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Published 1 Sept 2021, 15:37 BST

Official UK procurement notice

Complex Needs DPS · UK public procurement notice

Authority: Warrington Borough Council (Local council)

Dynamic market15 lotsServicesRestricted procedure
Dynamic market estimate£140,000,000total for 15 lots · market-wide estimate, not attributable revenue
Admission open until 30 Sept 203112:00 BST · period end, not a bid countdown
Lots 15see the lot list below

What is being bought15 lots · detail below

Published requirement description

Provision of Supported housing, Outreach, Day Opportunities, Shared Lives, ISFs and Respite care for adults with complex needs.

CPV: Social work and related services · Social work services · Social work services with accommodation · Social work services without accommodation

How this dynamic market works

From the published notice
Type
Dynamic market

Lots and requirements (15)Procurement structure

15 lots · no lot values published
Lot #1Supported Accommodation - Mental Health Low Level

Supported Housing for Adults with Low level Mental Health needs

Delivery: North West
Variant bids: not allowed

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

Lot #2Supported Accommodation - Mental Health Medium Level

Supported Housing for Adults with Medium level Mental Health needs

Delivery: North West
Variant bids: not allowed

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

Lot #3Supported Housing - Mental Health High Level

Supported Housing for Adults with High level Mental Health needs

Delivery: North West
Variant bids: not allowed

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

Lot #4Supported Housing - Learning Disability Standard

Supported Housing for Adults with learning disabilities

Delivery: North West
Variant bids: not allowed

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

Lot #5Supported Housing - Complex Needs

Supported Housing for people with complex needs - LD/MH using an enhanced Positive Behaviour Support model

Delivery: North West
Variant bids: not allowed

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

Lot #6Supported Housing - Physical Disabilities

Supported Housing for people with Physical Disabilities

Delivery: North West
Variant bids: not allowed

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

Lot #7Supported Accommodation - Shared Lives

Shared Lives offer for long term accommodation

Delivery: North West
Variant bids: not allowed

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

Lot #8Outreach - Mental Health & Learning Disabilities

Outreach service for people with Mental Health conditions and/or Learning Disabilities

Delivery: North West
Variant bids: not allowed

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

Lot #9Day Opportunities - Shared Lives

Day Opportunities offer under Shared Lives

Delivery: North West
Variant bids: allowed

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

Lot #10Day Opportunities - Complex Needs/Challenging Behaviour

Day Opportunity service for people with Complex needs/Challenging behaviour

Delivery: North West
Variant bids: not allowed

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

Lot #11Day Opportunites - Supported Employment/Training/Education and Learning

Supported Employment/Training/Education and Learning for people with MH/LD

Delivery: North West
Variant bids: not allowed

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

Lot #12Day Opportunities - Social/Leisure/Preparation for Adulthood

Day Opportunity service - Social/Leisure/Preparation for Adulthood

Delivery: North West
Variant bids: not allowed

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

Lot #13Individual Service Funds

Individual Service Funds

Delivery: North West
Variant bids: not allowed

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

Lot #14Respite - Emergency Accommodation

Respite - Emergency Accommodation

Delivery: North West
Variant bids: not allowed

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

Lot #15Service Innovation

Lot for service innovation

Delivery: North West
Variant bids: not allowed

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

What it takes to win
i

How this buyer will score bids.

The evaluation criteria and weights exactly as published on the notice, grouped by family (price, quality, social value and so on).

Evaluation split and conditions of participation as published; the tender pack may add more
What this means for your bid
  • “Complex Needs DPS” is a dynamic market: the contest is a place on its panel, not a single contract.

Competition analysis · published record, not a forecast of who will bid

How Warrington Borough Council buys Social work services (CPV 8531), and who usually turns up

Warrington Borough Council’s own published record, next to the published market for the same work. This notice is a framework or DPS, so only frameworks and DPS are compared. Whole-market view: Social work services (CPV 8531) →

1

How the contest usually goes

Winner shares use published awards; bid and price charts use contested lots.

