Find a TenderPlanned procurementPipeline notice
Published 5 Dec 2025, 14:08 GMT

Official UK procurement notice

Mk4 Maintenance Agreement · UK public procurement notice

Authority: Transport for Wales Rail Limited (Utility Buyer) (Public body)

ServicesSME suitable
Planned pipeline value£800,000pipeline notice, not a live tender
Tender notice expected 31 Oct 2026from the planned procurement notice
Contract term 3 yrsends 1 Jan 2030 · starts 1 Jan 2027

What is being bought

Published requirement description

The provision to TfWRL of Mk4 Maintenance Agreement

CPV: Repair, maintenance and associated services related to aircraft, railways, roads and marine equipment

The lotProcurement structure

single lot · no lot value published
Lot #1Planned 3 yrsSME

Pipeline intelligence · planning stage: how this market runs before the tender is published

How Transport for Wales Rail Limited (Utility Buyer) buys Repair, maintenance and associated services related to aircraft, railways, roads and marine equipment (CPV 5020), and who usually turns up

Transport for Wales Rail Limited (Utility Buyer)’s own published record, next to the published market for the same work. Frameworks and DPS are kept out: they attract a different number of bids. Whole-market view: Repair, maintenance and associated services related to aircraft, railways, roads and marine equipment (CPV 5020) →

1

How the contest usually goes

Winner shares use published awards; bid and price charts use contested lots.

How often do SMEs win?
i

How often small and medium firms win.

Share of awards where the winner’s size is known.

The counts under this question show how many awards have a known supplier size.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 0 of 5 known-size awards · market: CPV 5020 · UK-wide, n=15
0%47%

No small-firm winners recorded among this authority’s published awards in this sample.

How often do local suppliers win?
i

How often local firms win similar work.

Winners with a registered address in the delivery region, out of awards with a known address.

Here, local means the winner is registered in the region where that contract was delivered.

A local branch does not count if the registered address is elsewhere.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 0 of 2 known-location awards · market: CPV 5020 · UK-wide, n=15
0 of 240%

Most of this buyer’s recorded winners are registered outside Wales (Cymru).

How long to a decision?
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the deadline to the first award notice, on competitions that published both dates.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 4 decided notices · market: division 50 · Wales (Cymru), n=49
99 days53 days

Half of these awards were announced within 99 days of the bid deadline.

How often single-bid or direct?
i

How often work is awarded with no recorded rival.

Direct awards and tenders where every published lot count shows one bid.

The market share is a minimum: some awards have no bid count.

Thin markets produce this too; it is not proof of a tailored specification.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: exactly 4 of 7 procurements with awards had no recorded rival · market: CPV 5020 · UK-wide, n=18
57%44%

Direct awards or one recorded bid are common here. Check the route before spending time on a bid.

How many bids did past lots attract?

i

How many bids past lots received.

Each colour is a bid-count range. Only competed lots with a published count are included.

Past bids do not predict this tender.

Last 36 months.

This buyer5 lots with bid counts · broad CPV 50
20% had one bid
The market6 lots with bid counts · CPV 5020 · UK-wide
17% had one bid
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
1 bid20% / 17%
Buyer: 1 of 5 lots with published bid counts. Market: 1 of 6 lots with published bid counts.
2–340% / 33%
Buyer: 2 of 5 lots with published bid counts. Market: 2 of 6 lots with published bid counts.
4–640% / 50%
Buyer: 2 of 5 lots with published bid counts. Market: 3 of 6 lots with published bid counts.
7+0% / 0%
Buyer: 0 of 5 lots with published bid counts. Market: 0 of 6 lots with published bid counts.

How did awards compare with estimates?

i

Where winning prices landed against estimates.

Each colour shows awards below, close to or above the published estimate, one lot at a time.

Past prices are a guide, not a bid price.

Last 36 months.

This buyer14 lots with estimate and award · all categories
50% below estimate
The market62 lots with estimate and award · division 50 · Wales (Cymru)
47% below estimate
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
Below estimate50% / 47%
Buyer: 7 of 14 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 29 of 62 lots with an estimate and award.
Within ±2%36% / 29%
Buyer: 5 of 14 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 18 of 62 lots with an estimate and award.
Above estimate14% / 24%
Buyer: 2 of 14 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 15 of 62 lots with an estimate and award.
2

Assess each lot
i

What past awards tell you about each lot.

