Find a TenderPlanned procurementPipeline notice
Published 16 Apr 2026, 10:59 BST

Official UK procurement notice

Wastewater Testing · UK public procurement notice

Authority: Ministry of Justice (Central government)

ServicesOpen procedureAbove thresholdSME suitableVCSE suitable
Planned pipeline value£4,850,000pipeline notice, not a live tender · 1 value update
Tender notice expected 9 Jan 2027from the planned procurement notice
Contract term 2 yrsends 1 Apr 2030 · starts 31 Mar 2028

What is being bought

Published requirement description

The Ministry of Justice recognises the potential of prison wastewater testing in offering insight into the health of the prison population. The intended procurement is for the provision of wastewater sampling, laboratory analysis, reporting and associated monitoring technology.

CPV: Data analysis services · Drug detection apparatus

The lotProcurement structure

single lot · no lot value published
Lot #1Planned 2 yrsSMEVCSE
Contract period: 31 Mar 2028 – 1 Apr 2030 (2 yrs)
Eligibility: SME eligibleVCSE eligible

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

Pipeline intelligence · planning stage: how this market runs before the tender is published

How Ministry of Justice buys Machines and apparatus for testing and measuring (CPV 3854), and who usually turns up

Ministry of Justice’s own published record, next to the published market for the same work. Frameworks and DPS are kept out: they attract a different number of bids. Whole-market view: Machines and apparatus for testing and measuring (CPV 3854) →

1

How the contest usually goes

Winner shares use published awards; bid and price charts use contested lots.

Question for the bid
This buyerMinistry of Justice · all categories
What to do with it
How often do SMEs win?
i

How often small and medium firms win.

Share of awards where the winner’s size is known.

The counts under this question show how many awards have a known supplier size.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 139 of 263 known-size awards · market: CPV 3854 · UK-wide, n=37
53%59%

Small firms have won here. Neither number says whether you qualify; it describes who has been winning.

How often do local suppliers win?
i

How often local firms win similar work.

Winners with a registered address in the delivery region, out of awards with a known address.

Here, local means the winner is registered in the region where that contract was delivered.

A local branch does not count if the registered address is elsewhere.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 11 of 18 known-location awards · market: CPV 3854 · UK-wide, n=27
61%37%

Most of this buyer’s recorded winners are registered in Greater London.

How long to a decision?
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the deadline to the first award notice, on competitions that published both dates.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 18 decided notices · market: division 38 · Greater London (authority’s region), n=5
53 days27 days

Half of these awards were announced within 53 days of the bid deadline.

How often single-bid or direct?
i

How often work is awarded with no recorded rival.

Direct awards and tenders where every published lot count shows one bid.

Both shares are minimums: some awards have no bid count.

Thin markets produce this too; it is not proof of a tailored specification.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: at least 139 of 340 procurements with awards had no recorded rival · market: CPV 3854 · UK-wide, n=57
41%65%

Direct awards or one recorded bid are common here. Check the route before spending time on a bid.

How many bids did past lots attract?

i

How many bids past lots received.

Each colour is a bid-count range. Only competed lots with a published count are included.

Past bids do not predict this tender.

Last 36 months.

This buyer50 lots with bid counts · all categories
10% had one bid
The market10 lots with bid counts · CPV 3854 · UK-wide
50% had one bid
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
1 bid10% / 50%
Buyer: 5 of 50 lots with published bid counts. Market: 5 of 10 lots with published bid counts.
2–358% / 50%
Buyer: 29 of 50 lots with published bid counts. Market: 5 of 10 lots with published bid counts.
4–620% / 0%
Buyer: 10 of 50 lots with published bid counts. Market: 0 of 10 lots with published bid counts.
7+12% / 0%
Buyer: 6 of 50 lots with published bid counts. Market: 0 of 10 lots with published bid counts.

How did awards compare with estimates?

i

Where winning prices landed against estimates.

Each colour shows awards below, close to or above the published estimate, one lot at a time.

Past prices are a guide, not a bid price.

Last 36 months.

This buyer26 lots with estimate and award · all categories
54% below estimate
The market7 lots with estimate and award · CPV 3854 · UK-wide
57% below estimate
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
Below estimate54% / 57%
Buyer: 14 of 26 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 4 of 7 lots with an estimate and award.
Within ±2%31% / 29%
Buyer: 8 of 26 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 2 of 7 lots with an estimate and award.
Above estimate15% / 14%
Buyer: 4 of 26 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 1 of 7 lots with an estimate and award.
2

Assess each lot
i

What past awards tell you about each lot.

See the forecast, this buyer’s earlier suppliers and firms with relevant wins.

No supplier is confirmed as a bidder.