Question for the bid
This buyerWarrington Borough Council · all categories
The marketSocial work services (CPV 8531) · North West England
What to do with it
How often do SMEs win?
i

How often small and medium firms win.

Share of awards where the winner’s size is known.

The counts under this question show how many awards have a known supplier size.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 2 of 4 known-size awards · market: CPV 8531 · North West England, n=6
2 of 467%

Small firms have won here. Neither number says whether you qualify; it describes who has been winning.

How often do local suppliers win?
i

How often local firms win similar work.

Winners with a registered address in the delivery region, out of awards with a known address.

Here, local means registered in North West England.

A local branch does not count if the registered address is elsewhere.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 2 of 3 known-location awards · market: CPV 8531 · North West England, n=15
2 of 347%

Most of this buyer’s recorded winners are registered in North West England.

How long to a decision?
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the deadline to the first award notice, on competitions that published both dates.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 10 decided notices · market: CPV 8531 · North West England, n=6
58 days57 days

Half of these awards were announced within 58 days of the bid deadline.

How often single-bid or direct?
i

How often work is awarded with no recorded rival.

Direct awards and tenders where every published lot count shows one bid.

Thin markets produce this too; it is not proof of a tailored specification.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: exactly 1 of 2 procurements with awards had no recorded rival · market: CPV 8531 · North West England, n=5
1 of 240%

Direct awards or one recorded bid are common here. Check the route before spending time on a bid.

How many bids did past lots attract?

i

How many bids past lots received.

Each colour is a bid-count range. Only competed lots with a published count are included.

Past bids do not predict this tender.

Last 36 months.

This buyer1 lot with bid counts · all categories · too few to chart
The market22 lots with bid counts · CPV 8531 · North West England
14% had one bid
Market · select a colour for counts
1 bid14%
Market: 3 of 22 lots with published bid counts.
2–336%
Market: 8 of 22 lots with published bid counts.
4–627%
Market: 6 of 22 lots with published bid counts.
7+23%
Market: 5 of 22 lots with published bid counts.

How did awards compare with estimates?

i

Where winning prices landed against estimates.

Each colour shows awards below, close to or above the published estimate, one lot at a time.

On a framework or DPS, prices are agreed when work is called off.

Past prices are a guide, not a bid price.

Last 36 months.

Not comparable on a framework or DPS. The notice sets up a supplier panel and a ceiling value; what the work actually costs is agreed later, on each call-off or mini-competition, and those publish as contract notices of their own. The award-vs-estimate record of this market therefore sits on the call-offs; this page shows it on the contracts, not on the panel that frames them.

2

Assess each lot
i

What past awards tell you about each lot.

See the forecast, this buyer’s earlier suppliers and firms with relevant wins.

No supplier is confirmed as a bidder.

Open a lot for its forecast, this buyer’s previous supplier and possible competitors, from published award history, not a bid list

Lot #1Supported Accommodation - Mental Health Low LevelCPV 85310000118 monthsEstimate not published
Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

6expected bids3% chance of a single bid
forecast from 6 past contests
Forecast chances for this lot
1 bid3%
Chance this lot gets 1 bid: 3%. This is a forecast.
2–326%
Chance this lot gets 2–3: 26%. This is a forecast.
4–620%
Chance this lot gets 4–6: 20%. This is a forecast.
7+51%
Chance this lot gets 7+: 51%. This is a forecast.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

No comparable awards for this lot yet.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

—Priced at call-off
On a framework or DPS the price is agreed on each call-off, so there is no award price to forecast here: the published figure is a ceiling.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

No earlier contract of this buyer matches this lot on the published record.

