Find a TenderOpen for tender Tender notice
Published 12 Oct 2026, 11:39 BST

Official UK procurement notice

Supply of Key Safes — UK public procurement notice

Authority: North Hertfordshire District Council (Local council)

GoodsBelow threshold - open competitionBelow threshold
Published estimate£97,000≈ £24k / year · £116,400 inc. VAT
Submission deadline 16 Nov 202612:00 GMT · 34d 7h left
Clarification cut-off 30 Oct 202612:00 GMT · questions to the authority
Contract term 4 yrsends 4 Jan 2031 · starts 5 Jan 2027

What is being bought

Published requirement description

North Hertfordshire District Council is seeking quotations for the supply of key safes (one make/model to be offered)

This project will involve the supply of secure externally mounted key safes to support the delivery of the Hertfordshire Careline assistive technology service. The contract will provide for the manufacture, supply and delivery of key safes, that meet defined operational, security, usability and durability requirements, as detailed in Schedule 2: Specification of the Procurement documents.

CPV: Clasps, lock parts and keys · Keys · Locks, keys and hinges · Safes

The lotProcurement structure

single lot · value published
Lot #1 4 yrsPublished value£97,000
Contract period: 5 Jan 2027 — 4 Jan 2031 (4 yrs)Delivery: East of EnglandTurnover guideline: ~£48,467/yr≈ 2× annual value
Value
£97,000 exc. VAT · £116,400 inc. VAT
44421300 Safes44520000 Locks, keys and hinges44522000 Clasps, lock parts and keys44522200 Keys

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

What it takes to win
i

How this buyer will score bids.

The evaluation criteria and weights exactly as published on the notice, grouped by family (price, quality, social value and so on).

Evaluation split and conditions of participation as published — the tender pack may add more
How bids are scored

Lot awarding rule: Quality - 25% Price - 45% Sample Evaluation - 30%

No conditions of participation were published on the notice; check the tender documents.

What this means for your bid
  • Turnover usually expected at this size: about £48,467 (twice the annual value).

Turnover is an indicative market norm (≈2× annual value), not a published condition.

Competition analysis · published record, not a forecast of who will bid

How North Hertfordshire District Council buys Locks, keys and hinges (CPV 4452) — and who usually turns up

North Hertfordshire District Council’s own published record, next to the published market for the same work. Frameworks and DPS are kept out: they attract a different number of bids. Whole-market view: Locks, keys and hinges (CPV 4452) →

1

How the contest usually goes

Winner shares use published awards; bid and price charts use contested lots.

Question for the bid
This buyerNorth Hertfordshire District Council · all categories
What to do with it
How often do SMEs win?
i

How often small and medium firms win.

Share of awards where the winner’s size is known.

The counts under this question show how many awards have a known supplier size.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 6 of 14 known-size awards · market: CPV 4452 · UK-wide, n=11
43%100%

Small firms have won here. Neither number says whether you qualify; it describes who has been winning.

How often do local suppliers win?
i

How often local firms win similar work.

Winners with a registered address in the delivery region, out of awards with a known address.

Here, local means the winner is registered in the region where that contract was delivered.

A local branch does not count if the registered address is elsewhere.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 9 of 20 known-location awards · market: CPV 4452 · UK-wide, n=12
45%33%

Most of this buyer’s recorded winners are registered outside East of England.

How long to a decision?
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the deadline to the first award notice, on competitions that published both dates.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: no dates · market: division 44 · East of England, n=26
—37 days

Half of these awards were announced within 37 days of the bid deadline.

How often single-bid or direct?
i

How often work is awarded with no recorded rival.

Direct awards and tenders where every published lot count shows one bid.

Both shares are minimums: some awards have no bid count.

Thin markets produce this too; it is not proof of a tailored specification.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: at least 6 of 22 procurements with awards had no recorded rival · market: CPV 4452 · UK-wide, n=19
27%58%

Direct awards or one recorded bid are common here. Check the route before spending time on a bid.

How many bids did past lots attract?

i

How many bids past lots received.

Each colour is a bid-count range. Only competed lots with a published count are included.

Past bids do not predict this tender.

Last 36 months.

This buyer3 lots with bid counts · all categories · too few to chart
—
The market6 lots with bid counts · CPV 4452 · UK-wide
33% had one bid
Market · select a colour for counts
1 bid33%
Market: 2 of 6 lots with published bid counts.
2–333%
Market: 2 of 6 lots with published bid counts.
4–60%
Market: 0 of 6 lots with published bid counts.
7+33%
Market: 2 of 6 lots with published bid counts.

How did awards compare with estimates?

i

Where winning prices landed against estimates.

Each colour shows awards below, close to or above the published estimate, one lot at a time.

Past prices are a guide, not a bid price.

Last 36 months.

This buyer1 lots with estimate and award · all categories · too few to chart
—
The market5 lots with estimate and award · CPV 4452 · UK-wide
20% below estimate
Market · select a colour for counts
Below estimate20%
Market: 1 of 5 lots with an estimate and award.
Within ±2%40%
Market: 2 of 5 lots with an estimate and award.
Above estimate40%
Market: 2 of 5 lots with an estimate and award.
2

Assess each lot
i

What past awards tell you about each lot.

See the forecast, this buyer’s earlier suppliers and firms with relevant wins.

No supplier is confirmed as a bidder.

