Find a TenderOpen for tender Tender notice
Published 22 Sept 2026, 15:30 BST

Official UK procurement notice

Independent Regulation 44 Visitor Service for Small Group Homes CAFS/2026/313

Authority: Stoke on Trent City Council (Local council)

ServicesBelow threshold - open competitionBelow threshold
Published estimate£195,000≈ £98k / year · £234,000 inc. VAT
Submission deadline 9 Oct 202620:00 BST · 16d 1h left
Clarification cut-off 9 Oct 202612:00 BST · questions to the authority
Contract term 2 yrsup to 3 yrs with extensions · starts 2 Nov 2026
Bids per lot · this authority 3division 85 · n=12 · competition analysis ↓

What is being bought

Published requirement description

Under Regulation 44 of the Children's Homes (England) Regulations 2015, all children's homes must receive an independent monthly visit carried out by a person not directly employed by the home or the wider local authority.

Stoke on Trent City Council is seeking suitably qualified and experienced providers to deliver an Independent Regulation 44 Visitor Service for Children's Small Group Homes located within the city. The service is required to undertake monthly Regulation 44 visits in accordance with the Children's Homes (England) Regulations 2015, providing independent scrutiny, assurance and reporting to support the quality, safety and welfare of children and young people living in residential care.

CPV: Health and social work services

The lotProcurement structure

single lot · value published
Lot #1Lot 1Renewal 2 yrsPublished value£195,000
Contract period: 2 Nov 2026 — 31 Oct 2028 (2 yrs) · up to 3 yrs with extensionsDelivery: West MidlandsTurnover guideline: ~£195,000/yr≈ 2× annual value
Value
£195,000 exc. VAT · £234,000 inc. VAT
Extensions
At the discretion of the local authority
85000000 Health and social work services

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

What it takes to win
i

How this buyer will score bids.

The evaluation criteria and weights exactly as published on the notice, grouped by family (price, quality, social value and so on).

Evaluation split and conditions of participation as published — the tender pack may add more
How bids are scored

80% technical (quality) 20% price

No conditions of participation were published on the notice; check the tender documents.

Competition analysis · published record, not a forecast of who will bid

How Stoke on Trent City Council buys Health and social work services (CPV 85) — and who usually turns up

Stoke on Trent City Council’s own published record, next to the West Midlands market for the same work. Frameworks and DPS are kept out: they attract a different number of bids. Whole-market view: Health and social work services (CPV 85)

1

How the contest usually goes

Left: this authority. Right: the market where the work is delivered. Bids and award-vs-estimate pairs are per lot, from contested contracts only — direct awards (including PA 2023 transparency notices) report one bid by definition and are left out. On Procurement Act 2023 notices the count is the tenders assessed at the final stage, not every submission received; pairs compare like with like (VAT-exclusive, or VAT-inclusive on both sides). Empty means nothing was published, not filled in from elsewhere.

This authority

Stoke on Trent City Council

contract notices in 36 months: 19 in division 85 (2 without competition · 6 route not published) · 115 in all categories (3 without competition · 30 route not published)

Bids per lot
i

How many companies usually bid for work like this.

Middle value of published bid counts, one per lot, for this buyer or this region in the same sector.

Based on this buyer’s tenders in this industry (CPV 85), last 36 months: 12 lots. 6 lots are from Procurement Act 2023 notices (bids assessed, middle 3) and 6 from older notices (bids received, middle 5.5).

Nothing is filled in from UK-wide numbers. An empty tile means nothing usable was published.

3division 85 · 36m · n=12 lots
Single-bid lots
i

How often only one company bid.

Share of lots that received exactly one bid, on the same competitions as the bids figure.

Based on this buyer’s tenders in this industry (CPV 85), last 36 months: 12 lots.

High means a thin market or an incumbent that is hard to beat.

25%division 85 · 36m · n=12 lots
Award vs estimate
i

Do awards for work like this land above or below the estimate.

Estimate against award per lot, for this buyer or this region in the same sector.

Based on this buyer’s tenders in this industry (CPV 85), last 36 months: 3 pairs.

A past pattern, not a price to bid.

20% belowdivision 85 · 36m · n=3 pairs
Deadline → award date
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the deadline to the first award notice, on competitions that published both dates.

Based on this buyer’s tenders in this industry (CPV 85), last 36 months: 4 notices.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

62ddivision 85 · 36m · n=4 notices
Notice updates
i

How often this buyer changes a notice after publishing it.

Middle number of amendments per notice. Deadline extensions and corrections both count.

Based on this buyer’s tenders in all categories, last 24 months: 177 notices.

Last 24 months.

