Find a TenderOpen for tender Tender notice
Published 14 Sept 2026, 15:34 BST

Official UK procurement notice

Aging Well and Community Falls Prevention Programme

Authority: London Borough of Ealing Council (Local council)

ServicesOpen procedureAbove thresholdLight touch regimeSME suitableVCSE suitable
Published estimate£750,000≈ £250k / year · £900,000 inc. VAT
Submission deadline 30 Nov 202612:00 GMT · 25 days left
Clarification cut-off 18 Nov 202618:00 GMT · questions to the authority
Contract term 3 yrsends 31 Mar 2030 · up to 31 Mar 2032 with extensions · starts 1 Apr 2027

What is being bought

Published requirement description

The Council is looking to award a contract to a suitably qualified provider to deliver a borough-wide Aging well and Community Falls Prevention Programme for Ealing residents or registered with an Ealing GP aged 50 years and over. The service delivery will comprise of 70% Strength and Balance Programme Delivery; 25% Community Awareness and Engagement; and 5% Navigation and Signposting, which will reflect the programme's primary focus on reducing falls through evidence-based exercise interventions, preventative engagement activities and appropriate referral pathways.

CPV: Health and social work services · Social services

The lotProcurement structure

single lot · value published
Lot #1Renewal 3 yrsSMEVCSEPublished value£750,000
Contract period: 1 Apr 2027 – 31 Mar 2030 (3 yrs) · up to 31 Mar 2032 with extensionsValue: £750,000 exc. VAT · £900,000 inc. VAT
Delivery: LondonEligibility: SME eligibleVCSE eligibleTurnover guideline: ~£499,544/yr≈ 2× annual value
Extensions: one extension for up to 2 years
Pre-qualification & selection criteria (PQQ)2
  • Economic & financial standing

    As per the tender documentation.

  • Technical & professional ability

    As per the tender documentation.

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

What it takes to win
i

How this buyer will score bids.

The evaluation criteria and weights exactly as published on the notice, grouped by family (price, quality, social value and so on).

Evaluation split and conditions of participation as published; the tender pack may add more
How bids are scored
Quality: 60%Price: 40%
Published award criteria (2)
  • Quality
  • Price: Pricing elements
Conditions of participation2
  • Economic & financial standing

    As per the tender documentation.

  • Technical & professional ability

    As per the tender documentation.

What this means for your bid
  • Price carries 40 of 100 points: a 10% discount moves about 4 points. The method statement decides this lot, not the discount.
  • Turnover usually expected at this size: about £499,544 (twice the annual value).

Price arithmetic assumes straight proportional scoring; the tender pack may use another formula. Turnover is an indicative market norm (≈2× annual value), not a published condition.

Competition analysis · published record, not a forecast of who will bid

How London Borough of Ealing Council buys Social services (CPV 8532), and who usually turns up

London Borough of Ealing Council’s published record next to the market for the same work. Frameworks and DPS are left out: they draw different bid counts. Whole-market view: Social services (CPV 8532) →

1

How the contest usually goes

Winner shares use published awards; bid and price charts use contested lots.

Question for the bid
This buyerLondon Borough of Ealing Council · all categories
The marketSocial services (CPV 8532) · Greater London
What to do with it
How often do SMEs win?
i

How often small and medium firms win.

Share of awards where the winner’s size is known.

The counts under this question show how many awards have a known supplier size.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 10 of 20 known-size awards · market: CPV 8532 · Greater London, n=117
50%53%

Small firms have won here. Neither number says whether you qualify; it describes who has been winning.

How often do local suppliers win?
i

How often local firms win similar work.

Winners with a registered address in the delivery region, out of awards with a known address.

Local means the winner is registered in the region where that award was delivered. The market figure counts awards delivered in Greater London.

A local branch does not count if the registered address is elsewhere.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 11 of 19 known-location awards · market: CPV 8532 · Greater London, n=161
58%76%

Most of this buyer’s recorded winners were registered in the region where that award was delivered.

How long to a decision?
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the bid deadline to the award date, on competitions that published both.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 5 decided notices · market: CPV 8532 · Greater London, n=13
95 days65 days

Half of these awards have an award date within 95 days of the bid deadline.

