Find a TenderPlanned procurementPipeline notice
Published 26 May 2026, 15:46 BST

Official UK procurement notice

TRU Phase B - Physical Works

Authority: Northern Trains Ltd (Public body)

WorksBelow threshold - open competitionBelow thresholdUtilities
Planned pipeline value£4,000,000pipeline notice, not a live tender
Tender notice expected Date not publishedfrom the planned procurement notice
Contract term 9 moends 31 Dec 2027 · starts 31 Mar 2027

What is being bought

Published requirement description

Minor Enhancement works such as replacement of signage, lighting, White and Yellow Lining, Mind the Gap Stencils, Induction Loops, PA Upgrades and Shelters across NTL stations

CPV: Construction work

The lotProcurement structure

single lot · no lot value published
Lot #1Planned 9 mo
Contract period: 31 Mar 2027 – 31 Dec 2027 (9 mo)
Delivery: UK

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

Pipeline intelligence · planning stage: how this market runs before the tender is published

How Northern Trains Ltd buys Construction work (CPV 45), and who usually turns up

Northern Trains Ltd’s published record next to the market for the same work. Frameworks and DPS are left out: they draw different bid counts. Whole-market view: Construction work (CPV 45) →

1

How the contest usually goes

Winner shares use published awards; bid and price charts use contested lots.

Question for the bid
This buyerNorthern Trains Ltd · division 45
The marketConstruction work (CPV 45) · UK-wide
What to do with it
How often do SMEs win?
i

How often small and medium firms win.

Share of awards where the winner’s size is known.

The counts under this question show how many awards have a known supplier size.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 4 of 15 known-size awards · market: division 45 · UK-wide, n=4,595
27%73%

Small firms have won here. Neither number says whether you qualify; it describes who has been winning. Small firms win less of this buyer’s work than the market’s: 27% against 73%, n=15.

How often do local suppliers win?
i

How often local firms win similar work.

Winners with a registered address in the delivery region, out of awards with a known address.

Local means the winner is registered in the region where that award was delivered.

A local branch does not count if the registered address is elsewhere.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 4 of 10 known-location awards · market: division 45 · UK-wide, n=5,522
40%69%

Most of this buyer’s recorded winners were registered outside the region where that award was delivered.

How long to a decision?
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the bid deadline to the award date, on competitions that published both.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 3 decided notices · market: division 45 · UK-wide, n=1,224
42 days45 days

Half of these awards have an award date within 42 days of the bid deadline.

How often single-bid or direct?
i

How often work is awarded with no recorded rival.

Direct awards and tenders where every published lot count shows one bid.

Both shares are minimums: some awards have no bid count.

Thin markets produce this too; it is not proof of a tailored specification.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: at least 2 of 19 procurements with awards had no recorded rival · market: division 45 · UK-wide, n=6,964
11%32%

Missing bid counts may hide more single-bid awards. This share is a minimum.

How many bids did past lots attract?

i

How many bids past lots received.

Each colour is a bid-count range. Only competed lots with a published count are included.

Past bids do not predict this tender.

Last 36 months.

This buyer10 lots with bid counts · all categories
0% had one bid
The market1,750 lots with bid counts · division 45 · UK-wide
12% had one bid
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
1 bid0% / 12%
Buyer: 0 of 10 lots with published bid counts. Market: 203 of 1,750 lots with published bid counts.
2–320% / 27%
Buyer: 2 of 10 lots with published bid counts. Market: 478 of 1,750 lots with published bid counts.
4–640% / 30%
Buyer: 4 of 10 lots with published bid counts. Market: 531 of 1,750 lots with published bid counts.
7+40% / 31%
Buyer: 4 of 10 lots with published bid counts. Market: 538 of 1,750 lots with published bid counts.

How did awards compare with estimates?

i

Where winning prices landed against estimates.

Each colour shows awards below, close to or above the published estimate, one lot at a time.

Past prices are a guide, not a bid price.

Last 36 months.

This buyer12 lots with estimate and award · all categories
50% below estimate
The market1,397 lots with estimate and award · division 45 · UK-wide
42% below estimate
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
Below estimate50% / 42%
Buyer: 6 of 12 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 587 of 1,397 lots with an estimate and award.
Within ±2%25% / 31%
Buyer: 3 of 12 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 432 of 1,397 lots with an estimate and award.
Above estimate25% / 27%
Buyer: 3 of 12 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 378 of 1,397 lots with an estimate and award.
2

Assess each lot
i

What past awards tell you about each lot.