0all categories · 24m · n=177 notices
Awarded without competition
i

How often this buyer awards without a competition.

Direct or limited awards as a share of its notices that say which procedure was used. These routes are legal in defined cases. This is just the record.

Based on this buyer’s tenders in this industry (CPV 85), last 36 months: 13 notices.

Last 36 months.

15%division 85 · 36m · n=13 notices
Bids per lot robust · n=12
i

How the number of bidders is spread across lots.

Each lot with a published bid count is put in a band: one bid, two to three, four to six, seven or more. Real competitions only.

Based on 12 lots on 9 contested notices · division 85, last 36 months.

  • 1 bid 25%
  • 2–3 33%
  • 4–6 0%
  • 7+ 42%

Median 3 · 12 lots on 9 contested notices · division 85.

Winning award vs estimate moderate · n=3
i

How often winners come in below, near or above the estimate.

Each lot with both an estimate and an award is placed by how far the award sat from the estimate.

Based on 3 lot pairs · division 85, last 36 months.

A past pattern, not a price to bid.

  • Below estimate 100%
  • Within ±2% 0%
  • Above estimate 0%

3 lot pairs · division 85.

The market · delivery region

West Midlands · Health and social work services (CPV 85)

contract notices delivered in West Midlands in 36 months: 4,378 in division 85 (3,195 competed, 274 route not published)

Bids per lot
i

How many companies usually bid for work like this.

Middle value of published bid counts, one per lot, for this buyer or this region in the same sector.

Based on this region’s tenders in this industry (CPV 85), last 36 months: 3,053 lots. 203 lots are from Procurement Act 2023 notices (bids assessed, middle 3) and 2,850 from older notices (bids received, middle 5).

Nothing is filled in from UK-wide numbers. An empty tile means nothing usable was published.

5division 85 · 36m · n=3,053 lots
Single-bid lots
i

How often only one company bid.

Share of lots that received exactly one bid, on the same competitions as the bids figure.

Based on this region’s tenders in this industry (CPV 85), last 36 months: 3,053 lots.

High means a thin market or an incumbent that is hard to beat.

17%division 85 · 36m · n=3,053 lots
Award vs estimate
i

Do awards for work like this land above or below the estimate.

Estimate against award per lot, for this buyer or this region in the same sector.

Based on this region’s tenders in this industry (CPV 85), last 36 months: 232 pairs.

A past pattern, not a price to bid.

at estimatedivision 85 · 36m · n=232 pairs
Deadline → award date
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the deadline to the first award notice, on competitions that published both dates.

Based on this region’s tenders in this industry (CPV 85), last 36 months: 168 notices.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

49ddivision 85 · 36m · n=168 notices
SME bidders
i

How much of this market goes to small and medium firms.

SME bidders where buyers published the split, otherwise SME winners.

Based on this region’s tenders in this industry (CPV 85), last 36 months: 341 lots.

Last 36 months.

73%division 85 · 36m · n=341 lots
Winners based in the region
i

How much work like this goes to companies based in the delivery region.

Awards in this category delivered here where the winner’s registered address is in the region.

Based on this region’s tenders in this industry (CPV 85), last 36 months: 4,855 awards.

Registered address, so a national firm with a local branch counts as outside.

Last 36 months.

94%division 85 · 36m · n=4,855 awards
Bids per lot robust · n=3,053
i

How the number of bidders is spread across lots.

Each lot with a published bid count is put in a band: one bid, two to three, four to six, seven or more. Real competitions only.

Based on 3,053 lots on 2,946 contested notices · division 85, last 36 months.

  • 1 bid 17%
  • 2–3 22%
  • 4–6 18%
  • 7+ 42%

Median 5 · 3,053 lots on 2,946 contested notices · division 85.

Winning award vs estimate robust · n=232
i

How often winners come in below, near or above the estimate.

Each lot with both an estimate and an award is placed by how far the award sat from the estimate.

Based on 232 lot pairs · division 85, last 36 months.

A past pattern, not a price to bid.

  • Below estimate 30%
  • Within ±2% 62%
  • Above estimate 8%

232 lot pairs · division 85.

moderate · n=3
i

Where this tender’s estimate would land if the usual pattern repeats.

We apply the buyer’s usual movement between estimate and award (or the region’s) to the estimate on this notice.

Based on 3 lots, so only the direction is shown, not a pound figure.

A benchmark, not a price to bid.

Awards in Stoke on Trent City Council (division 85, n=3 pairs) land a median 20% below. Too few pairs to turn into a pound figure with any confidence — read the percentage as a rough direction, not this notice’s estimate converted.
2

Who you are likely to meet
i

Who you may be up against.

