Find a TenderAwardedContract details notice
Published 26 May 2026, 11:25 BST

Official UK procurement notice

Social Mobility Commission - State of the Nation 2027

Official notice

Authority: Social Mobility Commission (Central government)

ServicesBelow threshold - open competitionBelow thresholdReserved: K02000001SME suitableVCSE suitable
Published estimate£60,000≈ £55k / year · £72,000 inc. VAT1.1% below published estimate
Submissions closed 19 Jun 2026awarded 17 Jul 2026
Awarded to NUFFIELD COLLEGE IN THE UNIVERSITY OF OXFORD
Contract term 1 yr 1 moends 31 Jul 2027 · up to 29 Dec 2028 with extensions · starts 13 Jul 2026

What is being bought

Published requirement description

The Social Mobility Commission (SMC) monitors progress towards improving social mobility in the UK and promotes social mobility in England. It is an independent statutory body. Its annual State of the Nation report is the Commission's main publication on UK-wide progress on social mobility and is laid before Parliament.

The Commission is seeking a supplier to provide analytical support, methodological development, statistical quality assurance and interpretation for the 2027 State of the Nation report (with possible extension for the 2028 report). The supplier will work closely with the SMC secretariat. The emphasis of this contract is on robust analysis, reproducibility, interpretation and selected methodological improvements, rather than routine production work where SMC already has established in-house code.

The Social Mobility Index provides the framework for State of the Nation. It includes mobility outcomes, intermediate outcomes and drivers of social mobility. The current indicators are available through the SMC State of the Nation data explorer: social-mobility.data.gov.uk ↗

CPV: Social research services

The lotProcurement structure

single lot · value published
Lot #1AwardedRenewal 1 yr 1 moSMEVCSEPublished value£60,000
Contract period: 13 Jul 2026 – 31 Jul 2027 (1 yr 1 mo) · up to 29 Dec 2028 with extensionsValue: £60,000 exc. VAT · £72,000 inc. VAT
Delivery: UKEligibility: SME eligibleVCSE eligible
Extensions: If the contract is extended, it will be extended to 29th December 2028, with an increased cost of £50,000 (ex VAT). If extended, the strategic priorities for 2028 are: - Support the transition to the transformed Labour Force Survey (tLFS), including changes to variable names, weights, quality, discontinuities and comparability over time. - Investigate equivalent longitudinal resources for Scotland and Northern Ireland if access and feasibility allow. - Deliver a distinct topic of interest for the 2028 report. Explanatory geographical analysis may be considered as an example topic, subject to SMC priorities, feasibility, budget and timetable. - Continue the emphasis on reproducible R code, plain-English technical documentation, accessible Excel outputs and GitHub-based code sharing. The extra deliverables, if extended, would be the following: Deliverable 1: 2028 tLFS transition and comparability plan - 30 September 2027 - A review of changes arising from the transition from LFS to tLFS, including variable names, weights, data quality, breaks in series and implications for comparability over time. - Advice on whether and how existing LFS-based indicators should be updated, bridged, caveated or temporarily paused. - Updated or new code where required to adapt existing analysis to tLFS variables and weights. - A plain-English note for use in the report explaining any discontinuities or limitations in the time series. Deliverable 2: 2028 feasibility review: Scotland and Northern Ireland longitudinal resources - 30 September 2027 - A short feasibility review of equivalent or complementary longitudinal resources for Scotland and Northern Ireland. - Advice on access routes, governance requirements, coverage, comparability and analytical value for State of the Nation. - A recommendation on whether any such resource should be used in the 2028 report, deferred to a later year, or treated as unsuitable for the current purpose. Deliverable 3: 2028 topic of interest - 30 September 2027 - A distinct analytical contribution for the 2028 report, to be agreed with SMC during the contract. - The topic may include explanatory geographical analysis, for example using Census 2001, 2011 and 2021 to relate occupational-structure change to education, inactivity, unemployment, GVA and other local conditions. This is included as an example option, not as a firm requirement. - For any agreed topic, the supplier should provide a scoped analysis plan, analysis or methodological advice as agreed, QA, interpretation and reproducible documentation. - If the topic is not feasible within the contract timetable or budget, the supplier should provide a short rationale and recommend a narrower alternative. Deliverable 4: 2028 reproducibility, accessibility and publication support pack - 31 July 2028 - Quality-assured analytical outputs for new work conducted for the 2028 report. - Accessible Excel files containing the underlying data for charts and tables used in the report or data explorer, using an SMC-supplied template where provided. - Technical documentation sufficient for SMC analysts to rerun or audit the analysis. - Support for checking the final report, data explorer and press materials so that the statistics are interpreted accurately. Deliverable 5: Final handover - 29 December 2028 - Complete, documented code and outputs for all new analysis conducted under the contract. - A final limitations and lessons-learned note, including recommendations for the 2029 State of the Nation analytical cycle. - A handover meeting with SMC analysts to walk through code, outputs, outstanding caveats and any recommended next steps.

