Official UK procurement notice
Research relating to the impacts of the minimum wage, 2-year projects (open call)
Authority: Low Pay Commission (Central government)
What is being bought
Published requirement descriptionThe Low Pay Commission (LPC) invites tenders for new or innovative research in relation to the National Living Wage (NLW) and the National Minimum Wage (NMW). This invitation to tender is aimed at larger pieces of research which will add substantial, new insight on the impacts or workings of the minimum wage. We will commission up to three projects under this call.
Projects will deliver final results in Autumn 2028. We have also published a call for smaller-scale projects (LPC 2026/01), which would final deliver results by September 2027. The deadline for bids under 2026/01 is 1 September 2026. Please carefully consider which is most suitable for your project.
The Low Pay Commission is a non-departmental public body that advises the government about the National Minimum Wage (NMW), including the National Living Wage (NLW) and the minimum wage rates for young workers and apprentices. We are responsible for evaluating the effects of the NMW and NLW and making recommendations on future rates. To carry out these functions, our work involves:
- carrying out extensive consultation with employers, workers and their representatives and taking written and oral evidence from a wide range of organisations;
- analysing relevant data to understand the state of the economy and labour market and the impact of the minimum wage;
- commissioning research projects into these questions.
This research will fill gaps in our current understanding of the impacts of the minimum wage, particularly the increases in the minimum wage rates since 2019. It will complement the LPC's own analysis of pay, the labour market and the broader economy and sit alongside other pieces of commissioned research.
The pandemic and its aftermath have disrupted many of the usual data sources upon which we rely. However, there have also been recent developments in new data sources, and in data linking. We are therefore keen to consider tenders that can take advantage of these.
A list of suggested topics for research is provided in Section A2 of the Invitation to Tender document. However, we recognise that there may be areas of investigation worth pursuing that we have not yet identified, or which have not previously been considered in great depth. Researchers who believe that they have a worthwhile proposal that would fall into these categories are welcome to submit it for consideration. We would also encourage proposals from those who wish to extend current research on the impact of the minimum wage, whether that original research was funded by us or another organisation.
There is global interest among policymakers in the impact of the NLW. The findings from this research will directly inform policy decisions touching the lives of millions of workers and thousands of businesses as well as contributing to policy formation in the UK and beyond.
The maximum estimated budget for any single project under this call is £100,000 excluding VAT (£120,000 including VAT). We recognise that proposed projects may vary in their scale and resource requirements and anticipate bids in the range of £60,000 to £100,000 excluding VAT. Tenders will be evaluated on value for money, so bidders should consider the scale and value added of their project and price accordingly.
We are only able to evaluate complete tenders. The components of a complete tender are detailed in Section 5, Part E of the Invitation to Tender document. They include written responses addressing the three quality criteria: understanding the requirements and context (A01), methodology and approach (A02) and ability to deliver (A03); a detailed pricing schedule and completion/provision of relevant documents to fulfil the commercial criteria.
CPV: Research and development services and related consultancy services
The lotProcurement structure
single lot · value publishedLot #1Published value£100,000
What it takes to wini
How this buyer will score bids.
The evaluation criteria and weights exactly as published on the notice, grouped by family (price, quality, social value and so on).
Evaluation split and conditions of participation as published; the tender pack may add morei
How this buyer will score bids.
The evaluation criteria and weights exactly as published on the notice, grouped by family (price, quality, social value and so on).
Lot awarding rule: Tenders are evaluated using the Most Advantageous Tender (MAT) methodology. This is where the LPC assesses a Tender based on a combination of commercial, quality, and price elements. If the LPC chooses to award the Contract, it shall award the Contract to the Tenderer which submits the highest scoring Tender. The MAT ratio for this tender is: * Commercial criteria: pass/fail * Quality: 80% * Value for money: 20% Further details of the scoring criteria for the weighted elements are available in Section 5 of the Invitation to Tender document.
No conditions of participation were published on the notice; check the tender documents.
- Turnover usually expected at this size: about £89,247 (twice the annual value).
Turnover is an indicative market norm (≈2× annual value), not a published condition.