How often single-bid or direct?
i

How often work is awarded with no recorded rival.

Direct awards and tenders where every published lot count shows one bid.

Both shares are minimums: some awards have no bid count.

Thin markets produce this too; it is not proof of a tailored specification.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: at least 9 of 23 procurements with awards had no recorded rival · market: CPV 8532 · Greater London, n=171
39%77%

Direct awards or one recorded bid are common here. Check the route before spending time on a bid.

How many bids did past lots attract?

i

How many bids past lots received.

Each colour is a bid-count range. Only competed lots with a published count are included.

Past bids do not predict this tender.

Last 36 months.

This buyer15 lots with bid counts · all categories
13% had one bid
The market42 lots with bid counts · CPV 8532 · Greater London
26% had one bid
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
1 bid13% / 26%
Buyer: 2 of 15 lots with published bid counts. Market: 11 of 42 lots with published bid counts.
2–347% / 38%
Buyer: 7 of 15 lots with published bid counts. Market: 16 of 42 lots with published bid counts.
4–633% / 26%
Buyer: 5 of 15 lots with published bid counts. Market: 11 of 42 lots with published bid counts.
7+7% / 10%
Buyer: 1 of 15 lots with published bid counts. Market: 4 of 42 lots with published bid counts.

How did awards compare with estimates?

i

Where winning prices landed against estimates.

Each colour shows awards below, close to or above the published estimate, one lot at a time.

Past prices are a guide, not a bid price.

Last 36 months.

This buyer5 lots with estimate and award · all categories
40% below estimate
The market30 lots with estimate and award · CPV 8532 · Greater London
10% below estimate
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
Below estimate40% / 10%
Buyer: 2 of 5 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 3 of 30 lots with an estimate and award.
Within ±2%20% / 90%
Buyer: 1 of 5 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 27 of 30 lots with an estimate and award.
Above estimate40% / 0%
Buyer: 2 of 5 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 0 of 30 lots with an estimate and award.
2

Assess each lot
i

What past awards tell you about each lot.

See the forecast, this buyer’s earlier suppliers and firms with relevant wins.

No supplier is confirmed as a bidder.

Open a lot for its forecast, this buyer’s previous supplier and possible competitors, from published award history, not a bid list

Lot #1CPV 853236 monthsSME suitablePublished estimate£750k
Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

3expected bids17% chance of a single bid
similar past contests in this category: 157
Forecast chances for this lot
1 bid17%
Chance this lot gets 1 bid: 17%. This is a forecast.
2–339%
Chance this lot gets 2–3: 39%. This is a forecast.
4–621%
Chance this lot gets 4–6: 21%. This is a forecast.
7+23%
Chance this lot gets 7+: 23%. This is a forecast.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

Based on 29 comparable awards. Each lot reflects its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

£750kLevel with estimate
29 comparable awards
Forecast compared with the buyer’s estimate
Middle 50%£715k–£750k
Half of likely prices fall between £714,697 and £750,000.
Estimate£750k
The buyer published an estimate of £750,000 for this lot.
A 45% chance the award lands exactly on the estimate.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

No earlier contract of this buyer matches this lot on the published record.

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

SupplierWon in this categoryLive contractsAward vs estimate
9 wins in Greater London5 panel places
£77m23 awards in 36m · last 1 month ago4 live · £7.4m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=9
8 wins in Greater London
£1.1bn12 awards in 36m · last 7 months ago2 live · £158m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=2
£3.6m5 awards in 36m · last 1 month ago4 live · £3.9m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=1
2 wins in Greater London
£203k2 awards in 36m · last 13 months ago1 live · £265k
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

6% above n=3
2 wins in Greater London
£7.1m5 awards in 36m · last 10 months agoNone on fileat estimate n=4
About this data
  • Source. Official UK public procurement notices (Find a Tender), reused under the Open Government Licence v3.0. New notices arrive through the day; the figures are rebuilt nightly. Contracts Finder contracts appear on the Retender Radar, not yet in these figures.
  • Two views, kept apart. The authority’s own track record and the wider market for the same kind of work sit side by side and are never mixed. Where the local picture is too thin, a figure widens to a broader market and says which one it used.
  • Forecasts are labelled. The price forecast and its range, possible competitors and the earlier-work matches are our estimates from past awards: not published facts, not win chances and not price advice. Official notices do not say who is bidding.
  • Every figure shows what it rests on. Not every notice publishes a bid count, a value or a delivery region, so each figure carries the number of records behind it, and one built on few records is marked as such. The on a figure explains it; the counting rules are in the methodology. Spotted something wrong? Tell us.

