Find a TenderOpen for tender Tender notice
Published 16 Oct 2026, 11:36 BST

Official UK procurement notice

Carbine and Self-loading Pistol (SLP) Non-Lethal Training Munitions

Authority: Civil Nuclear Police Authority (CNPA) / Civil Nuclear Constabulary (CNC) (Central government)

GoodsOpen procedureAbove thresholdSME suitableVCSE suitable
Published estimate£900,000≈ £180k / year · £1,080,000 inc. VAT
Submission deadline 10 Nov 202612:00 GMT · 24d 7h left
Clarification cut-off 28 Oct 2026questions to the authority
Contract term 5 yrsends 26 Nov 2031 · extension options published · starts 25 Nov 2026

What is being bought

Published requirement description

The CNC is seeking to procure non-lethal simulation ammunition, including high-reliability marking cartridges, silent and blank training rounds. The ammunition must provide realistic recoil and accurate short-range ballistic performance for close-quarters battle (CQB) training, while avoiding damage to standard armour, equipment or training environments. Weapon conversion kits must be temporary and user-installable, including suitable bolt assemblies, barrel replacements and slide conversions to adapt duty firearms for use with simulation rounds. The conversion hardware must incorporate a mechanical safety barrier that physically prevents the chambering or firing of live, lethal ammunition while installed.

  • No preliminary market engagement: The CNC has subject matter experts internally

CPV: Ammunition · Ammunition for firearms and warfare · Parts of firearms and ammunition · Weapons, ammunition and associated parts

The lotProcurement structure

single lot · value published
Lot #1 5 yrsSMEVCSEPublished value£900,000
Contract period: 25 Nov 2026 – 26 Nov 2031 (5 yrs)Value: £900,000 exc. VAT · £1,080,000 inc. VAT
Delivery: UKEligibility: SME eligibleVCSE eligibleTurnover guideline: ~£359,409/yr≈ 2× annual value
Extensions: Option to extend the contract for a further 2 years (1+1)

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

What it takes to win
i

How this buyer will score bids.

The evaluation criteria and weights exactly as published on the notice, grouped by family (price, quality, social value and so on).

Evaluation split and conditions of participation as published; the tender pack may add more
How bids are scored
Quality: 60%Price: 30%Social value: 10%
Published award criteria (3)
  • Quality: 60% split between: Technical – 30% Trial – 30%
  • Social Value
  • Price

No conditions of participation were published on the notice; check the tender documents.

What this means for your bid
  • Price carries 30 of 100 points: a 10% discount moves about 3 points. The method statement decides this lot, not the discount.
  • Turnover usually expected at this size: about £359,409 (twice the annual value).

Price arithmetic assumes straight proportional scoring; the tender pack may use another formula. Turnover is an indicative market norm (≈2× annual value), not a published condition.

Competition analysis · published record, not a forecast of who will bid

How Civil Nuclear Police Authority (CNPA) / Civil Nuclear Constabulary (CNC) buys Ammunition (CPV 3533), and who usually turns up

Civil Nuclear Police Authority (CNPA) / Civil Nuclear Constabulary (CNC)’s own published record, next to the published market for the same work. Frameworks and DPS are kept out: they attract a different number of bids. Whole-market view: Ammunition (CPV 3533) →

1

How the contest usually goes

Winner shares use published awards; bid and price charts use contested lots.

Question for the bidWhat to do with it
How often do SMEs win?
i

How often small and medium firms win.

Share of awards where the winner’s size is known.

The counts under this question show how many awards have a known supplier size.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 1 of 2 known-size awards · market: CPV 3533 · UK-wide, n=8
1 of 238%

Small firms have won here. Neither number says whether you qualify; it describes who has been winning.

How often do local suppliers win?
i

How often local firms win similar work.

Winners with a registered address in the delivery region, out of awards with a known address.

Here, local means the winner is registered in the region where that contract was delivered.

A local branch does not count if the registered address is elsewhere.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: no winner locations published · market: CPV 3533 · UK-wide, n=5
—80%

No winner locations published for this authority. Local means a registered address in South East England.

How long to a decision?
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the deadline to the first award notice, on competitions that published both dates.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 3 decided notices · market: division 35 · South East England (authority’s region), n=8
65 days87 days

Half of these awards were announced within 65 days of the bid deadline.

How often single-bid or direct?
i

How often work is awarded with no recorded rival.

Direct awards and tenders where every published lot count shows one bid.

The market share is a minimum: some awards have no bid count.

Thin markets produce this too; it is not proof of a tailored specification.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: exactly 11 of 12 procurements with awards had no recorded rival · market: CPV 3533 · UK-wide, n=17
92%82%

Direct awards or one recorded bid are common here. Check the route before spending time on a bid.

How many bids did past lots attract?

i

How many bids past lots received.

Each colour is a bid-count range. Only competed lots with a published count are included.

Past bids do not predict this tender.

Last 36 months.

This buyer4 lots with bid counts · all categories · too few to chart
The market12 lots with bid counts · division 35 · South East England (authority’s region)
25% had one bid
Market · select a colour for counts
1 bid25%
Market: 3 of 12 lots with published bid counts.
2–350%
Market: 6 of 12 lots with published bid counts.
4–617%
Market: 2 of 12 lots with published bid counts.
7+8%
Market: 1 of 12 lots with published bid counts.

How did awards compare with estimates?

i

Where winning prices landed against estimates.

Each colour shows awards below, close to or above the published estimate, one lot at a time.

Past prices are a guide, not a bid price.

Last 36 months.

