026
  • Publication of ISFT Documentation – 07/09/2026
  • Deadline for Submission of Tender Responses – 25/09/2026
  • Contract Award – 05/04/2027

This notice is for information only and the Authority reserves the right to not proceed to tender. Additionally, the Authority reserves the right to discontinue the tender process at any stage and not to award the Contract.

The information contained in this notice, including information relating to the nature and scope of the requirements, the estimated value, the service classification of this requirement or the list of CPV codes, is only indicative of current thinking and is neither exhaustive nor binding, and the Authority reserves the right at its absolute discretion to amend it at the time of issue or any further notices or at any other time. The publication of this notice in no way obliges the Authority to commence any competitive tender process. Any contracts are subject to the relevant legal and Cabinet Office controls and policies.

CPV: Imprisonment services · Prison services · Public security, law and order services

The lotProcurement structure

single lot · value published
Lot #1Planned 12 yrsPublished value£400,000,000
Contract period: 20 Jan 2028 – 19 Jan 2040 (12 yrs)Value: £400,000,000 exc. VAT · £400,000,000 inc. VAT
Delivery: East Midlands
Pre-qualification & selection criteria (PQQ)1
  • Condition of participation

    No

    shortlisting

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

What it takes to win
i

How this buyer will score bids.

The evaluation criteria and weights exactly as published on the notice, grouped by family (price, quality, social value and so on).

Evaluation split and conditions of participation as published; the tender pack may add more
Conditions of participation1
  • Condition of participation

    No

    shortlisting

Pipeline intelligence · planning stage: how this market runs before the tender is published

How Ministry of Justice buys Justice services (CPV 7523), and who usually turns up

Ministry of Justice’s own published record, next to the published market for the same work. Frameworks and DPS are kept out: they attract a different number of bids. Whole-market view: Justice services (CPV 7523) →

1

How the contest usually goes

Winner shares use published awards; bid and price charts use contested lots.

Question for the bid
This buyerMinistry of Justice · division 75
What to do with it
How often do SMEs win?
i

How often small and medium firms win.

Share of awards where the winner’s size is known.

The counts under this question show how many awards have a known supplier size.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 13 of 33 known-size awards · market: CPV 7523 · UK-wide, n=37
39%49%

Small firms have won here. Neither number says whether you qualify; it describes who has been winning.

How often do local suppliers win?
i

How often local firms win similar work.

Winners with a registered address in the delivery region, out of awards with a known address.

Here, local means registered in East Midlands.

A local branch does not count if the registered address is elsewhere.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 1 of 2 known-location awards · market: CPV 7523 · East Midlands, n=6
1 of 20%

Most of this buyer’s recorded winners are registered in East Midlands.

How long to a decision?
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the deadline to the first award notice, on competitions that published both dates.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 4 decided notices · market: CPV 7523 · UK-wide, n=12
58 days38 days

Half of these awards were announced within 58 days of the bid deadline.

How often single-bid or direct?
i

How often work is awarded with no recorded rival.

Direct awards and tenders where every published lot count shows one bid.

The market share is a minimum: some awards have no bid count.

Thin markets produce this too; it is not proof of a tailored specification.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: exactly 45 of 49 procurements with awards had no recorded rival · market: CPV 7523 · East Midlands, n=6
92%50%

Direct awards or one recorded bid are common here. Check the route before spending time on a bid.

How many bids did past lots attract?

i

How many bids past lots received.

Each colour is a bid-count range. Only competed lots with a published count are included.

Past bids do not predict this tender.

Last 36 months.

This buyer5 lots with bid counts · broad CPV 75
20% had one bid
The market16 lots with bid counts · CPV 7523 · UK-wide
25% had one bid
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
1 bid20% / 25%
Buyer: 1 of 5 lots with published bid counts. Market: 4 of 16 lots with published bid counts.
2–360% / 56%
Buyer: 3 of 5 lots with published bid counts. Market: 9 of 16 lots with published bid counts.
4–60% / 6%
Buyer: 0 of 5 lots with published bid counts. Market: 1 of 16 lots with published bid counts.
7+20% / 13%
Buyer: 1 of 5 lots with published bid counts. Market: 2 of 16 lots with published bid counts.

How did awards compare with estimates?

i

Where winning prices landed against estimates.

Each colour shows awards below, close to or above the published estimate, one lot at a time.

Past prices are a guide, not a bid price.

Last 36 months.

This buyer27 lots with estimate and award · all categories
56% below estimate
The market12 lots with estimate and award · CPV 7523 · UK-wide
17% below estimate
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
Below estimate56% / 17%
Buyer: 15 of 27 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 2 of 12 lots with an estimate and award.
Within ±2%30% / 83%
Buyer: 8 of 27 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 10 of 12 lots with an estimate and award.
Above estimate15% / 0%
Buyer: 4 of 27 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 0 of 12 lots with an estimate and award.
2

Assess each lot
i

What past awards tell you about each lot.