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

Restricted route (Stage 2 ITT / Shortlist): Bidding is restricted to invited candidates who qualified at Stage 1. Uninvited suppliers cannot participate in this round.
SupplierWon in this categoryLive contractsAward vs estimate
7 wins in North West England27 panel places
£175m81 awards in 36m · last 1 months ago3 live · £15m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

3% above n=1
5 wins in North West England4 panel places
£34m46 awards in 36m · last 1 months ago14 live · £9.9m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=7
3 panel places
£133m34 awards in 36m · last 1 months ago12 live · £30m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=11
£8.8m5 awards in 36m · last 14 months ago2 live · £3.5m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=3
3 panel places
£101k2 awards in 36m · last 14 months ago1 live · £18m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=5
Lot #2Supported Accommodation - Mental Health Medium LevelCPV 85310000118 monthsEstimate not published
Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

6expected bids2% chance of a single bid
forecast from 6 past contests
Forecast chances for this lot
1 bid2%
Chance this lot gets 1 bid: 2%. This is a forecast.
2–327%
Chance this lot gets 2–3: 27%. This is a forecast.
4–617%
Chance this lot gets 4–6: 17%. This is a forecast.
7+54%
Chance this lot gets 7+: 54%. This is a forecast.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

No comparable awards for this lot yet.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

—Priced at call-off
On a framework or DPS the price is agreed on each call-off, so there is no award price to forecast here: the published figure is a ceiling.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

No earlier contract of this buyer matches this lot on the published record.

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

Restricted route (Stage 2 ITT / Shortlist): Bidding is restricted to invited candidates who qualified at Stage 1. Uninvited suppliers cannot participate in this round.
SupplierWon in this categoryLive contractsAward vs estimate
7 wins in North West England27 panel places
£175m81 awards in 36m · last 1 months ago3 live · £15m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

3% above n=1
3 panel places
£133m34 awards in 36m · last 1 months ago12 live · £30m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=11
£84m42 awards in 36m · last 1 months ago9 live · £39m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=15
£8.8m5 awards in 36m · last 14 months ago2 live · £3.5m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=3
3 panel places
£101k2 awards in 36m · last 14 months ago1 live · £18m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=5
Lot #3Supported Housing - Mental Health High LevelCPV 85310000118 monthsEstimate not published
Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

6expected bids2% chance of a single bid
forecast from 6 past contests
Forecast chances for this lot
1 bid2%
Chance this lot gets 1 bid: 2%. This is a forecast.
2–328%
Chance this lot gets 2–3: 28%. This is a forecast.
4–621%
Chance this lot gets 4–6: 21%. This is a forecast.
7+48%
Chance this lot gets 7+: 48%. This is a forecast.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

No comparable awards for this lot yet.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

—Priced at call-off
On a framework or DPS the price is agreed on each call-off, so there is no award price to forecast here: the published figure is a ceiling.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

No earlier contract of this buyer matches this lot on the published record.

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

Restricted route (Stage 2 ITT / Shortlist): Bidding is restricted to invited candidates who qualified at Stage 1. Uninvited suppliers cannot participate in this round.
SupplierWon in this categoryLive contractsAward vs estimate
3 panel places
£133m34 awards in 36m · last 1 months ago12 live · £30m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=11
6 wins in North West England13 panel places
£127m15 awards in 36m · last 11 months ago8 live · £313m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

no comparable pairs
2 panel places
£27m13 awards in 36m · last 3 months ago1 live · £6.6m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=8
9 panel places
£7.6m13 awards in 36m · last 4 months ago3 live · £2.1m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=3
3 panel places
£101k2 awards in 36m · last 14 months ago1 live · £18m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=5
Lot #4Supported Housing - Learning Disability StandardCPV 85310000118 monthsEstimate not published
Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

6expected bids2% chance of a single bid
forecast from 6 past contests
Forecast chances for this lot
1 bid2%
Chance this lot gets 1 bid: 2%. This is a forecast.
2–326%
Chance this lot gets 2–3: 26%. This is a forecast.
4–621%
Chance this lot gets 4–6: 21%. This is a forecast.
7+51%
Chance this lot gets 7+: 51%. This is a forecast.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

No comparable awards for this lot yet.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

—Priced at call-off
On a framework or DPS the price is agreed on each call-off, so there is no award price to forecast here: the published figure is a ceiling.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

No earlier contract of this buyer matches this lot on the published record.

