Find a TenderOpen for tender Tender notice
Published 6 Aug 2026, 21:50 BST

Official UK procurement notice

DGM/2062 105mm Illumination Shells - UK3

Authority: Defence Equipment and Support (Central government)

GoodsOpen procedureAbove thresholdDefence & security
Published estimate£56,000,000≈ £31m / year · £67,200,000 inc. VAT · 1 value update
Submission deadline 26 Feb 202723:59 GMT · 128d 1h left
Clarification cut-off 15 Feb 202723:59 GMT · questions to the authority
Contract term 1 yr 10 moends 3 Jan 2029 · up to 3 Jan 2031 with extensions · starts 26 Feb 2027

What is being bought

Published requirement description

Supply of 105mm illumination Shells to be delivered via delivery schedule

CPV: Weapons, ammunition and associated parts

The lotProcurement structure

single lot · value published
Lot #1Renewal 1 yr 10 moPublished value£56,000,000
Contract period: 26 Feb 2027 – 3 Jan 2029 (1 yr 10 mo) · up to 3 Jan 2031 with extensionsValue: £56,000,000 exc. VAT · £67,200,000 inc. VAT
Delivery: South WestTurnover guideline: ~£60,294,986/yr≈ 2× annual value
Extensions: 2 contract years plus 2 option years · Option years

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

What it takes to win
i

How this buyer will score bids.

The evaluation criteria and weights exactly as published on the notice, grouped by family (price, quality, social value and so on).

Evaluation split and conditions of participation as published; the tender pack may add more
How bids are scored
Quality: 60%Price: 40%
Published sub-criteria (2)
  • technical: 60%
  • Cost: 40%
Published award criteria (2)
  • Cost: cost of 105mm Illuminating Artillery Shells
  • technical: Meets technical criteria

No conditions of participation were published on the notice; check the tender documents.

What this means for your bid
  • Price carries 40 of 100 points: a 10% discount moves about 4 points. The method statement decides this lot, not the discount.
  • Turnover usually expected at this size: about £60,294,986 (twice the annual value).

Price arithmetic assumes straight proportional scoring; the tender pack may use another formula. Turnover is an indicative market norm (≈2× annual value), not a published condition.

Competition analysis · published record, not a forecast of who will bid

How Defence Equipment and Support buys Weapons, ammunition and associated parts (CPV 3530), and who usually turns up

Defence Equipment and Support’s own published record, next to the published market for the same work. Frameworks and DPS are kept out: they attract a different number of bids. Whole-market view: Weapons, ammunition and associated parts (CPV 3530) →

1

How the contest usually goes

Winner shares use published awards; bid and price charts use contested lots.

Question for the bid
This buyerDefence Equipment and Support · division 35
What to do with it
How often do SMEs win?
i

How often small and medium firms win.

Share of awards where the winner’s size is known.

The counts under this question show how many awards have a known supplier size.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 1 of 14 known-size awards · market: CPV 3530 · UK-wide, n=7
7%14%

Small firms have won here. Neither number says whether you qualify; it describes who has been winning.

How often do local suppliers win?
i

How often local firms win similar work.

Winners with a registered address in the delivery region, out of awards with a known address.

Here, local means the winner is registered in the region where that contract was delivered.

A local branch does not count if the registered address is elsewhere.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 3 of 18 known-location awards · market: CPV 3530 · UK-wide, n=14
17%14%

Most of this buyer’s recorded winners are registered outside South West England.

How long to a decision?
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the deadline to the first award notice, on competitions that published both dates.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 3 decided notices · market: division 35 · South West England, n=7
211 days156 days

Half of these awards were announced within 211 days of the bid deadline.

How often single-bid or direct?
i

How often work is awarded with no recorded rival.

Direct awards and tenders where every published lot count shows one bid.

Both shares are minimums: some awards have no bid count.

Thin markets produce this too; it is not proof of a tailored specification.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: at least 27 of 30 procurements with awards had no recorded rival · market: CPV 3530 · UK-wide, n=16
90%81%

Direct awards or one recorded bid are common here. Check the route before spending time on a bid.

