Find a TenderPlanned procurementPipeline notice
Published 20 May 2026, 11:01 BST

Official UK procurement notice

Care at Home, Night Service and Extra Care for Adults

Authority: Oldham Council (Local council)

ServicesOpen procedureAbove thresholdLight touch regimeSME suitableVCSE suitable
Planned pipeline valueValue not publishedpipeline notice, not a live tender
Tender notice expected 1 Jul 2026from the planned procurement notice
Contract term 4 yrsends 31 Jan 2031 · up to 31 Jan 2033 with extensions · starts 1 Feb 2027

What is being bought

Published requirement description

Delivery of regulated care in peoples homes.

CQC regulated, registered and inspected as Good, domiciliary care providers to operate across Oldham delivering 'care at home' support to assessed individuals with Care Act eligible needs.

Approx £20m per annum

Intended term up to 6 years

This is a Pipeline Notice only and does not require responding to. This notice is to inform potential bidders that at some time during the next 18 months we may be advertising this opportunity. Please do not respond at this time. The procurement detailed in this notice is subject to internal governance and approvals.

The procurement route to market may change as procurement plans become clear in future therefore, we reserve the right to amend the proposed procurement route at any point up until the actual tender notice is issued. As such it may be determined that the procurement included in this pipeline may fall under the Public Contracts Regulations 2015, Procurement Act 23, Provider Selection Regime or the opportunity may be withdrawn altogether. Any amendments to the proposed procurement route will be updated within this notice once determined.

CPV: Social work and related services

The lotProcurement structure

single lot · no lot value published
Lot #1PlannedRenewal 4 yrsSMEVCSE
Contract period: 1 Feb 2027 – 31 Jan 2031 (4 yrs) · up to 31 Jan 2033 with extensions
Delivery: North WestEligibility: SME eligibleVCSE eligible
Extensions: Extension options published

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

Pipeline intelligence · planning stage: how this market runs before the tender is published

How Oldham Council buys Social work and related services (CPV 8530), and who usually turns up

Oldham Council’s published record next to the market for the same work. Frameworks and DPS are left out: they draw different bid counts. Whole-market view: Social work and related services (CPV 8530) →

1

How the contest usually goes

Winner shares use published awards; bid and price charts use contested lots.

Question for the bid
This buyerOldham Council · division 85
The marketSocial work and related services (CPV 8530) · North West England
What to do with it
How often do SMEs win?
i

How often small and medium firms win.

Share of awards where the winner’s size is known.

The counts under this question show how many awards have a known supplier size.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 9 of 11 known-size awards · market: CPV 8530 · North West England, n=33
82%73%

Small firms have won here. Neither number says whether you qualify; it describes who has been winning.

How often do local suppliers win?
i

How often local firms win similar work.

Winners with a registered address in the delivery region, out of awards with a known address.

Local means the winner is registered in the region where that award was delivered. The market figure counts awards delivered in North West England.

A local branch does not count if the registered address is elsewhere.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 22 of 26 known-location awards · market: CPV 8530 · North West England, n=63
85%63%

Most of this buyer’s recorded winners were registered in the region where that award was delivered.

How long to a decision?
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the bid deadline to the award date, on competitions that published both.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: no decision dates published · market: CPV 8530 · North West England, n=21
—51 days

Half of these awards have an award date within 51 days of the bid deadline.

How often single-bid or direct?
i

How often work is awarded with no recorded rival.

Direct awards and tenders where every published lot count shows one bid.

The market share is a minimum: some awards have no bid count.

Thin markets produce this too; it is not proof of a tailored specification.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: exactly 25 of 27 procurements with awards had no recorded rival · market: CPV 8530 · North West England, n=62
93%44%

Direct awards or one recorded bid are common here. Check the route before spending time on a bid.

How many bids did past lots attract?

i

How many bids past lots received.

Each colour is a bid-count range. Only competed lots with a published count are included.

Past bids do not predict this tender.

Last 36 months.

This buyer13 lots with bid counts · all categories
8% had one bid
The market27 lots with bid counts · CPV 8530 · North West England
15% had one bid
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
1 bid8% / 15%
Buyer: 1 of 13 lots with published bid counts. Market: 4 of 27 lots with published bid counts.
2–369% / 37%
Buyer: 9 of 13 lots with published bid counts. Market: 10 of 27 lots with published bid counts.
4–615% / 30%
Buyer: 2 of 13 lots with published bid counts. Market: 8 of 27 lots with published bid counts.
7+8% / 19%
Buyer: 1 of 13 lots with published bid counts. Market: 5 of 27 lots with published bid counts.

