Find a TenderPlanned procurement
Published 12 Feb 2024, 15:19 GMT

Official UK procurement notice

Untitled procurement — UK public procurement notice

Authority: Ministry of Defence (Central government)

Services
Sectors: Administration, defence and social security services (75) Delivery: Delivery location not published
Published estimate£24,000,000exc. VAT · 1 value update
Tender notice expected Date not publishedfrom the planned procurement notice
Bids per lot · this authority 4CPV 7522 · n=5 · competition analysis ↓

What is being bought

Published requirement description

NEXUS is a capability package that will create decision superiority by delivering relevant information and capabilities to war fighters.

There are 5 Work Packages which form Nexus and will be procured. Work package 2: Sustain Air Cloud Hosting Environment (ACHE) and Air Information Platform (AIP):

The sustain activities include level 1 and 2 maintenances of both the hardware (ACHE) and software (AIP and visualisations) delivered under the DARK STAR project. This activity also includes the associated regression testing, software validation, and deployment of the new AIP software, including any externally developed capability enhancements (e.g., those developed under Grow AIP). All software pushed to production must be delivered through the Sustain ACHE and AIP activities.

CPV: Defence services, military defence services and civil defence services · Military defence services

Pipeline intelligence · planning stage — how this market runs before the tender is published

How Ministry of Defence buys Defence services (CPV 7522) — and who usually turns up

Ministry of Defence’s own published record, next to the South East England market for the same work. Frameworks and DPS are kept out: they attract a different number of bids. Whole-market view: Defence services (CPV 7522) →

1

How the contest usually goes

Left: this authority. Right: the market where the work is delivered. Bids and award-vs-estimate pairs are per lot, from contested contracts only — direct awards (including PA 2023 transparency notices) report one bid by definition and are left out. On Procurement Act 2023 notices the count is the tenders assessed at the final stage, not every submission received; pairs compare like with like (VAT-exclusive, or VAT-inclusive on both sides). Empty means nothing was published, not filled in from elsewhere.

This authority

Ministry of Defence

contract notices in 36 months: 34 in CPV 7522 (11 without competition · 6 route not published) · 52 in division 75 (20 without competition · 8 route not published) · 1,266 in all categories (486 without competition · 214 route not published)

Bids per lot
i

How many companies usually bid for work like this.

Middle value of published bid counts, one per lot, for this buyer or this region in the same sector.

Based on this buyer’s tenders in this sector (CPV 7522), last 36 months: 5 lots. All 5 lots are from older notices, which count bids received.

Nothing is filled in from UK-wide numbers. An empty tile means nothing usable was published.

4CPV 7522 · 36m · n=5 lots
Single-bid lots
i

How often only one company bid.

Share of lots that received exactly one bid, on the same competitions as the bids figure.

Based on this buyer’s tenders in this sector (CPV 7522), last 36 months: 5 lots.

High means a thin market or an incumbent that is hard to beat.

20%CPV 7522 · 36m · n=5 lots
Award vs estimate
i

Do awards for work like this land above or below the estimate.

Estimate against award per lot, for this buyer or this region in the same sector.

Based on this buyer’s tenders in this industry (CPV 75), last 36 months: 5 pairs.

A past pattern, not a price to bid.

15% belowdivision 75 · 36m · n=5 pairs
Deadline → award date
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the deadline to the first award notice, on competitions that published both dates.

Based on this buyer’s tenders in all categories, last 36 months: 79 notices.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

43dall categories · 36m · n=79 notices
Notice updates
i

How often this buyer changes a notice after publishing it.

Middle number of amendments per notice. Deadline extensions and corrections both count.

Based on this buyer’s tenders in all categories, last 24 months: 1,163 notices.

Last 24 months.

0all categories · 24m · n=1,163 notices
Awarded without competition
i

How often this buyer awards without a competition.

Direct or limited awards as a share of its notices that say which procedure was used. These routes are legal in defined cases. This is just the record.

Based on this buyer’s tenders in this sector (CPV 7522), last 36 months: 28 notices.

Last 36 months.

39%CPV 7522 · 36m · n=28 notices
Bids per lot robust · n=5
i

How the number of bidders is spread across lots.

Each lot with a published bid count is put in a band: one bid, two to three, four to six, seven or more. Real competitions only.

Based on 5 lots on 5 contested notices · CPV 7522, last 36 months.

  • 1 bid 20%
  • 2–3 20%
  • 4–6 40%
  • 7+ 20%

Median 4 · 5 lots on 5 contested notices · CPV 7522.

Winning award vs estimate robust · n=5
i

How often winners come in below, near or above the estimate.

Each lot with both an estimate and an award is placed by how far the award sat from the estimate.

Based on 5 lot pairs · division 75, last 36 months.

A past pattern, not a price to bid.

  • Below estimate 80%
  • Within ±2% 20%
  • Above estimate 0%

5 lot pairs · division 75.

The market · authority’s region

South East England · Defence services (CPV 7522)

contract notices delivered in South East England in 36 months: 147 in division 75 (93 competed, 40 route not published) · the notice publishes no delivery location, so the authority’s registered region is used

Bids per lot
i

How many companies usually bid for work like this.

Middle value of published bid counts, one per lot, for this buyer or this region in the same sector.

