Find a TenderPlanned procurementPreliminary market engagement notice
Published 11 Feb 2026, 16:14 GMT

Official UK procurement notice

Expression of Interest (EOI): Storey Arms – Decarbonisation Project

Authority: Cardiff Council (Central government)

ServicesBelow thresholdSME suitableVCSE suitable
Planned pipeline value£125,000pipeline notice, not a live tender · 1 value update
Tender notice expected 1 Sept 2026from the planned procurement notice
Contract term 4 moends 1 Jan 2027 · starts 2 Sept 2026

What is being bought

Published requirement description

Expression of Interest (EOI): Storey Arms – Decarbonisation Project

  1. Introduction

Cardiff Council is seeking Expressions of Interest from suitably qualified and experienced suppliers to support a major decarbonisation project at the Storey Arms Outdoor Education Centre. The centre is a long‑established educational facility located within Bannau Brycheiniog National Park, welcoming thousands of young people and learners annually. This project aims to significantly reduce the site’s carbon footprint while demonstrating best practice in sustainability to visitors and stakeholders.

CPV: Electrical machinery, apparatus, equipment and consumables; lighting · Electricity, heating, solar and nuclear energy · Energy and related services · Industrial machinery

The lotProcurement structure

single lot · no lot value published

Pipeline intelligence · planning stage: how this market runs before the tender is published

How Cardiff Council buys Electricity, heating, solar and nuclear energy (CPV 0930), and who usually turns up

Cardiff Council’s published record next to the market for the same work. Frameworks and DPS are left out: they draw different bid counts. Whole-market view: Electricity, heating, solar and nuclear energy (CPV 0930) →

1

How the contest usually goes

Winner shares use published awards; bid and price charts use contested lots.

Question for the bid
This buyerCardiff Council · all categories
What to do with it
How often do SMEs win?
i

How often small and medium firms win.

Share of awards where the winner’s size is known.

The counts under this question show how many awards have a known supplier size.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 12 of 25 known-size awards · market: CPV 0930 · UK-wide, n=10
48%10%

Small firms have won here. Neither number says whether you qualify; it describes who has been winning.

How often do local suppliers win?
i

How often local firms win similar work.

Winners with a registered address in the delivery region, out of awards with a known address.

Local means the winner is registered in the region where that award was delivered.

A local branch does not count if the registered address is elsewhere.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 27 of 43 known-location awards · market: CPV 0930 · UK-wide, n=7
63%71%

Most of this buyer’s recorded winners were registered in the region where that award was delivered.

How long to a decision?
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the bid deadline to the award date, on competitions that published both.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 15 decided notices · market: division 09 · Wales (Cymru), n=11
61 days47 days

Half of these awards have an award date within 61 days of the bid deadline.

How often single-bid or direct?
i

How often work is awarded with no recorded rival.

Direct awards and tenders where every published lot count shows one bid.

Both shares are minimums: some awards have no bid count.

Thin markets produce this too; it is not proof of a tailored specification.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: at least 17 of 36 procurements with awards had no recorded rival · market: CPV 0930 · UK-wide, n=12
47%50%

Direct awards or one recorded bid are common here. Check the route before spending time on a bid.

How many bids did past lots attract?

i

How many bids past lots received.

Each colour is a bid-count range. Only competed lots with a published count are included.

Past bids do not predict this tender.

Last 36 months.

This buyer24 lots with bid counts · all categories
13% had one bid
The market13 lots with bid counts · division 09 · Wales (Cymru)
0% had one bid
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
1 bid13% / 0%
Buyer: 3 of 24 lots with published bid counts. Market: 0 of 13 lots with published bid counts.
2–346% / 46%
Buyer: 11 of 24 lots with published bid counts. Market: 6 of 13 lots with published bid counts.
4–638% / 15%
Buyer: 9 of 24 lots with published bid counts. Market: 2 of 13 lots with published bid counts.
7+4% / 38%
Buyer: 1 of 24 lots with published bid counts. Market: 5 of 13 lots with published bid counts.

How did awards compare with estimates?

i

Where winning prices landed against estimates.

Each colour shows awards below, close to or above the published estimate, one lot at a time.

Past prices are a guide, not a bid price.

Last 36 months.

This buyer21 lots with estimate and award · all categories
48% below estimate
The market8 lots with estimate and award · division 09 · Wales (Cymru)
63% below estimate
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
Below estimate48% / 63%
Buyer: 10 of 21 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 5 of 8 lots with an estimate and award.
Within ±2%24% / 13%
Buyer: 5 of 21 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 1 of 8 lots with an estimate and award.
Above estimate29% / 25%
Buyer: 6 of 21 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 2 of 8 lots with an estimate and award.
2

Assess each lot
i

What past awards tell you about each lot.