How many bids did past lots attract?

i

How many bids past lots received.

Each colour is a bid-count range. Only competed lots with a published count are included.

Past bids do not predict this tender.

Last 36 months.

This buyer20 lots with bid counts · all categories
50% had one bid
The market14 lots with bid counts · division 35 · South West England
43% had one bid
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
1 bid50% / 43%
Buyer: 10 of 20 lots with published bid counts. Market: 6 of 14 lots with published bid counts.
2–335% / 29%
Buyer: 7 of 20 lots with published bid counts. Market: 4 of 14 lots with published bid counts.
4–610% / 0%
Buyer: 2 of 20 lots with published bid counts. Market: 0 of 14 lots with published bid counts.
7+5% / 29%
Buyer: 1 of 20 lots with published bid counts. Market: 4 of 14 lots with published bid counts.

How did awards compare with estimates?

i

Where winning prices landed against estimates.

Each colour shows awards below, close to or above the published estimate, one lot at a time.

Past prices are a guide, not a bid price.

Last 36 months.

This buyer14 lots with estimate and award · all categories
43% below estimate
The market60 lots with estimate and award · division 35 · UK-wide
47% below estimate
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
Below estimate43% / 47%
Buyer: 6 of 14 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 28 of 60 lots with an estimate and award.
Within ±2%36% / 38%
Buyer: 5 of 14 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 23 of 60 lots with an estimate and award.
Above estimate21% / 15%
Buyer: 3 of 14 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 9 of 60 lots with an estimate and award.
2

Assess each lot
i

What past awards tell you about each lot.

See the forecast, this buyer’s earlier suppliers and firms with relevant wins.

No supplier is confirmed as a bidder.

Open a lot for its forecast, this buyer’s previous supplier and possible competitors, from published award history, not a bid list

Lot #1CPV 353022 monthsPublished estimate£56m
Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

3expected bids22% single-bid risk
forecast from 4 past contests
Forecast chances for this lot
1 bid22%
Chance this lot gets 1 bid: 22%. This is a forecast.
2–361%
Chance this lot gets 2–3: 61%. This is a forecast.
4–614%
Chance this lot gets 4–6: 14%. This is a forecast.
7+3%
Chance this lot gets 7+: 3%. This is a forecast.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

Based on 9 comparable awards. Each lot reflects its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

£54m4% below estimate
9 comparable awards
Forecast compared with the buyer’s estimate
Middle 50%£43m–£56m
Half of likely prices fall between £43,120,756 and £56,000,000.
Estimate£56m
The buyer published an estimate of £56,000,000 for this lot.
A 29% chance the award lands exactly on the estimate.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

SupplierThis buyer’s earlier contractLotAward valueWhy listed
Rheinmetall Waffe Munition GmbHWorked for this buyerDGM/1908- Framework Agreement for the Repeat Procurement of Impact Rounds, Cannon, Rockets and Grenadesruns to Mar 2028——Similar wording and category
EPA Manufacturing LimitedWorked for this buyerDGM/2006 - Supply of Non-Service Pattern Light Weapon Ammunitionnotice published Sept 2022——Similar wording and category
Chemring Energetics UK LtdWorked for this buyer71485245 DGM/2040 Procurement of Explosivesruns to Mar 2031—£100mSimilar wording and category

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

SupplierWon in this categoryLive contractsAward vs estimate
Buyer regular1 win in South West England
£100m1 awards in 36m · last 3 months ago1 live · £100m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

no comparable pairs
5 panel places
£31m4 awards in 36m · last 2 months ago1 live · £4.0m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

no comparable pairs
1 win in South West England
1 awards in 36m · last 10 months ago1 live
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

no comparable pairs
1 win in South West England5 panel places
2 awards in 36m · last 6 months agoNone on fileno comparable pairs
1 win in South West England
£2.4m1 awards in 36m · last 33 months agoNone on fileno comparable pairs
About this data
  • Source. Official UK public procurement notices (Find a Tender), reused under the Open Government Licence v3.0. New notices arrive through the day; the figures are rebuilt nightly.
  • Two views, kept apart. The authority’s own track record and the wider market for the same kind of work sit side by side and are never mixed. Where the local picture is too thin, a figure widens to a broader market and says which one it used.
  • Forecasts are labelled. The price forecast and its range, possible competitors and the earlier-work matches are our estimates from past awards: not published facts, not win chances and not price advice. Official notices do not say who is bidding.
  • Every figure shows what it rests on. Not every notice publishes a bid count, a value or a delivery region, so each figure carries the number of records behind it, and one built on few records is marked as such. The on a figure explains it; the counting rules are in the methodology. Spotted something wrong? Tell us.