Based on this region’s tenders in this industry (CPV 75), last 36 months: 59 lots. 22 lots are from Procurement Act 2023 notices (bids assessed, middle 5) and 37 from older notices (bids received, middle 3).

Nothing is filled in from UK-wide numbers. An empty tile means nothing usable was published.

3division 75 · 36m · n=59 lots
Single-bid lots
i

How often only one company bid.

Share of lots that received exactly one bid, on the same competitions as the bids figure.

Based on this region’s tenders in this industry (CPV 75), last 36 months: 59 lots.

High means a thin market or an incumbent that is hard to beat.

17%division 75 · 36m · n=59 lots
Award vs estimate
i

Do awards for work like this land above or below the estimate.

Estimate against award per lot, for this buyer or this region in the same sector.

Based on this region’s tenders in this industry (CPV 75), last 36 months: 31 pairs.

A past pattern, not a price to bid.

at estimatedivision 75 · 36m · n=31 pairs
Deadline → award date
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the deadline to the first award notice, on competitions that published both dates.

Based on this region’s tenders in this industry (CPV 75), last 36 months: 21 notices.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

34ddivision 75 · 36m · n=21 notices
SME bidders
i

How much of this market goes to small and medium firms.

SME bidders where buyers published the split, otherwise SME winners.

Based on this region’s tenders in this industry (CPV 75), last 36 months: 40 lots.

Last 36 months.

83%division 75 · 36m · n=40 lots
Winners based in the region
i

How much work like this goes to companies based in the delivery region.

Awards in this category delivered here where the winner’s registered address is in the region.

Based on this region’s tenders in this industry (CPV 75), last 36 months: 77 awards.

Registered address, so a national firm with a local branch counts as outside.

Last 36 months.

66%division 75 · 36m · n=77 awards
Bids per lot robust · n=59
i

How the number of bidders is spread across lots.

Each lot with a published bid count is put in a band: one bid, two to three, four to six, seven or more. Real competitions only.

Based on 59 lots on 42 contested notices · division 75, last 36 months.

  • 1 bid 17%
  • 2–3 39%
  • 4–6 20%
  • 7+ 24%

Median 3 · 59 lots on 42 contested notices · division 75.

Winning award vs estimate robust · n=31
i

How often winners come in below, near or above the estimate.

Each lot with both an estimate and an award is placed by how far the award sat from the estimate.

Based on 31 lot pairs · division 75, last 36 months.

A past pattern, not a price to bid.

  • Below estimate 39%
  • Within ±2% 45%
  • Above estimate 16%

31 lot pairs · division 75.

robust · n=5
i

Where this tender’s estimate would land if the usual pattern repeats.

We apply the buyer’s usual movement between estimate and award (or the region’s) to the estimate on this notice.

Based on this buyer’s own usual movement over 5 lots (division 75), applied to the £24,000,000 estimate on this notice.

A benchmark, not a price to bid.

Awards in Ministry of Defence (division 75, n=5 pairs) land a median 15% below: on this notice’s £24,000,000 that is about £20,448,000. Context for a bid, not a recommended price.
Coverage and what to read with care
  • Each tile explains itself. The on a figure says what it is, how it is counted and which scope this notice’s own record came from (class, division, all categories, or the authority’s 24-month row). The two columns are never blended and nothing is filled from a UK-wide figure; an empty tile means the source published nothing usable. Long form: Methodology.
  • Coverage. Roughly 40 % of notices publish a bid count; about half publish an ITL1 delivery location, so the market column reads the authority’s registered region when the notice has none (labelled). About 30 % of award-vs-estimate pairs are exact matches — the buyer published the award at the estimate. n is on every figure; a thin sample is muted, never hidden.
  • “Match” and “relevance” are model scores from the nightly matcher, not published facts. Find a Tender does not publish who is bidding. Never shown: contact details, payment behaviour, or a recommended price.

Procedure terms & legal framework

From the official record · publisher note attached
Legal basis
CELEX · 32009L0081 Defence and Security Public Contracts Regulations 2011 (Directive 2009/81/EC)
Procurement category
Services
Notice status
Planned procurement
Procurement threshold
Unspecified in notice
Regulatory regime
Standard
Commercial structure
Stand-alone contract (no framework)
Competition type
Competitive procedure
GPA / WTO covered
Unspecified in notice
Recurring procurement
No (one-off requirement)
First published
12 Feb 2024, 15:19 GMT
Last source update
12 Feb 2024, 15:19 GMT
Classification (CPV)
Defence services, military defence services and civil defence servicesMilitary defence services
Delivery area
Not published
Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-043965

Publisher note: The Contracting Authority intends to use an e-Tendering system in this procurement exercise, please visit www.contracts.mod.uk for full details and to register your interest in this procurement.

Commercial outcome & contract awards

Pipeline notice
Awards (0)
No award published
Contracts (0)
No contract published
Bid statistics
No aggregate bid statistics published

Notice history

3 events · 1 release on Find a Tender · since 12 Feb 2024
  1. Published value published: £24,000,000
    12 Feb 2024, 15:19 GMT
  2. Status changed to planned
    12 Feb 2024, 15:19 GMT
  3. Buyer details updated
    12 Feb 2024, 15:19 GMT

Contracting authority & participating public bodies

Ministry of Defence

Contracting authorityCentral Government HQ Air Command, High Wycombe, HP14 4UE

Official documents & specifications

Official links; attachments are not copied

No document links were published on the notice.