What it takes to win
i

How this buyer will score bids.

The evaluation criteria and weights exactly as published on the notice, grouped by family (price, quality, social value and so on).

Evaluation split and conditions of participation as published; the tender pack may add more
How bids were scored
Quality: 80%Price: 20%
Published sub-criteria (6)
  • Methodology and analytical approach: 20%
  • Team and organisational experience: 16%
  • Quality assurance, reproducibility and data security: 16%
  • Interpretation and presentation: 16%
  • Project management and collaboration: 12%
  • Financial scoring: 20%
Published award criteria (6)
  • Methodology and analytical approach: Demonstrates a robust approach to ONS-LS analysis, change-over-time methods, LFS/tLFS robustness, index improvement and proportionate handling of uncertainty, limitations and feasibility.
  • Team and organisational experience: Demonstrates relevant expertise in social mobility, official statistics, longitudinal data, LFS/tLFS or similar survey data, reproducible quantitative analysis and public-facing analytical outputs.
  • Quality assurance, reproducibility and data security: Provides credible QA processes, independent rerun or code-review arrangements, secure handling of official or sensitive data, and clear arrangements for code sharing and documentation.
  • Interpretation and presentation: Shows ability to translate technical analysis into accurate, clear narrative and accessible visual or tabular outputs for policy, analytical and public audiences.
  • Project management and collaboration: Provides a realistic workplan, clear governance, risk management, communication arrangements and evidence of capacity to deliver to the State of the Nation timetable.
  • Financial scoring: Financial scoring represents 20% of the overall evaluation. The bidder with the lowest overall price will receive 20 marks, and all other bids will be marked as a proportional variance from the top-scoring bid. The formula being used for Relative Assessment for this procurement is: Bid Score = (Lowest Price/bid price) x 20
What this means for your bid
  • Price carries 20 of 100 points: a 10% discount moves about 2 points. The method statement decides this lot, not the discount.

Price arithmetic assumes straight proportional scoring; the tender pack may use another formula.

Procedure terms & legal framework

From the official record
Procedure method
Below threshold - open competition
Legal basis
UKPGA · 2023/54 Procurement Act 2023
Procurement category
Services
Notice status
Awarded
Procurement threshold
Below threshold
Regulatory regime
Standard
Commercial structure
Stand-alone contract (no framework)
Competition type
Competitive procedure
GPA / WTO covered
Unspecified in notice
Recurring procurement
Unspecified in notice
First published
26 May 2026, 11:25 BST
Last source update
7 Sept 2026, 10:01 BST
Authority reference
SMC-2627-111
FTS notice number
2026/S 000-048550
Latest notice
Contract details notice (UK7)
Classification (CPV)
Social research services
Delivery area
UK
Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-06a2fb Find a Tender
Contract terms
Reserved participation area
K02000001

How it was run

Official notice
Submission deadline
19 Jun 2026, 12:00 BST
Clarification deadline
12 Jun 2026, 10:00 BST
Electronic submission
Not allowed
Detailed submission instructions & authority contactsFrom official release

Bidders must submit their Bids before 12:00 midday on 19th June 2026. All Bids must be submitted to [email protected]. Failure to return Bids by the time and due date or in the required format may disqualify Bidders from consideration.

Format of the bid

Tenderers should present their proposals in the following format:

Section 1: Summary of Proposal

Section 2: Meeting the Specification

Details of proposed approach;

  • Methodology including constraints and possible solutions;
  • Project management - Tenderers should indicate how they will monitor the project to ensure it is delivered in terms of quality, timeliness and cost. Tenders must include a work plan/Gantt chart that clearly shows the key activities and milestones leading up to the final report.
  • Staffing, including short staff profiles covering examples of key relevant experience and individual/staff expertise and qualifications. Proposed distribution of duties should be clearly stated if the bid involves sub-contracting or collaboration between different providers; and
  • Outputs, including how the findings will be presented.

Section 3: Cost and Charging Arrangements

Costs should be shown separately by deliverables set out above. For example:

  • Deliverable 1: £ Insert amount
  • Deliverable 2: £ Insert amount
  • Deliverable 3: £ Insert amount
  • Deliverable 4: £ Insert amount
  • Deliverable 5: £ Insert amount
  • Total: £ Insert amount

All costs should be quoted exclusive of VAT, but please indicate if the project will attract VAT. If your proposal includes costs for sub-contractors these costs must be shown inclusive of any VAT element (e.g. if a sub-contractor's costs to you are £10K plus VAT, your proposal should show subcontractors costs as £12K inclusive of VAT @ 20%).

