Find a TenderOpen for tender Tender notice
Published 30 Sept 2026, 16:38 BST

Official UK procurement notice

2026-065 -Generation Market Study

Authority: Ofgem (Public body)

ServicesOpen procedureAbove thresholdSME suitableVCSE suitable
Published estimate£416,667£500,000 inc. VAT
Submission deadline 26 Oct 202612:00 GMT · 25d 18h left
Clarification cut-off 19 Oct 202612:00 BST · questions to the authority
Contract term 4 moup to 8 mo with extensions · starts 30 Nov 2026
Bids per lot · this authority 3division 79 · n=13 · competition analysis ↓

What is being bought

Published requirement description

The Authority is seeking a suitably qualified external provider to undertake a comprehensive market study of the Great Britain (GB) wholesale electricity generation sector and deliver an updated assessment of market outcomes.

Further information can be found in the attached ITT document.

  • No preliminary market engagement: Not appropriate due to the nature of the services required.

CPV: Market and economic research; polling and statistics · Research and development services and related consultancy services

The lotProcurement structure

single lot · value published
Lot #1Lot 1Renewal 4 moSMEVCSEPublished value£416,667
Contract period: 30 Nov 2026 — 31 Mar 2027 (4 mo) · up to 8 mo with extensionsEligibility: SME eligibleVCSE eligibleDelivery: UKTurnover guideline: ~£833,334/yr≈ 2× annual value
Value
£416,667 exc. VAT · £500,000 inc. VAT
Extensions
Up to four months. However, the Authority provides no guarantee that the extension will be utilised or of any value associated with it. Any deliverables relating to the extension period will be mutually agreed by both parties at the time of extension.
73000000 Research and development services and related consultancy services79300000 Market and economic research; polling and statistics

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

What it takes to win
i

How this buyer will score bids.

The evaluation criteria and weights exactly as published on the notice, grouped by family (price, quality, social value and so on).

Evaluation split and conditions of participation as published — the tender pack may add more
How bids are scored
Quality: 70%Price: 30%
Published sub-criteria (2)
  • Technical — 70%
  • Commercial — 30%
Conditions of participation2
  • Economic & financial standing
    Further information is included within the tender documentation
  • Technical & professional ability
    Further information is included within the tender documentation

Competition analysis · published record, not a forecast of who will bid

How Ofgem buys Market and economic research; polling and statistics (CPV 7930) — and who usually turns up

Ofgem’s own published record, next to the Greater London market for the same work. Frameworks and DPS are kept out: they attract a different number of bids. Whole-market view: Market and economic research; polling and statistics (CPV 7930) →

1

How the contest usually goes

Left: this authority. Right: the market where the work is delivered. Bids and award-vs-estimate pairs are per lot, from contested contracts only — direct awards (including PA 2023 transparency notices) report one bid by definition and are left out. On Procurement Act 2023 notices the count is the tenders assessed at the final stage, not every submission received; pairs compare like with like (VAT-exclusive, or VAT-inclusive on both sides). Empty means nothing was published, not filled in from elsewhere.

This authority

Ofgem

contract notices in 36 months: 17 in division 79 · 23 in all categories (1 route not published)

Bids per lot
i

How many companies usually bid for work like this.

Middle value of published bid counts, one per lot, for this buyer or this region in the same sector.

Based on this buyer’s tenders in this industry (CPV 79), last 36 months: 13 lots. 5 lots are from Procurement Act 2023 notices (bids assessed, middle 2) and 8 from older notices (bids received, middle 3.5).

Nothing is filled in from UK-wide numbers. An empty tile means nothing usable was published.

3division 79 · 36m · n=13 lots
Single-bid lots
i

How often only one company bid.

Share of lots that received exactly one bid, on the same competitions as the bids figure.

Based on this buyer’s tenders in this industry (CPV 79), last 36 months: 13 lots.

High means a thin market or an incumbent that is hard to beat.

0%division 79 · 36m · n=13 lots
Award vs estimate
i

Do awards for work like this land above or below the estimate.

Estimate against award per lot, for this buyer or this region in the same sector.

Based on this buyer’s tenders in this industry (CPV 79), last 36 months: 8 pairs.

A past pattern, not a price to bid.

2% belowdivision 79 · 36m · n=8 pairs
Deadline → award date
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the deadline to the first award notice, on competitions that published both dates.

Based on this buyer’s tenders in this industry (CPV 79), last 36 months: 6 notices.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

59ddivision 79 · 36m · n=6 notices
Notice updates
i

How often this buyer changes a notice after publishing it.

Middle number of amendments per notice. Deadline extensions and corrections both count.

Based on this buyer’s tenders in all categories, last 24 months: 30 notices.

Last 24 months.

3.5all categories · 24m · n=30 notices
Awarded without competition
i

How often this buyer awards without a competition.

Direct or limited awards as a share of its notices that say which procedure was used. These routes are legal in defined cases. This is just the record.

Based on this buyer’s tenders in this industry (CPV 79), last 36 months: 17 notices.

Last 36 months.

0%division 79 · 36m · n=17 notices
Bids per lot robust · n=13
i

How the number of bidders is spread across lots.

Each lot with a published bid count is put in a band: one bid, two to three, four to six, seven or more. Real competitions only.

Based on 13 lots on 13 contested notices · division 79, last 36 months.