See the forecast, this buyer’s earlier suppliers and firms with relevant wins.

No supplier is confirmed as a bidder.

Open a lot for its forecast, this buyer’s previous supplier and possible competitors, from published award history, not a bid list

Lot #1CPV 502036 monthsSME suitablePublished estimate£800k
Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative. The bar shows 104 past lots.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

—No model forecast yet19% single-bid risk
Past bids on 104 similar lots
1 bid19%
20 of 104 similar past lots received 1 bid (19%).
2–343%
45 of 104 similar past lots received 2–3 (43%).
4–620%
21 of 104 similar past lots received 4–6 (20%).
7+17%
18 of 104 similar past lots received 7+ (17%).
Comparable past lots usually drew 3 bids.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

No comparable awards for this lot yet.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

—No model forecast yet
No comparable awards on record for this lot’s category yet. The published estimate is £800k, and the forecast stays empty until the market has a record to read.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

No earlier contract of this buyer matches this lot on the published record.

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

Candidate suppliers for this notice have not been worked out yet, so this is not a verdict that nobody fits.

About this data
  • Source. Official UK public procurement notices (Find a Tender), reused under the Open Government Licence v3.0. New notices arrive through the day; the figures are rebuilt nightly.
  • Two views, kept apart. The authority’s own track record and the wider market for the same kind of work sit side by side and are never mixed. Where the local picture is too thin, a figure widens to a broader market and says which one it used.
  • Forecasts are labelled. The price forecast and its range, possible competitors and the earlier-work matches are our estimates from past awards: not published facts, not win chances and not price advice. Official notices do not say who is bidding.
  • Every figure shows what it rests on. Not every notice publishes a bid count, a value or a delivery region, so each figure carries the number of records behind it, and one built on few records is marked as such. The on a figure explains it; the counting rules are in the methodology. Spotted something wrong? Tell us.

Procedure terms & legal framework

From the official record
Legal basis
UKPGA · 2023/54 Procurement Act 2023
Procurement category
Services
Notice status
Planned procurement
Procurement threshold
Unspecified in notice
Regulatory regime
Standard
Commercial structure
Stand-alone contract (no framework)
Competition type
Competitive procedure
GPA / WTO covered
Unspecified in notice
Recurring procurement
Unspecified in notice
First published
5 Dec 2025, 14:08 GMT
Last source update
5 Dec 2025, 14:08 GMT
Authority reference
TFW0965.00
FTS notice number
2025/S 000-080205
Latest notice
Pipeline notice (UK1)
Classification (CPV)
Repair, maintenance and associated services related to aircraft, railways, roads and marine equipment
Delivery area
Wales (UKL)
Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-05efd3 Find a Tender

How it was run

Official notice
Submission deadline
—

Timeline

5 Dec 2025 → 1 Jan 2027 · 3 dates
  1. Planning notice published319 days ago
    5 Dec 2025, 14:08 GMT
  2. Today
    20 Oct 2026
  3. Tender notice expectedin 12 days
    31 Oct 2026, 23:59 GMT
  4. Contract startsin 73 days
    1 Jan 2027

Notice history

1 event · 1 release on Find a Tender
  1. Pipeline notice published
    5 Dec 2025, 14:08 GMT
    UK1

Commercial outcome & contract awards

Pipeline notice
Awards (0)
No award published
Contracts (0)
No contract published
Bid statistics
No aggregate bid statistics published

Contracting authority & participating public bodies

Transport for Wales Rail Limited (Utility Buyer)

Contracting authorityPublic authority - sub-central governmentWelsh devolved regulations apply GB-COH: 12619906 3 Llys Cadwyn, Pontypridd, Wales, CF37 4THContact name, email

Official documents & specifications (1)

Official links; attachments are not copied

Notices published for this procedure

  • Pipeline notice planningPipeline noticeUK1Pipeline notice on Find a Tender