Suppliers on this buyer’s earlier similar contracts, and suppliers whose record fits this tender.

A guess from the record. Buyers do not publish who is bidding.

Suppliers on this authority’s earlier similar contracts, then suppliers with a matching track record — from published award history, not a bid list

Suppliers with a similar track record — and how they price
i

Suppliers with a similar track record, and how they price.

Suppliers matched on wins in this category, history with this buyer, location and size. Their award vs estimate is from their own past wins.

A guess from the record, not a bidder list.

SupplierEvidenceLast awardTheir award vs estimateRelevance
Radis Community Care 65 class wins · 2 lots for this buyer1 months ago11% below n=175%
HORIZON CARE AND EDUCATION GROUP LIMITED SME9 class wins · 3 lots for this buyer3 months agono comparable pairs71%
AROMA CARE PEOPLE LTD SME17 class wins1 months agono comparable pairs69%
YMCA North Staffordshire 4 class wins · 6 lots for this buyer3 months agono comparable pairs67%
Accomplish Group Ltd Large21 class wins2 months agono comparable pairs64%

Matched by the nightly worker on class wins, buyer history, delivery geography, scale and notice text; relevance is a 0–100% heuristic score, not a probability of bidding. “Their award vs estimate” is that supplier’s median on its own comparable single-supplier wins. Nobody here is known to be bidding.

Coverage and what to read with care
  • Each tile explains itself. The on a figure says what it is, how it is counted and which scope this notice’s own record came from (class, division, all categories, or the authority’s 24-month row). The two columns are never blended and nothing is filled from a UK-wide figure; an empty tile means the source published nothing usable. Long form: Methodology.
  • Coverage. Roughly 40 % of notices publish a bid count; about half publish an ITL1 delivery location, so the market column reads the authority’s registered region when the notice has none (labelled). About 30 % of award-vs-estimate pairs are exact matches — the buyer published the award at the estimate. n is on every figure; a thin sample is muted, never hidden.
  • “Match” and “relevance” are model scores from the nightly matcher, not published facts. Find a Tender does not publish who is bidding. Never shown: contact details, payment behaviour, or a recommended price.

Procedure terms & legal framework

From the official record
Procedure method
Below threshold - open competition
Legal basis
UKPGA · 2023/54 Procurement Act 2023
Procurement category
Services
Notice status
Open for tender
Procurement threshold
Below threshold
Regulatory regime
Standard
Commercial structure
Stand-alone contract (no framework)
Competition type
Competitive procedure
GPA / WTO covered
Unspecified in notice
Recurring procurement
No (one-off requirement)
First published
22 Sept 2026, 15:30 BST
Last source update
22 Sept 2026, 15:30 BST
Authority reference
CAFS/2026/313
Latest notice
Tender notice (UK4)
Classification (CPV)
Health and social work services
Delivery area
West Midlands (UKG23)
Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-0777ca Find a Tender

How to participate & submission route

Official notice Submit via ProContract (Due North)
Submission portal named on this notice: ProContract (Due North) · Who buys & how to bid on ProContract
Supplier login requiredElectronic submission allowed
Access & registration note: Free · short registration with manual review; public opportunity list
Expression of interest (EOI)
Tender submission deadline
9 Oct 2026, 20:00 BST
Clarification deadline
9 Oct 2026, 12:00 BST
Submission channel
Official e-sourcing portal
Electronic submission
Allowed
Detailed submission instructions & authority contactsFrom official release
Published estimate £195,000 excludes VAT (£234,000 including VAT).

Timeline

4 published dates · Europe/London
  1. Tender notice published1 day ago
    22 Sept 2026, 15:30 BST
  2. Clarification questions byin 16 days
    9 Oct 2026, 12:00 BST
  3. Submission deadlinein 16 days
    9 Oct 2026, 20:00 BST
  4. Contract startsin 39 days
    2 Nov 2026, 00:00 GMT

Commercial outcome & contract awards

Nothing awarded yet
Awards (0)
No award published
Contracts (0)
No contract published
Bid statistics
No aggregate bid statistics published

Notice history

1 event · 1 release on Find a Tender
  1. Tender notice published
    22 Sept 2026, 15:30 BSTUK4

Contracting authority & participating public bodies

Stoke on Trent City Council

Contracting authorityPublic authority - sub-central government GB-PPON: PDQZ-1442-RZTZ Civic Centre, Glebe Street, Stoke-on-Trent, West Midlands, ST4 1HH

Official documents & specifications (1)

Official links; attachments are not copied

Notices published for this procedure

  • Tender notice tenderTender noticeUK4Tender notice on Find a Tender