Open a lot for its forecast, this buyer’s previous supplier and possible competitors, from published award history, not a bid list

Lot #1CPV 385424 monthsSME suitablePublished estimate£4.8m
Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative. The bar shows 10 past lots.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

—No model forecast yet30% single-bid risk
Past bids on 10 similar lots
1 bid30%
3 of 10 similar past lots received 1 bid (30%).
2–340%
4 of 10 similar past lots received 2–3 (40%).
4–620%
2 of 10 similar past lots received 4–6 (20%).
7+10%
1 of 10 similar past lots received 7+ (10%).
Comparable past lots usually drew 2.5 bids.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

No comparable awards for this lot yet.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

—No model forecast yet
No comparable awards on record for this lot’s category yet. The published estimate is £4.8m, and the forecast stays empty until the market has a record to read.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

No earlier contract of this buyer matches this lot on the published record.

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

Candidate suppliers for this notice have not been worked out yet, so this is not a verdict that nobody fits.

About this data
  • Source. Official UK public procurement notices (Find a Tender), reused under the Open Government Licence v3.0. New notices arrive through the day; the figures are rebuilt nightly.
  • Two views, kept apart. The authority’s own track record and the wider market for the same kind of work sit side by side and are never mixed. Where the local picture is too thin, a figure widens to a broader market and says which one it used.
  • Forecasts are labelled. The price forecast and its range, possible competitors and the earlier-work matches are our estimates from past awards: not published facts, not win chances and not price advice. Official notices do not say who is bidding.
  • Every figure shows what it rests on. Not every notice publishes a bid count, a value or a delivery region, so each figure carries the number of records behind it, and one built on few records is marked as such. The on a figure explains it; the counting rules are in the methodology. Spotted something wrong? Tell us.

Procedure terms & legal framework

From the official record
Procedure method
Open procedure
Legal basis
UKPGA · 2023/54 Procurement Act 2023
Procurement category
Services
Notice status
Planned procurement
Procurement threshold
Above threshold (FTS publication)
Regulatory regime
Standard
Commercial structure
Stand-alone contract (no framework)
Competition type
Competitive procedure
GPA / WTO covered
Unspecified in notice
Recurring procurement
Unspecified in notice
First published
16 Apr 2026, 10:59 BST
Last source update
15 Sept 2026, 13:19 BST
Authority reference
prj_16912
FTS notice number
2026/S 000-087294
Latest notice
Pipeline notice (UK1)
Classification (CPV)
Data analysis servicesDrug detection apparatus
Delivery area
Not published
Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-0683e0 Find a Tender

How it was run

Official notice
Submission deadline
—

Timeline

16 Apr 2026 → 31 Mar 2028 · 5 dates
  1. Planning notice published188 days ago
    16 Apr 2026, 10:59 BST
  2. Market engagement165 days ago
    8 May 2026, 23:59 BST

    We are keen to hear from suppliers to better understand the appetite, capability and capacity to deliver this requirement which will support with the development of any future procurement for this Service.

    A Market Engagement Questionnaire has been developed and we invite responses via the link below:

    forms.office.com/e/WkM8gYzSG0 ↗

    The deadline for completion of the Market Engagement Questionnaire is 23:59hrs on Friday 8 May 2026.

    This Market Engagement exercise does not commit the Authority to a formal procurement and any information provided in this questionnaire is subject to change.

  3. Latest notice published35 days ago
    15 Sept 2026, 13:19 BST
  4. Today
    20 Oct 2026
  5. Tender notice expectedin 81 days
    9 Jan 2027, 23:59 GMT
  6. Contract starts
    31 Mar 2028, 00:00 BST

Notice history

6 events · 3 releases on Find a Tender · since 16 Apr 2026
  1. Preliminary market engagement notice published
    16 Apr 2026, 10:59 BST
    UK2
  2. Pipeline notice published
    9 Sept 2026, 12:07 BST
    UK1
  3. Published value updated to £4,850,000
    9 Sept 2026, 12:07 BST
    was £8,000,000
  4. Status changed to planned
    9 Sept 2026, 12:07 BST
  5. Procurement method changed
    9 Sept 2026, 12:07 BST
  6. Pipeline notice published
    15 Sept 2026, 13:19 BST
    UK1
Published amendments (1)

The UK2 Notice automatically pre-populated content within the UK1 Notice, including reference to a supplier questionnaire as part of the market engagement process. However, market engagement has now concluded and the questionnaire is no longer active. The purpose of this UK1 Notice is solely to keep the market informed of the Authority's current intentions and anticipated timelines for the forthco…

Commercial outcome & contract awards

Pipeline notice
Awards (0)
No award published
Contracts (0)
No contract published
Bid statistics
No aggregate bid statistics published

Contracting authority & participating public bodies

Ministry of Justice

Contracting authorityPublic authority - central government GB-PPON: PDNN-2773-HVYN 102 Petty France, London, London, SW1H 9AJContact email

Official documents & specifications (3)

Official links; attachments are not copied

Notices published for this procedure

  • Pipeline notice planningPipeline noticeUK1Pipeline notice on Find a Tender
  • Pipeline notice planningPipeline noticeUK1Pipeline notice on Find a Tender
  • Preliminary market engagement notice planningPreliminary market engagement noticeUK2Preliminary market engagement notice on Find a Tender