Competition analysis · published record, not a forecast of who will bid
How Low Pay Commission buys Research and development services (CPV 73), and who usually turns up
Low Pay Commission’s own published record, next to the published market for the same work. Frameworks and DPS are kept out: they attract a different number of bids. Whole-market view: Research and development services (CPV 73) →
How the contest usually goes
Winner shares use published awards; bid and price charts use contested lots.
i
How often small and medium firms win.
Share of awards where the winner’s size is known.
The counts under this question show how many awards have a known supplier size.
Small firms have won here. Neither number says whether you qualify; it describes who has been winning.
i
How often local firms win similar work.
Winners with a registered address in the delivery region, out of awards with a known address.
Here, local means registered in Greater London (authority’s region).
A local branch does not count if the registered address is elsewhere.
No winner locations published for this authority. Local means a registered address in Greater London.
i
How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.
Middle value in days from the deadline to the first award notice, on competitions that published both dates.
Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.
Half of these awards were announced within 36 days of the bid deadline.
i
How often work is awarded with no recorded rival.
Direct awards and tenders where every published lot count shows one bid.
The market share is a minimum: some awards have no bid count.
Thin markets produce this too; it is not proof of a tailored specification.
Awards are recorded, but published direct routes and bid counts do not establish this buyer’s share.
How many bids did past lots attract?
i
How many bids past lots received.
Each colour is a bid-count range. Only competed lots with a published count are included.
Past bids do not predict this tender.
1 bid10%
2–319%
4–633%
7+38%
How did awards compare with estimates?
i
Where winning prices landed against estimates.
Each colour shows awards below, close to or above the published estimate, one lot at a time.
Past prices are a guide, not a bid price.
Below estimate60% / 49%
Within ±2%40% / 47%
Above estimate0% / 4%
Assess each lot i
What past awards tell you about each lot.
See the forecast, this buyer’s earlier suppliers and firms with relevant wins.
No supplier is confirmed as a bidder.
i
What past awards tell you about each lot.
See the forecast, this buyer’s earlier suppliers and firms with relevant wins.
No supplier is confirmed as a bidder.
Open a lot for its forecast, this buyer’s previous supplier and possible competitors, from published award history, not a bid list
Lot #1Published estimate£100k
i
How many bids this lot may attract.
The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.
Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative.
A forecast, not a list of bidders.
1 bid8%
2–321%
4–632%
7+39%
i
Where the award price may land.
The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.
Based on 138 comparable awards. Each lot reflects its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative.
A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.
Middle 50%£84k–£97k
Estimate£100k
Who has supplied this buyer on similar work? i
Who has done similar work for this buyer.
Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.
A past supplier may not bid again.
i
Who has done similar work for this buyer.
Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.
A past supplier may not bid again.
| Supplier | This buyer’s earlier contract | Lot | Award value | Why listed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LONDON ECONOMICSLive contract | Open Call for research relating to the National Minimum Wage including National Living Wageruns to Dec 2026 | — | £39k | Matched as the earlier contract |
| YOUGOV PLCWorked for this buyer | Low Pay Commission call for research on workers' experiences of low-paid worknotice published Oct 2025 | — | — | Similar wording and category |
| Lancaster UniversityWorked for this buyer | Research into young people's experience of the labour market and minimum wagesnotice published Apr 2026 | — | — | Similar wording and category |
| University of the West of England BristolWorked for this buyer | The impact of the minimum wage on productivity (longer-term projects)notice published Apr 2026 | — | — | Similar wording and category |
| Smart Data FoundryWorked for this buyer | Employment effects of the National Living Wagenotice published Apr 2026 | — | — | Similar wording and category |
Who could compete for this lot? i
Who could compete for this lot?
Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.
None is confirmed as a bidder.
i
Who could compete for this lot?
Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.
