Official UK procurement notice
Nature Security research · UK public procurement notice
Authority: DEPARTMENT FOR ENVIRONMENT, FOOD AND RURAL AFFAIRS (Central government)
What is being bought
Published requirement descriptionThis three-year project will establish a set of approaches to assess and monitor risks to national security - both in the UK and internationally - arising from global biodiversity loss and ecosystem collapse. It will develop a conceptual framework for characterising nature-related security risks, taking a systems approach that considers complexity, tipping points, feedback loops, risk cascades and compounding shocks.
The project will deliver tools and indicators that can be used within Government to (1) assess security risks arising from nature loss, (2) monitor threats and detect emerging risks, and (3) inform mitigation strategies and policy options.
The work will be used to improve strategic foresight (e.g. scenario planning and early warning), inform cross-government planning (e.g. through the National Risk Register, intelligence analysis, food and water security policy), and shape UK engagement with international bodies such as IPBES and the Convention on Biological Diversity. It is intended to create enduring tools, partnerships and methods that enable HMG to act early and effectively in response to nature-related security risks.
A key aspect of the project will be to build a diverse and interdisciplinary community of researchers and practitioners. Bidders should consider how best to engage academic, policy, and practitioner audiences to inform, shape and embed new thinking on nature security across government.
CPV: Research services
The lotProcurement structure
single lot · value publishedLot #1PlannedPublished value£2,000,000
Pipeline intelligence · planning stage: how this market runs before the tender is published
How DEPARTMENT FOR ENVIRONMENT, FOOD AND RURAL AFFAIRS buys Research services (CPV 7311), and who usually turns up
DEPARTMENT FOR ENVIRONMENT, FOOD AND RURAL AFFAIRS’s published record next to the market for the same work. Frameworks and DPS are left out: they draw different bid counts. Whole-market view: Research services (CPV 7311) →
How the contest usually goes
Winner shares use published awards; bid and price charts use contested lots.
i
How often small and medium firms win.
Share of awards where the winner’s size is known.
The counts under this question show how many awards have a known supplier size.
Small firms have won here. Neither number says whether you qualify; it describes who has been winning.
i
How often local firms win similar work.
Winners with a registered address in the delivery region, out of awards with a known address.
Local means the winner is registered in the region where that award was delivered.
A local branch does not count if the registered address is elsewhere.
Most of this buyer’s recorded winners were registered outside the region where that award was delivered.
i
How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.
Middle value in days from the bid deadline to the award date, on competitions that published both.
Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.
Half of these awards have an award date within 44 days of the bid deadline.
i
How often work is awarded with no recorded rival.
Direct awards and tenders where every published lot count shows one bid.
Both shares are minimums: some awards have no bid count.
Thin markets produce this too; it is not proof of a tailored specification.
Missing bid counts may hide more single-bid awards. This share is a minimum.
How many bids did past lots attract?
i
How many bids past lots received.
Each colour is a bid-count range. Only competed lots with a published count are included.
Past bids do not predict this tender.
1 bid40% / 19%
2–30% / 31%
4–640% / 35%
7+20% / 15%
How did awards compare with estimates?
i
Where winning prices landed against estimates.
Each colour shows awards below, close to or above the published estimate, one lot at a time.
Past prices are a guide, not a bid price.
Below estimate0% / 43%
Within ±2%33% / 42%
Above estimate67% / 14%
Assess each lot i
What past awards tell you about each lot.
See the forecast, this buyer’s earlier suppliers and firms with relevant wins.
No supplier is confirmed as a bidder.
i
What past awards tell you about each lot.
See the forecast, this buyer’s earlier suppliers and firms with relevant wins.
No supplier is confirmed as a bidder.
Open a lot for its forecast, this buyer’s previous supplier and possible competitors, from published award history, not a bid list
Lot #1CPV 7311Published estimate£2.0m
i
How many bids this lot may attract.
The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.
Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative. The bar shows 78 past lots.
A forecast, not a list of bidders.
1 bid19%
2–331%
4–635%
7+15%
i
Where the award price may land.
The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.
No comparable awards for this lot yet.