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

Restricted route (Stage 2 ITT / Shortlist): Bidding is restricted to invited candidates who qualified at Stage 1. Uninvited suppliers cannot participate in this round.
SupplierWon in this categoryLive contractsAward vs estimate
6 wins in North West England12 panel places
£378m56 awards in 36m · last 1 months ago11 live · £244m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=9
6 wins in North West England13 panel places
£127m15 awards in 36m · last 11 months ago8 live · £313m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

no comparable pairs
9 panel places
£7.6m13 awards in 36m · last 4 months ago3 live · £2.1m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=3
1 panel places
1 awards in 36m · last 8 months ago1 live · £90k
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

no comparable pairs
1 panel places
1 awards in 36m · last 19 months agoNone on fileno comparable pairs
Lot #5Supported Housing - Complex NeedsCPV 85310000118 monthsEstimate not published
Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

6expected bids2% chance of a single bid
forecast from 6 past contests
Forecast chances for this lot
1 bid2%
Chance this lot gets 1 bid: 2%. This is a forecast.
2–325%
Chance this lot gets 2–3: 25%. This is a forecast.
4–622%
Chance this lot gets 4–6: 22%. This is a forecast.
7+51%
Chance this lot gets 7+: 51%. This is a forecast.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

No comparable awards for this lot yet.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

—Priced at call-off
On a framework or DPS the price is agreed on each call-off, so there is no award price to forecast here: the published figure is a ceiling.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

No earlier contract of this buyer matches this lot on the published record.

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

Restricted route (Stage 2 ITT / Shortlist): Bidding is restricted to invited candidates who qualified at Stage 1. Uninvited suppliers cannot participate in this round.
SupplierWon in this categoryLive contractsAward vs estimate
6 wins in North West England13 panel places
£127m15 awards in 36m · last 11 months ago8 live · £313m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

no comparable pairs
2 panel places
£27m13 awards in 36m · last 3 months ago1 live · £6.6m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=8
9 panel places
£7.6m13 awards in 36m · last 4 months ago3 live · £2.1m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=3
£8.8m5 awards in 36m · last 14 months ago2 live · £3.5m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=3
1 panel places
£2.7m4 awards in 36m · last 19 months ago1 live · £6.4m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=1
Lot #6Supported Housing - Physical DisabilitiesCPV 85310000118 monthsEstimate not published
Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

6expected bids2% chance of a single bid
forecast from 6 past contests
Forecast chances for this lot
1 bid2%
Chance this lot gets 1 bid: 2%. This is a forecast.
2–326%
Chance this lot gets 2–3: 26%. This is a forecast.
4–621%
Chance this lot gets 4–6: 21%. This is a forecast.
7+51%
Chance this lot gets 7+: 51%. This is a forecast.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

No comparable awards for this lot yet.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

—Priced at call-off
On a framework or DPS the price is agreed on each call-off, so there is no award price to forecast here: the published figure is a ceiling.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

No earlier contract of this buyer matches this lot on the published record.

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

Restricted route (Stage 2 ITT / Shortlist): Bidding is restricted to invited candidates who qualified at Stage 1. Uninvited suppliers cannot participate in this round.
SupplierWon in this categoryLive contractsAward vs estimate
6 wins in North West England12 panel places
£378m56 awards in 36m · last 1 months ago11 live · £244m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=9
6 wins in North West England13 panel places
£127m15 awards in 36m · last 11 months ago8 live · £313m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

no comparable pairs
2 panel places
£27m13 awards in 36m · last 3 months ago1 live · £6.6m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=8
9 panel places
£7.6m13 awards in 36m · last 4 months ago3 live · £2.1m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=3
1 panel places
1 awards in 36m · last 8 months ago1 live · £90k
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

no comparable pairs
Lot #7Supported Accommodation - Shared LivesCPV 85310000118 monthsEstimate not published
Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

6expected bids2% chance of a single bid
forecast from 6 past contests
Forecast chances for this lot
1 bid2%
Chance this lot gets 1 bid: 2%. This is a forecast.
2–334%
Chance this lot gets 2–3: 34%. This is a forecast.
4–618%
Chance this lot gets 4–6: 18%. This is a forecast.
7+47%
Chance this lot gets 7+: 47%. This is a forecast.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

No comparable awards for this lot yet.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

—Priced at call-off
On a framework or DPS the price is agreed on each call-off, so there is no award price to forecast here: the published figure is a ceiling.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

No earlier contract of this buyer matches this lot on the published record.