None is confirmed as a bidder.
| Supplier | Won in this category | Live contracts | Award vs estimate |
|---|---|---|---|
| £459k9 awards in 36m · last 2 months ago | 2 live · £69k iPublic contracts this supplier still holds. Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book. Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity. | 13% below n=3 | |
| £4.2m10 awards in 36m · last 1 months ago | 7 live · £4.1m iPublic contracts this supplier still holds. Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book. Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity. | 6% below n=3 | |
Lancaster UniversityLarge | £372k8 awards in 36m · last 1 months ago | 5 live · £279k iPublic contracts this supplier still holds. Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book. Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity. | at estimate n=4 |
YOUGOV PLCLarge | £667k17 awards in 36m · last 6 months ago | 6 live · £754k iPublic contracts this supplier still holds. Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book. Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity. | 4% below n=3 |
Smart Data FoundryLarge | £221k2 awards in 36m · last 7 months ago | 1 live · £73k iPublic contracts this supplier still holds. Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book. Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity. | 4% below n=2 |
About this data
- Source. Official UK public procurement notices (Find a Tender), reused under the Open Government Licence v3.0. New notices arrive through the day; the figures are rebuilt nightly.
- Two views, kept apart. The authority’s own track record and the wider market for the same kind of work sit side by side and are never mixed. Where the local picture is too thin, a figure widens to a broader market and says which one it used.
- Forecasts are labelled. The price forecast and its range, possible competitors and the earlier-work matches are our estimates from past awards: not published facts, not win chances and not price advice. Official notices do not say who is bidding.
- Every figure shows what it rests on. Not every notice publishes a bid count, a value or a delivery region, so each figure carries the number of records behind it, and one built on few records is marked as such. The on a figure explains it; the counting rules are in the methodology. Spotted something wrong? Tell us.
What this replaces i
Who has done similar work for this buyer.
Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.
50% title match.
A past supplier may not bid again.
i
Who has done similar work for this buyer.
Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.
50% title match.
A past supplier may not bid again.
The prior contract this notice most likely re-tenders · matched by title and category (50% title match), the holder is not guaranteed to re-bid
Open Call for research relating to the National Minimum Wage including National Living Wage — held by LONDON ECONOMICS; the published contract ends 31 Dec 2026.
Procedure terms & legal framework
From the official record- Procedure method
- Below threshold - open competition
- Legal basis
- UKPGA · 2023/54 Procurement Act 2023
- Procurement category
- Services
- Notice status
- Open for tender
- Procurement threshold
- Below threshold
- Regulatory regime
- Standard
- Commercial structure
- Stand-alone contract (no framework)
- Competition type
- Competitive procedure
- GPA / WTO covered
- Unspecified in notice
- Recurring procurement
- Unspecified in notice
- First published
- 13 Jul 2026, 15:20 BST
- Last source update
- 13 Jul 2026, 15:20 BST
- Authority reference
LPC 2026/03- FTS notice number
2026/S 000-065705- Latest notice
- Tender notice (UK4)
- Classification (CPV)
- Delivery area
- Not published
- Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-06c9b4Find a Tender
How to participate & submission route
Official notice- Requests to participate (first stage)
- —
- Tender submission deadline
- 27 Oct 2026, 12:00 GMT
- Clarification deadline
- 29 Sept 2026, 17:00 BST
- Electronic submission
- Not allowed
Please submit tender documents by email to [email protected], copying [email protected].
Please ensure all tender documents (as listed in Section 5, Part E of the Invitation to Tender document) are attached to the email.
Timeline
13 Jul 2026 → 4 Jan 2027 · 4 dates- Tender notice published101 days ago13 Jul 2026, 15:20 BST
- Clarification questions by23 days ago29 Sept 2026, 17:00 BST
- Today22 Oct 2026
- Submission deadlinein 5 days27 Oct 2026, 12:00 GMT
- Contract startsin 73 days4 Jan 2027
Notice history
1 event · 1 release on Find a Tender- Tender notice published13 Jul 2026, 15:20 BSTUK4
Commercial outcome & contract awards
Nothing awarded yet- Awards (0)
- No award published
- Contracts (0)
- No contract published
- Bid statistics
- No aggregate bid statistics published
Contracting authority & participating public bodies
Official documents & specifications (2)
Official links; attachments are not copiedTender pack and attachments
- Bidding documents and specifications There will be a short delay before the linked page goes live. If you are not able to access it immediately, please try again after a few hours. The linked web page contains: * an Invitation to Tender document detailing the full research specification and terms of tender * a templ…
Notices published for this procedure
- Tender notice Tender notice on Find a Tender