Find a TenderPlanned procurement
Published 8 Jan 2026, 15:05 GMT

Official UK procurement notice

Call for Competition publication - Rail Replacement

Authority: Transport for London (Public body)

Services
Planned pipeline valueValue not publishedpipeline notice, not a live tender
Tender notice expected Date not publishedfrom the planned procurement notice
Contract term 1 yrends 20 Jan 2027 · starts 21 Jan 2026

What is being bought

Published requirement description

No description was published on the notice. See the official documents.

CPV: Special-purpose road passenger-transport services

The lotProcurement structure

single lot · no lot value published
Lot #1London Bus Services Limited is a wholly owned subsidiary of Transport for London (TfL) 1 yr

London Bus Services Limited is a wholly owned subsidiary of Transport for London (TfL). TfL is a complex organisation operating both as a functional body of the Greater London Authority (GLA) under the direction of the Mayor of London and as a provider of transport. Further information on TfL can be found at

www.tfl.gov.uk ↗ (www.tfl.gov.uk ↗).

The contract or contracts (if any) resulting ultimately from this notice may be awarded by, and may be for the benefit of London Bus Services Limited, TfL and/or any of its other subsidiaries.

London Bus Services Limited reserves the right to award any contract in whole or in part or not at all as a result of this notice. London Bus services Limited, TfL and/or any of its subsidiaries shall not be liable for any costs or expenses incurred by any bidders in responding to this notice or in tendering for related contract(s).

Contract period: 21 Jan 2026 – 20 Jan 2027 (1 yr)
Delivery: London

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

Pipeline intelligence · planning stage: how this market runs before the tender is published

How Transport for London buys Special-purpose road passenger-transport services (CPV 6013), and who usually turns up

Transport for London’s published record next to the market for the same work. Frameworks and DPS are left out: they draw different bid counts. Whole-market view: Special-purpose road passenger-transport services (CPV 6013) →

1

How the contest usually goes

Winner shares use published awards; bid and price charts use contested lots.

Question for the bid
This buyerTransport for London · division 60
What to do with it
How often do SMEs win?
i

How often small and medium firms win.

Share of awards where the winner’s size is known.

The counts under this question show how many awards have a known supplier size.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 1 of 138 known-size awards · market: CPV 6013 · UK-wide, n=32
1%28%

Small firms have won here. Neither number says whether you qualify; it describes who has been winning.

How often do local suppliers win?
i

How often local firms win similar work.

Winners with a registered address in the delivery region, out of awards with a known address.

Local means the winner is registered in the region where that award was delivered.

A local branch does not count if the registered address is elsewhere.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 138 of 138 known-location awards · market: CPV 6013 · UK-wide, n=50
100%100%

Most of this buyer’s recorded winners were registered in the region where that award was delivered.

How long to a decision?
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the bid deadline to the award date, on competitions that published both.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: no decision dates published · market: CPV 6013 · UK-wide, n=5
—71 days

Half of these awards have an award date within 71 days of the bid deadline.

How often single-bid or direct?
i

How often work is awarded with no recorded rival.

Direct awards and tenders where every published lot count shows one bid.

Both shares are minimums: some awards have no bid count.

Thin markets produce this too; it is not proof of a tailored specification.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: at least 77 of 137 procurements with awards had no recorded rival · market: CPV 6013 · UK-wide, n=23
56%52%

Direct awards or one recorded bid are common here. Check the route before spending time on a bid.

How many bids did past lots attract?

i

How many bids past lots received.

Each colour is a bid-count range. Only competed lots with a published count are included.

Past bids do not predict this tender.

Last 36 months.

This buyer137 lots with bid counts · broad CPV 60
55% had one bid
The market9 lots with bid counts · CPV 6013 · UK-wide
22% had one bid
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
1 bid55% / 22%
Buyer: 76 of 137 lots with published bid counts. Market: 2 of 9 lots with published bid counts.
2–344% / 67%
Buyer: 60 of 137 lots with published bid counts. Market: 6 of 9 lots with published bid counts.
4–61% / 11%
Buyer: 1 of 137 lots with published bid counts. Market: 1 of 9 lots with published bid counts.
7+0% / 0%
Buyer: 0 of 137 lots with published bid counts. Market: 0 of 9 lots with published bid counts.

How did awards compare with estimates?

i

Where winning prices landed against estimates.

Each colour shows awards below, close to or above the published estimate, one lot at a time.

Past prices are a guide, not a bid price.

Last 36 months.

This buyer25 lots with estimate and award · all categories
48% below estimate
The market12 lots with estimate and award · division 60 · Greater London
8% below estimate
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
Below estimate48% / 8%
Buyer: 12 of 25 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 1 of 12 lots with an estimate and award.
Within ±2%32% / 58%
Buyer: 8 of 25 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 7 of 12 lots with an estimate and award.
Above estimate20% / 33%
Buyer: 5 of 25 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 4 of 12 lots with an estimate and award.
2

Assess each lot
i

What past awards tell you about each lot.