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

Restricted route (Stage 2 ITT / Shortlist): Bidding is restricted to invited candidates who qualified at Stage 1. Uninvited suppliers cannot participate in this round.
SupplierWon in this categoryLive contractsAward vs estimate
5 wins in North West England4 panel places
£34m46 awards in 36m · last 1 months ago14 live · £9.9m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=7
6 wins in North West England2 panel places
£6.6m8 awards in 36m · last 7 months ago1 live · £3.1m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

35% below n=2
6 wins in North West England13 panel places
£127m15 awards in 36m · last 11 months ago8 live · £313m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

no comparable pairs
2 panel places
£27m13 awards in 36m · last 3 months ago1 live · £6.6m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=8
9 panel places
£7.6m13 awards in 36m · last 4 months ago3 live · £2.1m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=3
Lot #8Outreach - Mental Health & Learning DisabilitiesCPV 85310000118 monthsEstimate not published
Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

6expected bids3% chance of a single bid
forecast from 6 past contests
Forecast chances for this lot
1 bid3%
Chance this lot gets 1 bid: 3%. This is a forecast.
2–326%
Chance this lot gets 2–3: 26%. This is a forecast.
4–619%
Chance this lot gets 4–6: 19%. This is a forecast.
7+53%
Chance this lot gets 7+: 53%. This is a forecast.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

No comparable awards for this lot yet.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

—Priced at call-off
On a framework or DPS the price is agreed on each call-off, so there is no award price to forecast here: the published figure is a ceiling.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

No earlier contract of this buyer matches this lot on the published record.

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

Restricted route (Stage 2 ITT / Shortlist): Bidding is restricted to invited candidates who qualified at Stage 1. Uninvited suppliers cannot participate in this round.
SupplierWon in this categoryLive contractsAward vs estimate
14 wins in North West England13 panel places
£167m83 awards in 36m · last this month31 live · £87m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=38
3 panel places
£101k2 awards in 36m · last 14 months ago1 live · £18m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=5
£3.3m1 awards in 36m · last 17 months agoNone on fileno comparable pairs
—None on fileno comparable pairs
1 panel places
—None on fileno comparable pairs
Lot #9Day Opportunities - Shared LivesCPV 85310000118 monthsEstimate not published
Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

6expected bids2% chance of a single bid
forecast from 6 past contests
Forecast chances for this lot
1 bid2%
Chance this lot gets 1 bid: 2%. This is a forecast.
2–327%
Chance this lot gets 2–3: 27%. This is a forecast.
4–617%
Chance this lot gets 4–6: 17%. This is a forecast.
7+54%
Chance this lot gets 7+: 54%. This is a forecast.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

No comparable awards for this lot yet.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

—Priced at call-off
On a framework or DPS the price is agreed on each call-off, so there is no award price to forecast here: the published figure is a ceiling.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

No earlier contract of this buyer matches this lot on the published record.

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

Restricted route (Stage 2 ITT / Shortlist): Bidding is restricted to invited candidates who qualified at Stage 1. Uninvited suppliers cannot participate in this round.
SupplierWon in this categoryLive contractsAward vs estimate
1 win in North West England
£1.3m4 awards in 36m · last 8 months ago1 live · £450k
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=1
1 win in North West England
£4.8m3 awards in 36m · last 10 months agoNone on fileat estimate n=8
1 panel places
£2.7m4 awards in 36m · last 19 months ago1 live · £6.4m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=1
1 win in North West England
£113k1 awards in 36m · last 9 months agoNone on fileno comparable pairs
1 win in North West England
1 awards in 36m · last 24 months ago1 live
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

no comparable pairs
Lot #10Day Opportunities - Complex Needs/Challenging BehaviourCPV 85310000118 monthsEstimate not published
Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

6expected bids2% chance of a single bid
forecast from 6 past contests
Forecast chances for this lot
1 bid2%
Chance this lot gets 1 bid: 2%. This is a forecast.
2–329%
Chance this lot gets 2–3: 29%. This is a forecast.
4–618%
Chance this lot gets 4–6: 18%. This is a forecast.
7+51%
Chance this lot gets 7+: 51%. This is a forecast.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

No comparable awards for this lot yet.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

—Priced at call-off
On a framework or DPS the price is agreed on each call-off, so there is no award price to forecast here: the published figure is a ceiling.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

No earlier contract of this buyer matches this lot on the published record.