See the forecast, this buyer’s earlier suppliers and firms with relevant wins.

No supplier is confirmed as a bidder.

Open a lot for its forecast, this buyer’s previous supplier and possible competitors, from published award history, not a bid list

Lot #1CPV 7523144 monthsPublished estimate£400m
Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative. The bar shows 28 past lots.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

—No model forecast yet4% chance of a single bid
Past bids on 28 similar lots
1 bid4%
1 of 28 similar past lots received 1 bid (4%).
2–364%
18 of 28 similar past lots received 2–3 (64%).
4–614%
4 of 28 similar past lots received 4–6 (14%).
7+18%
5 of 28 similar past lots received 7+ (18%).
Comparable past lots usually drew 3 bids.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

No comparable awards for this lot yet.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

—No model forecast yet
No comparable awards on record for this lot’s category yet. The published estimate is £400m, and the forecast stays empty until the market has a record to read.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

No earlier contract of this buyer matches this lot on the published record.

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

Restricted route (Stage 2 ITT / Shortlist): Bidding is restricted to invited candidates who qualified at Stage 1. Uninvited suppliers cannot participate in this round.

Candidate suppliers for this notice have not been worked out yet, so this is not a verdict that nobody fits.

About this data
  • Source. Official UK public procurement notices (Find a Tender), reused under the Open Government Licence v3.0. New notices arrive through the day; the figures are rebuilt nightly.
  • Two views, kept apart. The authority’s own track record and the wider market for the same kind of work sit side by side and are never mixed. Where the local picture is too thin, a figure widens to a broader market and says which one it used.
  • Forecasts are labelled. The price forecast and its range, possible competitors and the earlier-work matches are our estimates from past awards: not published facts, not win chances and not price advice. Official notices do not say who is bidding.
  • Every figure shows what it rests on. Not every notice publishes a bid count, a value or a delivery region, so each figure carries the number of records behind it, and one built on few records is marked as such. The on a figure explains it; the counting rules are in the methodology. Spotted something wrong? Tell us.

Procedure terms & legal framework

From the official record
Procedure method
Competitive flexible procedure
Legal basis
UKPGA · 2023/54 Procurement Act 2023
Procurement category
Services
Notice status
Planned procurement
Procurement threshold
Above threshold (FTS publication)
Regulatory regime
Light touch regime
Commercial structure
Stand-alone contract (no framework)
Competition type
Competitive procedure
GPA / WTO covered
Unspecified in notice
Recurring procurement
Unspecified in notice
First published
7 Jan 2026, 15:56 GMT
Last source update
7 Jan 2026, 15:56 GMT
Award evaluation window
Submission end – 5 Apr 2027
FTS notice number
2026/S 000-001183
Latest notice
Planned procurement notice (UK3)
Classification (CPV)
Imprisonment servicesPrison servicesPublic security, law and order services
Delivery area
East Midlands (UKF24)
Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-060141 Find a Tender

How it was run

Official notice
Run through: Jaggaer · Who buys & how to bid on JAGGAER
Supplier login requiredElectronic submission allowedLanguage: EN
Access & registration note: Free; latest Chrome/Edge/Firefox only — corporate browsers fail
Requests to participate (first stage)
29 Jun 2026, 23:59 BST
Submission deadline
29 Jun 2026, 23:59 BST
Clarification deadline
23 Jun 2026, 23:59 BST
Submission channel
Official e-sourcing portal
Electronic submission
Allowed
Accepted languages
en
Detailed submission instructions & authority contactsFrom official release

Timeline

7 Jan 2026 → 20 Jan 2028 · 6 dates
  1. Planning notice published288 days ago
    7 Jan 2026, 15:56 GMT
  2. Tender notice expected129 days ago
    15 Jun 2026, 23:59 BST
  3. Clarification questions by121 days ago
    23 Jun 2026, 23:59 BST
  4. Submission deadline115 days ago
    29 Jun 2026, 23:59 BST
  5. Today
    23 Oct 2026
  6. Award decision expected byin 165 days
    5 Apr 2027, 23:59 BST
  7. Contract starts
    20 Jan 2028

Notice history

1 event · 1 release on Find a Tender
  1. Planned procurement notice published
    7 Jan 2026, 15:56 GMT
    UK3

Commercial outcome & contract awards

Pipeline notice
Awards (0)
No award published
Contracts (0)
No contract published
Bid statistics
No aggregate bid statistics published

Contracting authority & participating public bodies

Ministry of Justice

Contracting authorityPublic authority - central government GB-PPON: PDNN-2773-HVYN 102 Petty France, London, London, SW1H 9AJContact name, email

Official documents & specifications (1)

Official links; attachments are not copied

Notices published for this procedure