See the forecast, this buyer’s earlier suppliers and firms with relevant wins.

No supplier is confirmed as a bidder.

Open a lot for its forecast, this buyer’s previous supplier and possible competitors, from published award history, not a bid list

Lot #1London Bus Services Limited is a wholly owned subsidiary of Transport for London (TfL)CPV 601312 monthsEstimate not published
Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

2expected bids15% chance of a single bid
similar past contests in this category: 4,896
Forecast chances for this lot
1 bid15%
Chance this lot gets 1 bid: 15%. This is a forecast.
2–356%
Chance this lot gets 2–3: 56%. This is a forecast.
4–621%
Chance this lot gets 4–6: 21%. This is a forecast.
7+7%
Chance this lot gets 7+: 7%. This is a forecast.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

No comparable awards for this lot yet.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

—Estimate not published
The buyer published no estimate for this lot, so there is nothing to forecast against. A price prediction here would be a number about a number we do not have.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

SupplierThis buyer’s earlier contractLotAward valueWhy listed
Lime Technology LtdWorked for this buyerElectric Scooters (E-Scooters) Rental Trial 2 in Londonnotice published Jul 2023——Similar wording and category
VOI TECHNOLOGY UK LTDWorked for this buyerElectric Scooters (E-Scooters) Rental Trial 2 in Londonnotice published Jul 2023——Similar wording and category
EMTransit Ltd.Worked for this buyerElectric Scooters (E-Scooters) Rental Trial 2 in Londonnotice published Jul 2023——Similar wording and category

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

SupplierWon in this categoryLive contractsAward vs estimate
Buyer regular2 wins in Greater London1 panel places
£42m9 awards in 36m · last 2 months ago2 live · £20m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=3
Buyer regular
£18m3 awards in 36m · last 4 months ago2 live · £54m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

no comparable pairs
£24m14 awards in 36m · last 1 months ago4 live · £16m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

10% below n=7
£16m17 awards in 36m · last 5 months ago10 live · £7.8m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

no comparable pairs
£25m18 awards in 36m · last 11 months ago3 live · £8.2m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

22% below n=1
About this data
  • Source. Official UK public procurement notices (Find a Tender), reused under the Open Government Licence v3.0. New notices arrive through the day; the figures are rebuilt nightly.
  • Two views, kept apart. The authority’s own track record and the wider market for the same kind of work sit side by side and are never mixed. Where the local picture is too thin, a figure widens to a broader market and says which one it used.
  • Forecasts are labelled. The price forecast and its range, possible competitors and the earlier-work matches are our estimates from past awards: not published facts, not win chances and not price advice. Official notices do not say who is bidding.
  • Every figure shows what it rests on. Not every notice publishes a bid count, a value or a delivery region, so each figure carries the number of records behind it, and one built on few records is marked as such. The on a figure explains it; the counting rules are in the methodology. Spotted something wrong? Tell us.

Procedure terms & legal framework

From the official record · publisher note attached
Legal basis
CELEX · 32014L0025 Utilities Contracts Regulations 2016 (Directive 2014/25/EU)
Procurement category
Services
Notice status
Planned procurement
Procurement threshold
Unspecified in notice
Regulatory regime
Standard
Commercial structure
Stand-alone contract (no framework)
Competition type
Competitive procedure
GPA / WTO covered
Unspecified in notice
Recurring procurement
Unspecified in notice
First published
8 Jan 2026, 15:05 GMT
Last source update
8 Jan 2026, 15:05 GMT
FTS notice number
2026/S 000-001533
Classification (CPV)
Special-purpose road passenger-transport services
Delivery area
London (UKI)
Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-060208 Find a Tender

Publisher note: London Bus Services Limited will incorporate a standstill period at the point information on any award of a contract is communicated to tenderers. That information will provide full information on any award decision. The standstill period, which will be for a minimum of 10 days, provides time for unsuccessful tenderers to challenge award decisions before a contract is entered into. The Utilities Contracts Regulations 2006 (SI2006 No 6) provide for aggrieved parties who have been harmed or are at risk of harm by a breach of the rules to take action in the High Court (England, Wales and Northern Ireland).

How it was run

Official notice
Submission deadline
—
Submission channel
{"written"}
Accepted languages
en

Timeline

8 Jan 2026 → 21 Jan 2026 · 2 dates
  1. Notice published289 days ago
    8 Jan 2026, 15:05 GMT
  2. Contract starts277 days ago
    21 Jan 2026

Commercial outcome & contract awards

Pipeline notice
Awards (0)
No award published
Contracts (0)
No contract published
Bid statistics
No aggregate bid statistics published

Contracting authority & participating public bodies

Transport for London

Contracting authorityPublic bodyUrban railway, tramway, trolleybus or bus services 5 Endeavour Square, London, London, E201JNContact name, email

Official documents & specifications

Official links; attachments are not copied

No document links were published on the notice.