Official UK procurement notice
Vegetation Risk Model Solution
Authority: NETWORK RAIL INFRASTRUCTURE LIMITED (Central government)
What is being bought
Published requirement descriptionNetwork Rail is seeking to understand market interest and capabilities to deliver a comprehensive vegetation risk model solution.
Network Rail requires a national comprehensive vegetation risk model that will include all known threats/hazards and will apply risk assessment (risk = likelihood x impact), statistical calculations with weighted parameters and where possible, application of existing or proposed new Artificial Intelligence/Machine Learning to provide a preventative approach to the dynamic risk that exists in vegetation / trees (created due to seasons, weather, changing profile after tree falls and/or growth over time).
Vegetation poses a risk to the operational railway resulting in suboptimal operation of the railway, and risks to safe train operations. Vegetation such as trees falling/ encroaching onto tracks can block signals and visibility. Risks also include damage to infrastructure and disruption to service.
The comprehensive risk model needs to be dynamic and show risk change throughout the year e.g. leaf fall is highest in Autumn.
For detailed information please refer to the attached documents in the Opportunity Listing in Bravo.
CPV: Research and development services and related consultancy services
The lotProcurement structure
single lot · no lot value publishedPipeline intelligence · planning stage: how this market runs before the tender is published
How NETWORK RAIL INFRASTRUCTURE LIMITED buys Research and development services (CPV 73), and who usually turns up
NETWORK RAIL INFRASTRUCTURE LIMITED’s own published record, next to the published market for the same work. Frameworks and DPS are kept out: they attract a different number of bids. Whole-market view: Research and development services (CPV 73) →
How the contest usually goes
Winner shares use published awards; bid and price charts use contested lots.
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How often small and medium firms win.
Share of awards where the winner’s size is known.
The counts under this question show how many awards have a known supplier size.
Small firms have won here. Neither number says whether you qualify; it describes who has been winning.
i
How often local firms win similar work.
Winners with a registered address in the delivery region, out of awards with a known address.
A local branch does not count if the registered address is elsewhere.
Most of this buyer’s recorded winners are registered outside the delivery region.
i
How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.
Middle value in days from the deadline to the first award notice, on competitions that published both dates.
Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.
Half of these awards were announced within 148 days of the bid deadline.
i
How often work is awarded with no recorded rival.
Direct awards and tenders where every published lot count shows one bid.
The buyer’s share is a minimum: some awards have no bid count.
Thin markets produce this too; it is not proof of a tailored specification.
Direct awards or one recorded bid are common here. Check the route before spending time on a bid.
How many bids did past lots attract?
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How many bids past lots received.
Each colour is a bid-count range. Only competed lots with a published count are included.
Past bids do not predict this tender.
1 bid13%
2–350%
4–638%
7+0%
How did awards compare with estimates?
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Where winning prices landed against estimates.
Each colour shows awards below, close to or above the published estimate, one lot at a time.
Past prices are a guide, not a bid price.
Below estimate83%
Within ±2%0%
Above estimate17%
Assess each lot i
What past awards tell you about each lot.
See the forecast, this buyer’s earlier suppliers and firms with relevant wins.
No supplier is confirmed as a bidder.
i
What past awards tell you about each lot.
See the forecast, this buyer’s earlier suppliers and firms with relevant wins.
No supplier is confirmed as a bidder.
Open a lot for its forecast, this buyer’s previous supplier and possible competitors, from published award history, not a bid list
Lot #1Published estimate£1.0m
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How many bids this lot may attract.
The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.
Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative. The bar shows 265 past lots.
A forecast, not a list of bidders.
1 bid14%
2–326%
4–630%
7+30%
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Where the award price may land.
The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.
No comparable awards for this lot yet.
A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.
Who has supplied this buyer on similar work? i
Who has done similar work for this buyer.
Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.
A past supplier may not bid again.
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Who has done similar work for this buyer.
Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.
A past supplier may not bid again.
No earlier contract of this buyer matches this lot on the published record.
Who could compete for this lot? i
Who could compete for this lot?
Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.
None is confirmed as a bidder.
i
Who could compete for this lot?
Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.
None is confirmed as a bidder.
Candidate suppliers for this notice have not been worked out yet, so this is not a verdict that nobody fits.
About this data
- Source. Official UK public procurement notices (Find a Tender), reused under the Open Government Licence v3.0. New notices arrive through the day; the figures are rebuilt nightly.
- Two views, kept apart. The authority’s own track record and the wider market for the same kind of work sit side by side and are never mixed. Where the local picture is too thin, a figure widens to a broader market and says which one it used.
- Forecasts are labelled. The price forecast and its range, possible competitors and the earlier-work matches are our estimates from past awards: not published facts, not win chances and not price advice. Official notices do not say who is bidding.
- Every figure shows what it rests on. Not every notice publishes a bid count, a value or a delivery region, so each figure carries the number of records behind it, and one built on few records is marked as such. The on a figure explains it; the counting rules are in the methodology. Spotted something wrong? Tell us.
Procedure terms & legal framework
From the official record- Legal basis
- UKPGA · 2023/54 Procurement Act 2023
- Procurement category
- Services
- Notice status
- Planned procurement
- Procurement threshold
- Above threshold (FTS publication)
- Regulatory regime
- Utilities
- Commercial structure
- Stand-alone contract (no framework)
- Competition type
- Competitive procedure
- GPA / WTO covered
- Unspecified in notice
- Recurring procurement
- Unspecified in notice
- First published
- 19 Dec 2025, 13:54 GMT
- Last source update
- 19 Dec 2025, 14:18 GMT
- Authority reference
Vegetation Risk Model Solution- FTS notice number
2025/S 000-084959- Latest notice
- Preliminary market engagement notice (UK2)
- Classification (CPV)
- Delivery area
- Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-05fa71Find a Tender
How it was run
Official notice- Submission deadline
- —
Timeline
19 Dec 2025 → 19 Aug 2026 · 4 dates- Planning notice published307 days ago19 Dec 2025, 13:54 GMT
- Market engagement264 days ago30 Jan 2026, 23:59 GMT
For further information relating to the scope of this pre-market engagement and the submission process please review the document titled 'Vegetation Risk Model Solution' via the instructions below:
- Follow the link: networkrail.bravosolution.co.uk/web/login.html ↗
- From the welcome screen access the 'view current opportunities' link and select #42625 'Vegetation Risk Model Solution'
- Click on the PDF attachments to view the attached documents.
- Tender notice expected236 days ago27 Feb 2026, 23:59 GMT
- Contract starts64 days ago19 Aug 2026, 00:00 BST
Notice history
3 events · 2 releases on Find a Tender · since 19 Dec 2025- Preliminary market engagement notice published19 Dec 2025, 13:54 GMTUK2
- Preliminary market engagement notice published19 Dec 2025, 14:18 GMTUK2
- Published value updated to £1,000,00019 Dec 2025, 14:18 GMTwas £360,000
Commercial outcome & contract awards
Pipeline notice- Awards (0)
- No award published
- Contracts (0)
- No contract published
- Bid statistics
- No aggregate bid statistics published
Contracting authority & participating public bodies
Official documents & specifications (2)
Official links; attachments are not copiedNotices published for this procedure
- Preliminary market engagement notice Preliminary market engagement notice on Find a Tender
- Preliminary market engagement notice Preliminary market engagement notice on Find a Tender