Find a TenderOpen for tender Tender notice
Published 4 Nov 2026, 12:12 GMT

Official UK procurement notice

Ceredigion - Provision of Housing Support for People with Physical Disabilities & Sensory Loss as a Primary Need (Disabilities)

Authority: Cyngor Sir Ceredigion County Council (Central government)

ServicesBelow threshold - open competitionBelow thresholdLight touch regimeSME suitableVCSE suitable
Published estimate£416,794≈ £104k / year · £500,152 inc. VAT
Submission deadline 15 Dec 202612:00 GMT · 40 days left
Clarification cut-off 8 Dec 202612:00 GMT · questions to the authority
Contract term 4 yrsends 31 Mar 2031 · up to 31 Mar 2033 with extensions · starts 1 Apr 2027

What is being bought

Published requirement description

Ceredigion County Council is tendering a contract for the delivery of housing related support for people across a spectrum of needs where physical and sensory disabilities are the primary support need.

CPV: Social work and related services

The lotProcurement structure

single lot · value published
Lot #1Renewal 4 yrsSMEVCSEPublished value£416,794
Contract period: 1 Apr 2027 – 31 Mar 2031 (4 yrs) · up to 31 Mar 2033 with extensionsValue: £416,794 exc. VAT · £500,152 inc. VAT
Delivery: WalesEligibility: SME eligibleVCSE eligibleTurnover guideline: ~£208,254/yr≈ 2× annual value
Extensions: 24 months

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

What it takes to win
i

How this buyer will score bids.

The evaluation criteria and weights exactly as published on the notice, grouped by family (price, quality, social value and so on).

Evaluation split and conditions of participation as published; the tender pack may add more
How bids are scored
Quality: 70%Price: 30%
Published sub-criteria (2)
  • technical: 70%
  • commercial: 30%
Published award criteria (2)
  • technical
  • commercial

No conditions of participation were published on the notice; check the tender documents.

What this means for your bid
  • Price carries 30 of 100 points: a 10% discount moves about 3 points. The method statement decides this lot, not the discount.
  • Turnover usually expected at this size: about £208,254 (twice the annual value).

Price arithmetic assumes straight proportional scoring; the tender pack may use another formula. Turnover is an indicative market norm (≈2× annual value), not a published condition.

Competition analysis · published record, not a forecast of who will bid

How Cyngor Sir Ceredigion County Council buys Social work and related services (CPV 8530), and who usually turns up

Cyngor Sir Ceredigion County Council’s published record next to the market for the same work. Frameworks and DPS are left out: they draw different bid counts. Whole-market view: Social work and related services (CPV 8530) →

1

How the contest usually goes

Winner shares use published awards; bid and price charts use contested lots.

Question for the bid
This buyerCyngor Sir Ceredigion County Council · division 85
What to do with it
How often do SMEs win?
i

How often small and medium firms win.

Share of awards where the winner’s size is known.

The counts under this question show how many awards have a known supplier size.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 1 of 2 known-size awards · market: CPV 8530 · Wales (Cymru), n=24
1 of 258%

Small firms have won here. Neither number says whether you qualify; it describes who has been winning.

How often do local suppliers win?
i

How often local firms win similar work.

Winners with a registered address in the delivery region, out of awards with a known address.

Local means the winner is registered in the region where that award was delivered. The market figure counts awards delivered in Wales (Cymru).

A local branch does not count if the registered address is elsewhere.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 8 of 8 known-location awards · market: CPV 8530 · Wales (Cymru), n=42
100%76%

Most of this buyer’s recorded winners were registered in the region where that award was delivered.

How long to a decision?
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the bid deadline to the award date, on competitions that published both.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 6 decided notices · market: CPV 8530 · Wales (Cymru), n=13
32 days33 days

Half of these awards have an award date within 32 days of the bid deadline.

How often single-bid or direct?
i

How often work is awarded with no recorded rival.

Direct awards and tenders where every published lot count shows one bid.

Both shares are minimums: some awards have no bid count.

Thin markets produce this too; it is not proof of a tailored specification.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: at least 1 of 6 procurements with awards had no recorded rival · market: CPV 8530 · Wales (Cymru), n=35
17%34%

Missing bid counts may hide more single-bid awards. This share is a minimum.

How many bids did past lots attract?

i

How many bids past lots received.

Each colour is a bid-count range. Only competed lots with a published count are included.

Past bids do not predict this tender.

Last 36 months.

This buyer7 lots with bid counts · broad CPV 85
43% had one bid
The market41 lots with bid counts · CPV 8530 · Wales (Cymru)
24% had one bid
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
1 bid43% / 24%
Buyer: 3 of 7 lots with published bid counts. Market: 10 of 41 lots with published bid counts.
2–357% / 44%
Buyer: 4 of 7 lots with published bid counts. Market: 18 of 41 lots with published bid counts.
4–60% / 24%
Buyer: 0 of 7 lots with published bid counts. Market: 10 of 41 lots with published bid counts.
7+0% / 7%
Buyer: 0 of 7 lots with published bid counts. Market: 3 of 41 lots with published bid counts.

How did awards compare with estimates?

i

Where winning prices landed against estimates.

Each colour shows awards below, close to or above the published estimate, one lot at a time.

Past prices are a guide, not a bid price.

Last 36 months.