See the forecast, this buyer’s earlier suppliers and firms with relevant wins.

No supplier is confirmed as a bidder.

Open a lot for its forecast, this buyer’s previous supplier and possible competitors, from published award history, not a bid list

Lot #1CPV 459 monthsPublished estimate£4.0m

This lot lists more than one class in CPV 45. The comparison uses that group.

Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative. The bar shows 1,750 past lots.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

—No model forecast yet12% chance of a single bid
Past bids on 1,750 similar lots
1 bid12%
203 of 1,750 similar past lots received 1 bid (12%).
2–327%
478 of 1,750 similar past lots received 2–3 (27%).
4–630%
531 of 1,750 similar past lots received 4–6 (30%).
7+31%
538 of 1,750 similar past lots received 7+ (31%).
Comparable past lots usually drew 4 bids.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

No comparable awards for this lot yet.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

—No model forecast yet
No comparable awards on record for this lot’s category yet. The published estimate is £4.0m, and the forecast stays empty until the market has a record to read.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

SupplierThis buyer’s earlier contractLotAward valueWhy listed
CURRIE and BROWN UK LIMITEDEarlier contractCommercial Services - TRU Phase B Worksended Jan 2026—£154kMatched as the earlier contract

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

Candidate suppliers for this notice have not been worked out yet, so this is not a verdict that nobody fits.

About this data
  • Source. Official UK public procurement notices (Find a Tender), reused under the Open Government Licence v3.0. New notices arrive through the day; the figures are rebuilt nightly.
  • Two views, kept apart. The authority’s own track record and the wider market for the same kind of work sit side by side and are never mixed. Where the local picture is too thin, a figure widens to a broader market and says which one it used.
  • Forecasts are labelled. The price forecast and its range, possible competitors and the earlier-work matches are our estimates from past awards: not published facts, not win chances and not price advice. Official notices do not say who is bidding.
  • Every figure shows what it rests on. Not every notice publishes a bid count, a value or a delivery region, so each figure carries the number of records behind it, and one built on few records is marked as such. The on a figure explains it; the counting rules are in the methodology. Spotted something wrong? Tell us.

What this replaces
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

43% title match.

A past supplier may not bid again.

The prior contract this notice most likely re-tenders · matched by title and category (43% title match), the holder is not guaranteed to re-bid

Commercial Services - TRU Phase B Works — held by CURRIE and BROWN UK LIMITED; the published contract ends 15 Jan 2026.

Procedure terms & legal framework

From the official record
Procedure method
Below threshold - open competition
Legal basis
UKPGA · 2023/54 Procurement Act 2023
Procurement category
Works
Notice status
Planned procurement
Procurement threshold
Below threshold
Regulatory regime
Utilities
Commercial structure
Stand-alone contract (no framework)
Competition type
Competitive procedure
GPA / WTO covered
Unspecified in notice
Recurring procurement
Unspecified in notice
First published
26 May 2026, 15:46 BST
Last source update
26 May 2026, 15:46 BST
Authority reference
TRU Phase B - Physical Works
FTS notice number
2026/S 000-048963
Latest notice
Pipeline notice (UK1)
Classification (CPV)
Construction work
Delivery area
UK
Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-06a413 Find a Tender

How it was run

Official notice
Submission deadline
—

Timeline

26 May 2026 → 31 Mar 2027 · 2 dates
  1. Planning notice published150 days ago
    26 May 2026, 15:46 BST
  2. Today
    23 Oct 2026
  3. Contract startsin 159 days
    31 Mar 2027, 00:00 BST

Notice history

1 event · 1 release on Find a Tender
  1. Pipeline notice published
    26 May 2026, 15:46 BST
    UK1

Commercial outcome & contract awards

Pipeline notice
Awards (0)
No award published
Contracts (0)
No contract published
Bid statistics
No aggregate bid statistics published

Contracting authority & participating public bodies

Northern Trains Limited

Contracting authorityPublic authority - central government GB-PPON: PZCJ-2164-HJQZ George Stephenson House, Toft Green, York, Yorkshire & Humber, YO1 6JTContact email

Official documents & specifications (1)

Official links; attachments are not copied

Notices published for this procedure

  • Pipeline notice planningPipeline noticeUK1Pipeline notice on Find a Tender