This buyer1 lot with estimate and award · broad CPV 35 · too few to chart
The market62 lots with estimate and award · division 35 · UK-wide
47% below estimate
Market · select a colour for counts
Below estimate47%
Market: 29 of 62 lots with an estimate and award.
Within ±2%39%
Market: 24 of 62 lots with an estimate and award.
Above estimate15%
Market: 9 of 62 lots with an estimate and award.
2

Assess each lot
i

What past awards tell you about each lot.

See the forecast, this buyer’s earlier suppliers and firms with relevant wins.

No supplier is confirmed as a bidder.

Open a lot for its forecast, this buyer’s previous supplier and possible competitors, from published award history, not a bid list

Lot #1CPV 353360 monthsSME suitablePublished estimate£900k
Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

3expected bids10% single-bid risk
forecast from 1 past contest
Forecast chances for this lot
1 bid10%
Chance this lot gets 1 bid: 10%. This is a forecast.
2–358%
Chance this lot gets 2–3: 58%. This is a forecast.
4–627%
Chance this lot gets 4–6: 27%. This is a forecast.
7+5%
Chance this lot gets 7+: 5%. This is a forecast.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

Based on 8 comparable awards. Each lot reflects its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

£893k0.8% below estimate
8 comparable awards
Forecast compared with the buyer’s estimate
Middle 50%£774k–£900k
Half of likely prices fall between £773,502 and £900,000.
Estimate£900k
The buyer published an estimate of £900,000 for this lot.
A 25% chance the award lands exactly on the estimate.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

No earlier contract of this buyer matches this lot on the published record.

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

SupplierWon in this categoryLive contractsAward vs estimate
Buyer regular9 panel places
£25m11 awards in 36m · last this month2 live · £167k
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

50% below n=1
1 panel places
£20m4 awards in 36m · last 1 months ago1 live · £30k
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

no comparable pairs
6 panel places
£30m9 awards in 36m · last 6 months ago1 live · £36k
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

15% above n=1
1 panel places
£1.5m6 awards in 36m · last 3 months ago4 live · £483k
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

no comparable pairs
5 panel places
£649k9 awards in 36m · last 5 months ago3 live · £199k
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

no comparable pairs
About this data
  • Source. Official UK public procurement notices (Find a Tender), reused under the Open Government Licence v3.0. New notices arrive through the day; the figures are rebuilt nightly.
  • Two views, kept apart. The authority’s own track record and the wider market for the same kind of work sit side by side and are never mixed. Where the local picture is too thin, a figure widens to a broader market and says which one it used.
  • Forecasts are labelled. The price forecast and its range, possible competitors and the match score are our estimates from past awards: not published facts, not win chances and not price advice. Official notices do not say who is bidding.
  • Every figure shows what it rests on. Not every notice publishes a bid count, a value or a delivery region, so each figure carries the number of records behind it, and one built on few records is marked as such. The on a figure explains it; the counting rules are in the methodology. Spotted something wrong? Tell us.

Procedure terms & legal framework

From the official record
Procedure method
Open procedure
Legal basis
UKPGA · 2023/54 Procurement Act 2023
Procurement category
Goods
Notice status
Open for tender
Procurement threshold
Above threshold (FTS publication)
Regulatory regime
Standard
Commercial structure
Stand-alone contract (no framework)
Competition type
Competitive procedure
GPA / WTO covered
Unspecified in notice
Recurring procurement
Unspecified in notice
First published
16 Oct 2026, 11:36 BST
Last source update
16 Oct 2026, 11:36 BST
Award evaluation window
Submission end – 23 Nov 2026
Authority reference
1273
FTS notice number
2026/S 000-097847
Latest notice
Tender notice (UK4)
Classification (CPV)
AmmunitionAmmunition for firearms and warfareParts of firearms and ammunitionWeapons, ammunition and associated parts
Delivery area
UK
Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-078951 Find a Tender

How to participate & submission route

Official notice Submit via EU-Supply (CTM)
Submission portal named on this notice: EU-Supply (CTM) · Who buys & how to bid on EU-Supply
Public notice page · account needed to bidElectronic submission allowedLanguage: EN
Access & registration note: Free · 5–10 minutes
Requests to participate (first stage)
—
Tender submission deadline
10 Nov 2026, 12:00 GMT
Clarification deadline
28 Oct 2026
Submission channel
Official e-sourcing portal
Electronic submission
Allowed
Accepted languages
en
Detailed submission instructions & authority contactsFrom official release
Published estimate £900,000 excludes VAT (£1,080,000 including VAT).

Timeline

16 Oct 2026 → 25 Nov 2026 · 5 dates
  1. Tender notice published1 day ago
    16 Oct 2026, 11:36 BST
  2. Today
    17 Oct 2026
  3. Clarification questions byin 11 days
    28 Oct 2026
  4. Submission deadlinein 24 days
    10 Nov 2026, 12:00 GMT
  5. Award decision expected byin 38 days
    23 Nov 2026, 23:59 GMT
  6. Contract startsin 39 days
    25 Nov 2026

Notice history

1 event · 1 release on Find a Tender
  1. Tender notice published
    16 Oct 2026, 11:36 BST
    UK4

Commercial outcome & contract awards

Nothing awarded yet
Awards (0)
No award published
Contracts (0)
No contract published
Bid statistics
No aggregate bid statistics published

Contracting authority & participating public bodies

Civil Nuclear Police Authority (CNPA) / Civil Nuclear Constabulary (CNC)

Contracting authorityPublic authority - central government GB-PPON: PTBP-7472-NYGG Building B150, Thomson Avenue, Harwell Science & Innovation Campus, Didcot, South East, OX11 0TRContact name, email, phone

Official documents & specifications (1)

Official links; attachments are not copied

Notices published for this procedure

  • Tender notice tenderTender noticeUK4Tender notice on Find a Tender