The department will also conduct its own due diligence checks in relation to the bidder's financial viability and may request additional financial information to be provided as part of this process. Whilst the department will attempt to mitigate any financial risks it may, at its own discretion, reject a bid where it assesses the financial risk to be too great to proceed with the award of the contract.

Section 4: Risk Management

  • Outline, in no more than one-page, the key risks to delivering the project and what contingencies will be put in place to deal with them.
  • A risk is any factor that may delay, disrupt or prevent the full achievement of a project objective. All risks should be identified.
  • For each risk, the one-page summary should assess its likelihood (high, medium or low) and specify its possible impact on the project objectives (again rated high, medium or low). The assessment should also identify appropriate actions that would reduce or eliminate each risk or its impact.
  • Typical areas of risk for a research project might include staffing, resource constraints, technical constraints, data access, timing, management and operational issues, but this is not an exhaustive list.

Section 5: Data Security

  • Provide a plan that explains how departmental and/or personal data will be protected.
  • Provide a copy of your Cyber Essentials Qualification.

Section 6: References

For the references, the SMC requires relevant examples of similar projects you have completed and how they are similar to this tender.

Sections 1-4 should not exceed 10 sides of A4 and sections 5-6 should not exceed 3 sides of A4, for a combined total of 13 sides. Any bids above that will not be considered. The font size should not be smaller than 10pt. Embedded links will not be considered, nor will Annexes that exceed the 13 page count.

Timeline

26 May 2026 → 7 Sept 2026 · 5 dates
  1. Tender notice published147 days ago
    26 May 2026, 11:25 BST
  2. Clarification questions by130 days ago
    12 Jun 2026, 10:00 BST
  3. Submission deadline123 days ago
    19 Jun 2026, 12:00 BST
  4. Contract starts100 days ago
    13 Jul 2026, 00:00 BST
  5. Latest notice published43 days ago
    7 Sept 2026, 10:01 BST

Notice history

5 events · 4 releases on Find a Tender · since 26 May 2026
  1. Tender notice published
    26 May 2026, 11:25 BST
    UK4
  2. Tender notice published
    10 Jun 2026, 14:56 BST
    UK4
  3. Tender notice published
    15 Jun 2026, 10:35 BST
    UK4
  4. Contract details notice published
    7 Sept 2026, 10:01 BST
    UK7
  5. Status changed to complete
    7 Sept 2026, 10:01 BST
Published amendments (2)

10/06/2026 - Add clarification questions asked to date

15/06/2026 - Add clarification questions asked to date

Routine re-releases (4)
  • 2026-05: 1 release · 26 May 2026

Commercial outcome & contract awards

Published awards, contracts and bid statistics, not a forecast
Awards 1
Awarded value £59,3251 contract exc. VAT
Contracts signed 1latest 17 Jul 2026
Awarded toValueDateStatus
NUFFIELD COLLEGE IN THE UNIVERSITY OF OXFORDVCSE£59,325 †—Awarded

Contracts

  • Contract 1 · NUFFIELD COLLEGE IN THE UNIVERSITY OF OXFORDVCSE

    Signed
    17 Jul 2026
    Value
    £59,325
    Period
    17 Jul 2026 – 31 Jul 2027 · up to 29 Dec 2028 with extensions
    Status
    active
    Extensions
    The Buyer may extend the Contract up to 29 December 2028 with an increased cost of a maximum of £68,649.00 (ex VAT) subject to the specification agreed for State of the Nation 2028, by giving not less than 10 Working Days' notice in writing to the Supplier prior to the Expiry Date. The Conditions of the Contract shall apply throughout any such extended period.

Contracting authority & participating public bodies

Social Mobility Commission

Contracting authorityPublic authority - central government GB-PPON: PDLB-8544-PLQT 1 Horse Guards Road, London, London, SW1A 2HQContact email

Bidders & participating suppliers

1 commercial party on the notice

Official documents & specifications (8)

Official links; attachments are not copied

Tender pack and attachments

  • Bidding documents and specifications tenderBidding documents and specificationsPDFClarification questions as of 15/06/2026
  • Bidding documents and specifications tenderBidding documents and specificationsPDFClarification questions as of 10/06/2026
  • Bidding documents and specifications tenderBidding documents and specificationsPDFPlease review this document for additional information around the tender notice.
  • Signed contract contractSigned contractPDFThe Social Mobility Commission (SMC) monitors progress towards improving social mobility in the UK and promotes social mobility in England. It is an independent statutory body. Its annual State of the Nation report is the Commission's main publication on UK-wide progress on socia…

Notices published for this procedure

  • Contract details notice contractContract details noticeUK7Contract details notice on Find a Tender
  • Tender notice tenderTender noticeUK4Tender notice on Find a Tender
  • Tender notice tenderTender noticeUK4Tender notice on Find a Tender
  • Tender notice tenderTender noticeUK4Tender notice on Find a Tender