See the forecast, this buyer’s earlier suppliers and firms with relevant wins.

No supplier is confirmed as a bidder.

Open a lot for its forecast, this buyer’s previous supplier and possible competitors, from published award history, not a bid list

Lot #1CPV 71314 monthsSME suitablePublished estimate£125k

This lot is listed as CPV 7131. The table above uses the notice category.

Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative. The bar shows 29 past lots.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

—No model forecast yet14% chance of a single bid
Past bids on 29 similar lots
1 bid14%
4 of 29 similar past lots received 1 bid (14%).
2–324%
7 of 29 similar past lots received 2–3 (24%).
4–631%
9 of 29 similar past lots received 4–6 (31%).
7+31%
9 of 29 similar past lots received 7+ (31%).
Comparable past lots usually drew 4 bids.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

No comparable awards for this lot yet.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

—No model forecast yet
No comparable awards on record for this lot’s category yet. The published estimate is £125k, and the forecast stays empty until the market has a record to read.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

No earlier contract of this buyer matches this lot on the published record.

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

Candidate suppliers for this notice have not been worked out yet, so this is not a verdict that nobody fits.

About this data
  • Source. Official UK public procurement notices (Find a Tender), reused under the Open Government Licence v3.0. New notices arrive through the day; the figures are rebuilt nightly.
  • Two views, kept apart. The authority’s own track record and the wider market for the same kind of work sit side by side and are never mixed. Where the local picture is too thin, a figure widens to a broader market and says which one it used.
  • Forecasts are labelled. The price forecast and its range, possible competitors and the earlier-work matches are our estimates from past awards: not published facts, not win chances and not price advice. Official notices do not say who is bidding.
  • Every figure shows what it rests on. Not every notice publishes a bid count, a value or a delivery region, so each figure carries the number of records behind it, and one built on few records is marked as such. The on a figure explains it; the counting rules are in the methodology. Spotted something wrong? Tell us.

Procedure terms & legal framework

From the official record
Legal basis
UKPGA · 2023/54 Procurement Act 2023
Procurement category
Services
Notice status
Planned procurement
Procurement threshold
Below threshold
Regulatory regime
Standard
Commercial structure
Stand-alone contract (no framework)
Competition type
Competitive procedure
GPA / WTO covered
Unspecified in notice
Recurring procurement
Unspecified in notice
First published
11 Feb 2026, 16:14 GMT
Last source update
11 Feb 2026, 16:50 GMT
Authority reference
ERFX1008785
FTS notice number
2026/S 000-012601
Latest notice
Preliminary market engagement notice (UK2)
Classification (CPV)
Electrical machinery, apparatus, equipment and consumables; lightingElectricity, heating, solar and nuclear energyEnergy and related servicesIndustrial machinery
Delivery area
Wales (UKL2)
Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-064e45 Find a Tender

How it was run

Official notice
Submission deadline
—

Timeline

11 Feb 2026 → 2 Sept 2026 · 4 dates
  1. Planning notice published254 days ago
    11 Feb 2026, 16:14 GMT
  2. Market engagement242 days ago
    23 Feb 2026, 23:59 GMT

    Any questions must be sent through the Proactis Portal.

    To see opportunities, you can sign up here and search for the project using the reference number 'ERFX1008785' and project name 'Storey Arms – Decarbonisation Project' -

    supplierlive.proactisp2p.com/account/login ↗

  3. Tender notice expected52 days ago
    1 Sept 2026, 23:59 BST
  4. Contract starts52 days ago
    2 Sept 2026, 00:00 BST

Notice history

3 events · 2 releases on Find a Tender · since 11 Feb 2026
  1. Preliminary market engagement notice published
    11 Feb 2026, 16:14 GMT
    UK2
  2. Preliminary market engagement notice published
    11 Feb 2026, 16:50 GMT
    UK2
  3. Published value updated to £125,000
    11 Feb 2026, 16:50 GMT
    was £1,250,000

Commercial outcome & contract awards

Pipeline notice
Awards (0)
No award published
Contracts (0)
No contract published
Bid statistics
No aggregate bid statistics published

Contracting authority & participating public bodies

Cardiff Council

Contracting authorityPublic authority - sub-central governmentWelsh devolved regulations apply GB-PPON: PVHP-5769-YHRQ County Hall, Cardiff, Wales, CF10 4UWContact name, email, phone

Official documents & specifications (2)

Official links; attachments are not copied

Notices published for this procedure