How did awards compare with estimates?

i

Where winning prices landed against estimates.

Each colour shows awards below, close to or above the published estimate, one lot at a time.

Past prices are a guide, not a bid price.

Last 36 months.

This buyer10 lots with estimate and award · all categories
50% below estimate
The market28 lots with estimate and award · CPV 8530 · North West England
11% below estimate
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
Below estimate50% / 11%
Buyer: 5 of 10 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 3 of 28 lots with an estimate and award.
Within ±2%30% / 79%
Buyer: 3 of 10 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 22 of 28 lots with an estimate and award.
Above estimate20% / 11%
Buyer: 2 of 10 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 3 of 28 lots with an estimate and award.
2

Assess each lot
i

What past awards tell you about each lot.

See the forecast, this buyer’s earlier suppliers and firms with relevant wins.

No supplier is confirmed as a bidder.

Open a lot for its forecast, this buyer’s previous supplier and possible competitors, from published award history, not a bid list

Lot #1CPV 853048 monthsSME suitableEstimate not published
Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative. The bar shows 27 past lots.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

—No model forecast yet15% chance of a single bid
Past bids on 27 similar lots
1 bid15%
4 of 27 similar past lots received 1 bid (15%).
2–337%
10 of 27 similar past lots received 2–3 (37%).
4–630%
8 of 27 similar past lots received 4–6 (30%).
7+19%
5 of 27 similar past lots received 7+ (19%).
Comparable past lots usually drew 3 bids.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

No comparable awards for this lot yet.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

—Estimate not published
The buyer published no estimate for this lot, so there is nothing to forecast against. A price prediction here would be a number about a number we do not have.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

No earlier contract of this buyer matches this lot on the published record.

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

Candidate suppliers for this notice have not been worked out yet, so this is not a verdict that nobody fits.

About this data
  • Source. Official UK public procurement notices (Find a Tender), reused under the Open Government Licence v3.0. New notices arrive through the day; the figures are rebuilt nightly.
  • Two views, kept apart. The authority’s own track record and the wider market for the same kind of work sit side by side and are never mixed. Where the local picture is too thin, a figure widens to a broader market and says which one it used.
  • Forecasts are labelled. The price forecast and its range, possible competitors and the earlier-work matches are our estimates from past awards: not published facts, not win chances and not price advice. Official notices do not say who is bidding.
  • Every figure shows what it rests on. Not every notice publishes a bid count, a value or a delivery region, so each figure carries the number of records behind it, and one built on few records is marked as such. The on a figure explains it; the counting rules are in the methodology. Spotted something wrong? Tell us.

Procedure terms & legal framework

From the official record
Procedure method
Open procedure
Legal basis
UKPGA · 2023/54 Procurement Act 2023
Procurement category
Services
Notice status
Planned procurement
Procurement threshold
Above threshold (FTS publication)
Regulatory regime
Light touch regime
Commercial structure
Stand-alone contract (no framework)
Competition type
Competitive procedure
GPA / WTO covered
Unspecified in notice
Recurring procurement
Unspecified in notice
First published
20 May 2026, 11:01 BST
Last source update
20 May 2026, 11:01 BST
FTS notice number
2026/S 000-046210
Latest notice
Pipeline notice (UK1)
Classification (CPV)
Social work and related services
Delivery area
North West (UKD37)
Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-069cfd Find a Tender

How it was run

Official notice
Submission deadline
—

Timeline

20 May 2026 → 1 Feb 2027 · 3 dates
  1. Planning notice published157 days ago
    20 May 2026, 11:01 BST
  2. Tender notice expected114 days ago
    1 Jul 2026, 23:59 BST
  3. Today
    24 Oct 2026
  4. Contract startsin 100 days
    1 Feb 2027

Notice history

1 event · 1 release on Find a Tender
  1. Pipeline notice published
    20 May 2026, 11:01 BST
    UK1

Commercial outcome & contract awards

Pipeline notice
Awards (0)
No award published
Contracts (0)
No contract published
Bid statistics
No aggregate bid statistics published

Contracting authority & participating public bodies

Oldham Metropolitan Borough Council

Contracting authorityPublic authority - sub-central government GB-PPON: PMRJ-8362-DVNT Spindles Shopping Centre, West Street, Oldham, North West, OL1 1HDContact email

Official documents & specifications (1)

Official links; attachments are not copied

Notices published for this procedure

  • Pipeline notice planningPipeline noticeUK1Pipeline notice on Find a Tender