Procedure terms & legal framework

From the official record
Procedure method
Open procedure
Legal basis
UKPGA · 2023/54 Procurement Act 2023
Procurement category
Services
Notice status
Open for tender
Procurement threshold
Above threshold (FTS publication)
Regulatory regime
Light touch regime
Commercial structure
Stand-alone contract (no framework)
Competition type
Competitive procedure
GPA / WTO covered
Unspecified in notice
Recurring procurement
Unspecified in notice
First published
14 Sept 2026, 15:34 BST
Last source update
3 Nov 2026, 15:44 GMT
Award evaluation window
Submission end – 1 Feb 2027
Authority reference
CA252410
FTS notice number
2026/S 000-104363
Latest notice
Tender notice (UK4)
Classification (CPV)
Health and social work servicesSocial services
Delivery area
London (UKI73)
Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-06f96b Find a Tender

How to participate & submission route

Official notice Submit via Atamis Health Family Portal
Submission portal named on this notice: Atamis Health Family Portal · Who buys & how to bid on Atamis
Electronic submission allowedLanguage: EN
Requests to participate (first stage)
—
Tender submission deadline
30 Nov 2026, 12:00 GMT
Clarification deadline
18 Nov 2026, 18:00 GMT
Submission channel
Official e-sourcing portal
Electronic submission
Allowed
Accepted languages
en
Detailed submission instructions & authority contactsFrom official release
Published estimate £750,000 excludes VAT (£900,000 including VAT).

Timeline

14 Sept 2026 → 1 Apr 2027 · 8 dates
  1. Planning notice published51 days ago
    14 Sept 2026, 15:34 BST
  2. Market engagement39 days ago
    25 Sept 2026, 23:59 BST

    Please log onto Atamis (ealinglbc-atamis.my.site.com/s/Welcome ↗) and review information provided.

    Please contact the Council, with regards to the questionnaire, include your organisation and contact details.

  3. Next notice expected39h ago
    2 Nov 2026, 23:59 GMT
  4. Tender notice published23h ago
    3 Nov 2026, 15:44 GMT
  5. Today
    4 Nov 2026
  6. Clarification questions byin 14 days
    18 Nov 2026, 18:00 GMT
  7. Submission deadlinein 25 days
    30 Nov 2026, 12:00 GMT
  8. Award decision expected byin 89 days
    1 Feb 2027, 23:59 GMT
  9. Contract startsin 147 days
    1 Apr 2027, 00:00 BST

Notice history

5 events · 2 releases on Find a Tender · since 14 Sept 2026
  1. Preliminary market engagement notice published
    14 Sept 2026, 15:34 BST
    UK2
  2. Tender notice published
    3 Nov 2026, 15:44 GMT
    UK4
  3. Status changed to active
    3 Nov 2026, 15:44 GMT
  4. Procurement method changed
    3 Nov 2026, 15:44 GMT
  5. Deadline published: 30 Nov 2026, 12:00 GMT
    3 Nov 2026, 15:44 GMT

Commercial outcome & contract awards

Nothing awarded yet
Awards (0)
No award published
Contracts (0)
No contract published
Bid statistics
No aggregate bid statistics published

Contracting authority & participating public bodies

London Borough of Ealing Council

Contracting authorityPublic authority - sub-central government GB-PPON: PRHZ-3346-MGDQ Third Floor (Plum Area) Perceval House, 14-16 Uxbridge Road, London, London, W5 2HLContact name, email

Official documents & specifications (2)

Official links; attachments are not copied

Notices published for this procedure