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

Restricted route (Stage 2 ITT / Shortlist): Bidding is restricted to invited candidates who qualified at Stage 1. Uninvited suppliers cannot participate in this round.
SupplierWon in this categoryLive contractsAward vs estimate
1 panel places
£1.9m3 awards in 36m · last this monthNone on fileat estimate n=3
1 panel places
£2.2m4 awards in 36m · last 2 months agoNone on fileat estimate n=1
1 panel places
1 awards in 36m · last 8 months ago1 live · £90k
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

no comparable pairs
1 win in North West England
£1.7m1 awards in 36m · last 35 months agoNone on file5% below n=1
1 panel places
£405k1 awards in 36m · last 31 months agoNone on file11% above n=3
Lot #11Day Opportunites - Supported Employment/Training/Education and LearningCPV 85310000118 monthsEstimate not published
Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

6expected bids2% chance of a single bid
forecast from 6 past contests
Forecast chances for this lot
1 bid2%
Chance this lot gets 1 bid: 2%. This is a forecast.
2–327%
Chance this lot gets 2–3: 27%. This is a forecast.
4–619%
Chance this lot gets 4–6: 19%. This is a forecast.
7+51%
Chance this lot gets 7+: 51%. This is a forecast.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

No comparable awards for this lot yet.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

—Priced at call-off
On a framework or DPS the price is agreed on each call-off, so there is no award price to forecast here: the published figure is a ceiling.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

No earlier contract of this buyer matches this lot on the published record.

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

Restricted route (Stage 2 ITT / Shortlist): Bidding is restricted to invited candidates who qualified at Stage 1. Uninvited suppliers cannot participate in this round.
SupplierWon in this categoryLive contractsAward vs estimate
1 panel places
£1.9m3 awards in 36m · last this monthNone on fileat estimate n=3
1 panel places
£2.2m4 awards in 36m · last 2 months agoNone on fileat estimate n=1
1 panel places
£2.7m4 awards in 36m · last 19 months ago1 live · £6.4m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=1
1 panel places
£405k1 awards in 36m · last 31 months agoNone on file11% above n=3
1 win in North West England2 panel places
1 awards in 36m · last 19 months agoNone on fileno comparable pairs
Lot #12Day Opportunities - Social/Leisure/Preparation for AdulthoodCPV 85310000118 monthsEstimate not published
Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

6expected bids2% chance of a single bid
forecast from 6 past contests
Forecast chances for this lot
1 bid2%
Chance this lot gets 1 bid: 2%. This is a forecast.
2–333%
Chance this lot gets 2–3: 33%. This is a forecast.
4–618%
Chance this lot gets 4–6: 18%. This is a forecast.
7+47%
Chance this lot gets 7+: 47%. This is a forecast.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

No comparable awards for this lot yet.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

—Priced at call-off
On a framework or DPS the price is agreed on each call-off, so there is no award price to forecast here: the published figure is a ceiling.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

No earlier contract of this buyer matches this lot on the published record.

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

Restricted route (Stage 2 ITT / Shortlist): Bidding is restricted to invited candidates who qualified at Stage 1. Uninvited suppliers cannot participate in this round.
SupplierWon in this categoryLive contractsAward vs estimate
1 win in North West England
£4.8m3 awards in 36m · last 10 months agoNone on fileat estimate n=8
1 panel places
£2.7m4 awards in 36m · last 19 months ago1 live · £6.4m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

at estimate n=1
1 panel places
£59k1 awards in 36m · last 19 months ago1 live · £59k
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

no comparable pairs
1 panel places
£84k1 awards in 36m · last 8 months agoNone on fileno comparable pairs
1 win in North West England
1 awards in 36m · last 24 months ago1 live
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

no comparable pairs
Lot #13Individual Service FundsCPV 853100004 monthsEstimate not published

Forecast of expected competition: 6 bids · 2% chance of a single bid. This notice runs to more than 12 lots, so the full read (candidate suppliers, the bid distribution and who has supplied this buyer) is shown on the first 12. The forecast in this note is this lot’s own.