This buyer7 lots with estimate and award · broad CPV 85
14% below estimate
The market15 lots with estimate and award · CPV 8530 · Wales (Cymru)
27% below estimate
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
Below estimate14% / 27%
Buyer: 1 of 7 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 4 of 15 lots with an estimate and award.
Within ±2%86% / 67%
Buyer: 6 of 7 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 10 of 15 lots with an estimate and award.
Above estimate0% / 7%
Buyer: 0 of 7 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 1 of 15 lots with an estimate and award.
2

Assess each lot
i

What past awards tell you about each lot.

See the forecast, this buyer’s earlier suppliers and firms with relevant wins.

No supplier is confirmed as a bidder.

Open a lot for its forecast, this buyer’s previous supplier and possible competitors, from published award history, not a bid list

Lot #1CPV 853048 monthsSME suitablePublished estimate£417k
Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative. The bar shows 41 past lots.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

—No model forecast yet24% chance of a single bid
Past bids on 41 similar lots
1 bid24%
10 of 41 similar past lots received 1 bid (24%).
2–344%
18 of 41 similar past lots received 2–3 (44%).
4–624%
10 of 41 similar past lots received 4–6 (24%).
7+7%
3 of 41 similar past lots received 7+ (7%).
Comparable past lots usually drew 2 bids.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

No comparable awards for this lot yet.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

—No model forecast yet
No comparable awards on record for this lot’s category yet. The published estimate is £417k, and the forecast stays empty until the market has a record to read.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

SupplierThis buyer’s earlier contractLotAward valueWhy listed
The Wallich Clifford Community (known as The Wallich)Live contractCeredigion - Provision of Housing Support for Familiesruns to Mar 2030—£912kMatched as the earlier contract

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

Candidate suppliers for this notice have not been worked out yet, so this is not a verdict that nobody fits.

About this data
  • Source. Official UK public procurement notices (Find a Tender), reused under the Open Government Licence v3.0. New notices arrive through the day; the figures are rebuilt nightly. Contracts Finder contracts appear on the Retender Radar, not yet in these figures.
  • Two views, kept apart. The authority’s own track record and the wider market for the same kind of work sit side by side and are never mixed. Where the local picture is too thin, a figure widens to a broader market and says which one it used.
  • Forecasts are labelled. The price forecast and its range, possible competitors and the earlier-work matches are our estimates from past awards: not published facts, not win chances and not price advice. Official notices do not say who is bidding.
  • Every figure shows what it rests on. Not every notice publishes a bid count, a value or a delivery region, so each figure carries the number of records behind it, and one built on few records is marked as such. The on a figure explains it; the counting rules are in the methodology. Spotted something wrong? Tell us.

What this replaces
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

43% title match.

A past supplier may not bid again.

The prior contract this notice most likely re-tenders · matched by title and category (43% title match), the holder is not guaranteed to re-bid

Ceredigion - Provision of Housing Support for Families — held by The Wallich Clifford Community (known as The Wallich); the published contract ends 31 Mar 2030.

Procedure terms & legal framework

From the official record
Procedure method
Below threshold - open competition
Legal basis
UKPGA · 2023/54 Procurement Act 2023
Procurement category
Services
Notice status
Open for tender
Procurement threshold
Below threshold
Regulatory regime
Light touch regime
Commercial structure
Stand-alone contract (no framework)
Competition type
Competitive procedure
GPA / WTO covered
Unspecified in notice
Recurring procurement
Unspecified in notice
First published
4 Nov 2026, 12:12 GMT
Last source update
4 Nov 2026, 12:12 GMT
Authority reference
itt_127191
FTS notice number
2026/S 000-104617
Latest notice
Tender notice (UK4)
Classification (CPV)
Social work and related services
Delivery area
Wales (UKL1)
Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-07b2ca Find a Tender

How to participate & submission route

Official notice Submit via Sell2Wales
Submission portal named on this notice: Sell2Wales · Who buys & how to bid on Sell2Wales
Supplier login requiredElectronic submission allowed
Access & registration note: Free Wales registration; eTenderWales runs on Jaggaer
Requests to participate (first stage)
—
Tender submission deadline
15 Dec 2026, 12:00 GMT
Clarification deadline
8 Dec 2026, 12:00 GMT
Submission channel
Official e-sourcing portal
Electronic submission
Allowed
Detailed submission instructions & authority contactsFrom official release
Published estimate £416,794 excludes VAT (£500,152 including VAT).

Timeline

4 Nov 2026 → 1 Apr 2027 · 4 dates
  1. Tender notice published14h ago
    4 Nov 2026, 12:12 GMT
  2. Today
    5 Nov 2026
  3. Clarification questions byin 33 days
    8 Dec 2026, 12:00 GMT
  4. Submission deadlinein 40 days
    15 Dec 2026, 12:00 GMT
  5. Contract startsin 146 days
    1 Apr 2027, 00:00 BST

Notice history

1 event · 1 release on Find a Tender
  1. Tender notice published
    4 Nov 2026, 12:12 GMT
    UK4

Commercial outcome & contract awards

Nothing awarded yet
Awards (0)
No award published
Contracts (0)
No contract published
Bid statistics
No aggregate bid statistics published

Contracting authority & participating public bodies

Cyngor Sir Ceredigion County Council

Contracting authorityPublic authority - central governmentWelsh devolved regulations apply GB-PPON: PRYH-5713-PHLR Neuadd y Cyngor, Aberystwyth, Wales, SY23 3UEContact name, email, phone

Official documents & specifications (1)

Official links; attachments are not copied

Notices published for this procedure

  • Tender notice tenderTender noticeUK4Tender notice on Find a Tender