Open a lot for its forecast, this buyer’s previous supplier and possible competitors — from published award history, not a bid list

Lot #1CPV 445248 monthsPublished estimate£97k
Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

4expected bids20% single-bid risk
forecast from 43 past contests
Forecast chances for this lot
1 bid20%
Chance this lot gets 1 bid: 20%. This is a forecast.
2–323%
Chance this lot gets 2–3: 23%. This is a forecast.
4–618%
Chance this lot gets 4–6: 18%. This is a forecast.
7+38%
Chance this lot gets 7+: 38%. This is a forecast.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the winning price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

Based on 15 comparable awards. Each lot reflects its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative.

A guide, not a price to bid.

£97k0.3% below estimate
15 comparable awards
Forecast compared with the buyer’s estimate
Middle 50%£85k–£97k
Half of likely prices fall between £85,340 and £97,000.
Estimate£97k
The buyer published an estimate of £97,000 for this lot.
A 25% chance the award lands exactly on the estimate.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

SupplierThis buyer’s earlier contractLotAward valueMatch
—

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

SupplierWon in this categoryLive contractsAward vs estimate
2 wins in East of England14 panel places
£109m25 awards in 36m · last 1 months ago4 live · £76m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

5% above n=4
1 win in East of England3 panel places
£19m12 awards in 36m · last 2 months ago3 live · £1.7m
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

18% below n=4
1 win in East of England
£3.0m11 awards in 36m · last 1 months ago3 live · £148k
i

Public contracts this supplier still holds.

Its awards whose published end date is still in the future, with their values. Many contracts publish no end date, so this is a floor, not the whole book.

Unexpired says nothing about spare capacity.

16% below n=2
2 wins in East of England11 panel places
£6.3m21 awards in 36m · last 1 months agoNone on file3% below n=4
1 win in East of England
£790k1 awards in 36m · last 17 months agoNone on file9% above n=1
Coverage and what to read with care
  • Each figure explains itself. The on a figure says what it is, how it is counted and which scope this notice’s own record came from (class, division, all categories, or the authority’s 24-month row). The two sides are never blended. A lot’s own market is read at its delivery region where the lot names one; where it names several, or none that can be resolved, the chart falls back to the UK-wide record for the same category and says so under the bar. An empty cell means the source published nothing usable. Long form: Methodology.
  • When we call out a difference. A buyer figure is only flagged against the market when the sample is large enough that the gap is unlikely to be chance; at most two callouts appear, always phrased as a comparison with both numbers and the sample size.
  • Coverage (re-measured 5 Oct on the live record, 94,497 awarded procedures of the last three years). 51 % publish a bid count and 72 % a delivery region, so the market column reads the authority’s registered region when the notice names none, labelled. Of the 17,687 award-vs-estimate pairs, 34 % sit exactly on the estimate — the buyer published the award at the figure it advertised. n is on every figure; a thin sample is muted, never hidden, and a distribution is not drawn as percentages below ten observations.
  • “Match”, text similarity, the expected-bid figure and the distribution drawn beneath it are model outputs, not published facts or win probabilities. Find a Tender does not publish who is bidding. Never shown: contact details, payment behaviour, or a recommended price.

Procedure terms & legal framework

From the official record
Procedure method
Below threshold - open competition
Legal basis
UKPGA · 2023/54 Procurement Act 2023
Procurement category
Goods
Notice status
Open for tender
Procurement threshold
Below threshold
Regulatory regime
Standard
Commercial structure
Stand-alone contract (no framework)
Competition type
Competitive procedure
GPA / WTO covered
Unspecified in notice
Recurring procurement
Unspecified in notice
First published
12 Oct 2026, 11:39 BST
Last source update
12 Oct 2026, 11:39 BST
Authority reference
NHDC01126317
FTS notice number
2026/S 000-096001
Latest notice
Tender notice (UK4)
Classification (CPV)
Clasps, lock parts and keysKeysLocks, keys and hingesSafes
Delivery area
East of England (UKH23)
Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-078578 Find a Tender

How to participate & submission route

Official notice Submit via In-tend
Submission portal named on this notice: In-tend · Who buys & how to bid on In-tend
Supplier login requiredElectronic submission allowed
Access & registration note: Free · one account per buying organisation's portal · reCAPTCHA on signup
Requests to participate (first stage)
—
Tender submission deadline
16 Nov 2026, 12:00 GMT
Clarification deadline
30 Oct 2026, 12:00 GMT
Submission channel
Official e-sourcing portal
Electronic submission
Allowed
Detailed submission instructions & authority contactsFrom official release
Published estimate £97,000 excludes VAT (£116,400 including VAT).

Timeline

4 published dates · Europe/London
  1. Tender notice published1 day ago
    12 Oct 2026, 11:39 BST
  2. Clarification questions byin 17 days
    30 Oct 2026, 12:00 GMT
  3. Submission deadlinein 34 days
    16 Nov 2026, 12:00 GMT
  4. Contract startsin 84 days
    5 Jan 2027

Commercial outcome & contract awards

Nothing awarded yet
Awards (0)
No award published
Contracts (0)
No contract published
Bid statistics
No aggregate bid statistics published

Notice history

2 events · 1 release on Find a Tender · since 12 Oct 2026
  1. Tender notice published
    12 Oct 2026, 11:39 BSTUK4
  2. First tender notice published
    12 Oct 2026, 11:39 BST

Contracting authority & participating public bodies

North Hertfordshire District Council

Contracting authorityPublic authority - sub-central government GB-PPON: PDWC-9574-WBPY Council Offices, Gernon Road, Letchworth Garden City, East of England, SG6 3JFContact name, email

Official documents & specifications (1)

Official links; attachments are not copied

Notices published for this procedure

  • Tender notice tenderTender noticeUK4Tender notice on Find a Tender