Lot #14Respite - Emergency AccommodationCPV 85310000118 monthsEstimate not published

Forecast of expected competition: 6 bids · 2% chance of a single bid. This notice runs to more than 12 lots, so the full read (candidate suppliers, the bid distribution and who has supplied this buyer) is shown on the first 12. The forecast in this note is this lot’s own.

Lot #15Service InnovationCPV 85310000118 monthsEstimate not published

Forecast of expected competition: 6 bids · 2% chance of a single bid. This notice runs to more than 12 lots, so the full read (candidate suppliers, the bid distribution and who has supplied this buyer) is shown on the first 12. The forecast in this note is this lot’s own.

About this data
  • Source. Official UK public procurement notices (Find a Tender), reused under the Open Government Licence v3.0. New notices arrive through the day; the figures are rebuilt nightly.
  • Two views, kept apart. The authority’s own track record and the wider market for the same kind of work sit side by side and are never mixed. Where the local picture is too thin, a figure widens to a broader market and says which one it used.
  • Forecasts are labelled. The price forecast and its range, possible competitors and the earlier-work matches are our estimates from past awards: not published facts, not win chances and not price advice. Official notices do not say who is bidding.
  • Every figure shows what it rests on. Not every notice publishes a bid count, a value or a delivery region, so each figure carries the number of records behind it, and one built on few records is marked as such. The on a figure explains it; the counting rules are in the methodology. Spotted something wrong? Tell us.

Procedure terms & legal framework

From the official record
Procedure method
Restricted procedure
Legal basis
CELEX · 32014L0024 Public Contracts Regulations 2015 (Directive 2014/24/EU)
Procurement category
Services
Notice status
Open admission
Procurement threshold
Unspecified in notice
Regulatory regime
Standard
Commercial structure
Dynamic market
Who may use this agreement
Any qualifying supplier may apply while the market is open
Competition type
Competitive procedure
GPA / WTO covered
Unspecified in notice
Recurring procurement
No (one-off requirement)
First published
1 Sept 2021, 15:37 BST
Last source update
1 Sept 2021, 15:37 BST
Authority reference
DN562515
FTS notice number
2021/S 000-021657
Classification (CPV)
Social work and related servicesSocial work servicesSocial work services with accommodationSocial work services without accommodation
Delivery area
North West (UKD61)
Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-02dc08 Find a Tender

How to participate & submission route

Official notice Apply via ProContract (Due North)
Submission portal named on this notice: ProContract (Due North) · Who buys & how to bid on ProContract
Supplier login requiredLanguage: EN
Access & registration note: Free · short registration with manual review; public opportunity list
Requests to participate (first stage)
—
Admission period ends
30 Sept 2031, 12:00 BST
Clarification deadline
—
Submission channel
{"electronicSubmission"}
Accepted languages
en
Detailed submission instructions & authority contactsFrom official release

Timeline

1 Sept 2021 → 30 Sept 2031 · 2 dates
  1. Notice published
    1 Sept 2021, 15:37 BST
  2. Today
    22 Oct 2026
  3. Admission / appointment period endsperiod end, not a bid countdown
    30 Sept 2031, 12:00 BST

Commercial outcome & contract awards

Nothing awarded yet
Awards (0)
No award published
Contracts (0)
No contract published
Bid statistics
No aggregate bid statistics published

Contracting authority & participating public bodies

Warrington Borough Council

Contracting authorityLocal CouncilRegional or local authorityGeneral public services New Town House, Buttermarket Street, Warrington, North West, WA1 2NHContact name, email, phone Published organisation website ↗

Official documents & specifications

Official links; attachments are not copied

No document links were published on the notice; the tender pack is on the portal.