A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.
Who has supplied this buyer on similar work? i
Who has done similar work for this buyer.
Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.
A past supplier may not bid again.
i
Who has done similar work for this buyer.
Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.
A past supplier may not bid again.
No earlier contract of this buyer matches this lot on the published record.
Who could compete for this lot? i
Who could compete for this lot?
Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.
None is confirmed as a bidder.
i
Who could compete for this lot?
Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.
None is confirmed as a bidder.
Candidate suppliers for this notice have not been worked out yet, so this is not a verdict that nobody fits.
About this data
- Source. Official UK public procurement notices (Find a Tender), reused under the Open Government Licence v3.0. New notices arrive through the day; the figures are rebuilt nightly.
- Two views, kept apart. The authority’s own track record and the wider market for the same kind of work sit side by side and are never mixed. Where the local picture is too thin, a figure widens to a broader market and says which one it used.
- Forecasts are labelled. The price forecast and its range, possible competitors and the earlier-work matches are our estimates from past awards: not published facts, not win chances and not price advice. Official notices do not say who is bidding.
- Every figure shows what it rests on. Not every notice publishes a bid count, a value or a delivery region, so each figure carries the number of records behind it, and one built on few records is marked as such. The on a figure explains it; the counting rules are in the methodology. Spotted something wrong? Tell us.
Procedure terms & legal framework
From the official record- Procedure method
- Open procedure
- Legal basis
- UKPGA · 2023/54 Procurement Act 2023
- Procurement category
- Services
- Notice status
- Planned procurement
- Procurement threshold
- Above threshold (FTS publication)
- Regulatory regime
- Standard
- Commercial structure
- Stand-alone contract (no framework)
- Competition type
- Competitive procedure
- GPA / WTO covered
- Yes (GPA)
- Recurring procurement
- Unspecified in notice
- First published
- 15 Jan 2026, 10:59 GMT
- Last source update
- 12 May 2026, 08:28 BST
- Award evaluation window
- Submission end – 31 Jul 2026
- FTS notice number
2026/S 000-043259- Latest notice
- Planned procurement notice (UK3)
- Classification (CPV)
- Delivery area
- Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-06066cFind a Tender
How it was run
Official notice- Submission deadline
- 27 Jul 2026, 12:00 BST
- Clarification deadline
- 22 Jun 2026, 12:00 BST
- Electronic submission
- Allowed
- Accepted languages
- en
Timeline
15 Jan 2026 → 31 Jul 2026 · 8 dates- Planning notice published283 days ago15 Jan 2026, 10:59 GMT
- Market engagement274 days ago23 Jan 2026, 23:59 GMT
Workshop to scope requirements
- Latest notice published166 days ago12 May 2026, 08:28 BST
- Clarification questions by125 days ago22 Jun 2026, 12:00 BST
- Tender notice expected116 days ago30 Jun 2026, 23:59 BST
- Submission deadline90 days ago27 Jul 2026, 12:00 BST
- Contract starts86 days ago31 Jul 2026, 00:00 BST
- Award decision expected by85 days ago31 Jul 2026, 23:59 BST
Notice history
6 events · 2 releases on Find a Tender · since 15 Jan 2026- Preliminary market engagement notice published15 Jan 2026, 10:59 GMTUK2
- Planned procurement notice published12 May 2026, 08:28 BSTUK3
- Published value updated to £2,000,00012 May 2026, 08:28 BSTwas £2,400,000
- Status changed to planned12 May 2026, 08:28 BST
- Procurement method changed12 May 2026, 08:28 BST
- Deadline published: 27 Jul 2026, 12:00 BST12 May 2026, 08:28 BST
Commercial outcome & contract awards
Pipeline notice- Awards (0)
- No award published
- Contracts (0)
- No contract published
- Bid statistics
- No aggregate bid statistics published
Contracting authority & participating public bodies
Official documents & specifications (2)
Official links; attachments are not copiedNotices published for this procedure
- Planned procurement notice Planned procurement notice on Find a Tender
- Preliminary market engagement notice Preliminary market engagement notice on Find a Tender