Procedure terms & legal framework

From the official record
Procedure method
Open procedure
Legal basis
UKPGA · 2023/54 Procurement Act 2023
Procurement category
Goods
Notice status
Open for tender
Procurement threshold
Above threshold (FTS publication)
Regulatory regime
Defence & security
Commercial structure
Stand-alone contract (no framework)
Competition type
Competitive procedure
GPA / WTO covered
Unspecified in notice
Recurring procurement
Unspecified in notice
First published
6 Aug 2026, 21:50 BST
Last source update
20 Oct 2026, 17:44 BST
Award evaluation window
Submission end – 26 Feb 2027
FTS notice number
2026/S 000-099217
Latest notice
Tender notice (UK4)
Classification (CPV)
Weapons, ammunition and associated parts
Delivery area
UK
Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-06de7d Find a Tender

How to participate & submission route

Official notice Submit via Defence Sourcing Portal
Submission portal named on this notice: Defence Sourcing Portal · Who buys & how to bid on MOD DSP
Supplier login requiredElectronic submission allowedLanguage: EN
Access & registration note: Free · registration requires an NCAGE code — obtain in advance · before you can bid: NCAGE
Requests to participate (first stage)
—
Tender submission deadline
26 Feb 2027, 23:59 GMT
Clarification deadline
15 Feb 2027, 23:59 GMT
Submission channel
Official e-sourcing portal
Electronic submission
Allowed
Accepted languages
en
Detailed submission instructions & authority contactsFrom official release
Published estimate £56,000,000 excludes VAT (£67,200,000 including VAT).

Timeline

6 Aug 2026 → 26 Feb 2027 · 7 dates
  1. Planning notice published76 days ago
    6 Aug 2026, 21:50 BST
  2. Next notice expected19 days ago
    2 Oct 2026, 23:59 BST
  3. Tender notice published1 day ago
    20 Oct 2026, 17:44 BST
  4. Today
    21 Oct 2026
  5. Clarification questions byin 117 days
    15 Feb 2027, 23:59 GMT
  6. Contract startsin 127 days
    26 Feb 2027
  7. Submission deadlinein 128 days
    26 Feb 2027, 23:59 GMT
  8. Award decision expected byin 128 days
    26 Feb 2027, 23:59 GMT

Notice history

5 events · 2 releases on Find a Tender · since 6 Aug 2026
  1. Planned procurement notice published
    6 Aug 2026, 21:50 BST
    UK3
  2. Tender notice published
    20 Oct 2026, 17:44 BST
    UK4
  3. Published value published: £56,000,000
    20 Oct 2026, 17:44 BST
  4. Status changed to active
    20 Oct 2026, 17:44 BST
  5. Deadline moved to 26 Feb 2027, 23:59 GMT
    20 Oct 2026, 17:44 BST
    +70 days · was 18 Dec 2026, 23:59 GMT

Commercial outcome & contract awards

Nothing awarded yet
Awards (0)
No award published
Contracts (0)
No contract published
Bid statistics
No aggregate bid statistics published

Contracting authority & participating public bodies

Defence Equipment and Support

Contracting authorityPublic authority - central government GB-PPON: PVRL-5831-GLMM MOD Abbey Wood, Bristol, South West, BS34 8JHContact email

Official documents & specifications (3)

Official links; attachments are not copied

Tender pack and attachments

Notices published for this procedure

  • Tender notice tenderTender noticeUK4Tender notice on Find a Tender
  • Planned procurement notice planningPlanned procurement noticeUK3Planned procurement notice on Find a Tender