  • 1 bid 0%
  • 2–3 69%
  • 4–6 23%
  • 7+ 8%

Middle value 3 · 13 lots on 13 contested notices · division 79.

Winning award vs estimate robust · n=8
i

How often winners come in below, near or above the estimate.

Each lot with both an estimate and an award is placed by how far the award sat from the estimate.

Based on 8 lot pairs · division 79, last 36 months.

A past pattern, not a price to bid.

  • Below estimate 50%
  • Within ±2% 50%
  • Above estimate 0%

8 lot pairs · division 79.

The market · authority’s region

Greater London · Market and economic research; polling and statistics (CPV 7930)

contract notices delivered in Greater London in 36 months: 15 in CPV 7930 (13 competed) · 949 in division 79 (630 competed, 163 route not published) · the notice publishes no delivery location, so the authority’s registered region is used

Bids per lot
i

How many companies usually bid for work like this.

Middle value of published bid counts, one per lot, for this buyer or this region in the same sector.

Based on this region’s tenders in this sector (CPV 7930), last 36 months: 5 lots. 3 lots are from Procurement Act 2023 notices (bids assessed, middle 9) and 2 from older notices (bids received, middle 9.5).

Nothing is filled in from UK-wide numbers. An empty tile means nothing usable was published.

9CPV 7930 · 36m · n=5 lots
Single-bid lots
i

How often only one company bid.

Share of lots that received exactly one bid, on the same competitions as the bids figure.

Based on this region’s tenders in this sector (CPV 7930), last 36 months: 5 lots.

High means a thin market or an incumbent that is hard to beat.

0%CPV 7930 · 36m · n=5 lots
Award vs estimate
i

Do awards for work like this land above or below the estimate.

Estimate against award per lot, for this buyer or this region in the same sector.

Based on this region’s tenders in this sector (CPV 7930), last 36 months: 5 pairs.

A past pattern, not a price to bid.

2% belowCPV 7930 · 36m · n=5 pairs
Deadline → award date
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the deadline to the first award notice, on competitions that published both dates.

Based on this region’s tenders in this sector (CPV 7930), last 36 months: 3 notices.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

27dCPV 7930 · 36m · n=3 notices
SME bidders
i

How much of this market goes to small and medium firms.

SME bidders where buyers published the split, otherwise SME winners.

Based on this region’s tenders in this sector (CPV 7930), last 36 months: 3 lots.

Last 36 months.

65%CPV 7930 · 36m · n=3 lots
Winners based in the region
i

How much work like this goes to companies based in the delivery region.

Awards in this category delivered here where the winner’s registered address is in the region.

Based on this region’s tenders in this sector (CPV 7930), last 36 months: 16 awards.

Registered address, so a national firm with a local branch counts as outside.

Last 36 months.

94%CPV 7930 · 36m · n=16 awards
Bids per lot robust · n=5
i

How the number of bidders is spread across lots.

Each lot with a published bid count is put in a band: one bid, two to three, four to six, seven or more. Real competitions only.

Based on 5 lots on 5 contested notices · CPV 7930, last 36 months.

  • 1 bid 0%
  • 2–3 20%
  • 4–6 20%
  • 7+ 60%

Middle value 9 · 5 lots on 5 contested notices · CPV 7930.

Winning award vs estimate robust · n=5
i

How often winners come in below, near or above the estimate.

Each lot with both an estimate and an award is placed by how far the award sat from the estimate.

Based on 5 lot pairs · CPV 7930, last 36 months.

A past pattern, not a price to bid.

  • Below estimate 40%
  • Within ±2% 60%
  • Above estimate 0%

5 lot pairs · CPV 7930.

robust · n=8
i

Where this tender’s estimate would land if the usual pattern repeats.

We apply the buyer’s usual movement between estimate and award (or the region’s) to the estimate on this notice.

Based on this buyer’s own usual movement over 8 lots (division 79), applied to the £416,667 estimate on this notice.

A benchmark, not a price to bid.

The middle award in Ofgem (division 79, n=8 pairs) lands 2% below: on this notice’s £416,667 that is about £407,084. Context for a bid, not a recommended price.
Coverage and what to read with care
  • Each tile explains itself. The on a figure says what it is, how it is counted and which scope this notice’s own record came from (class, division, all categories, or the authority’s 24-month row). The two columns are never blended and nothing is filled from a UK-wide figure; an empty tile means the source published nothing usable. Long form: Methodology.
  • Coverage. Roughly 40 % of notices publish a bid count; about half publish an ITL1 delivery location, so the market column reads the authority’s registered region when the notice has none (labelled). About 30 % of award-vs-estimate pairs are exact matches — the buyer published the award at the estimate. n is on every figure; a thin sample is muted, never hidden.
  • “Match” and “relevance” are model scores from the nightly matcher, not published facts. Find a Tender does not publish who is bidding. Never shown: contact details, payment behaviour, or a recommended price.

Procedure terms & legal framework

From the official record
Procedure method
Open procedure
Legal basis
UKPGA · 2023/54 Procurement Act 2023
Procurement category
Services
Notice status
Open for tender
Procurement threshold
Above threshold (FTS publication)
Regulatory regime
Standard
Commercial structure
Stand-alone contract (no framework)
Competition type
Competitive procedure
GPA / WTO covered
Unspecified in notice
Recurring procurement
No (one-off requirement)
First published
30 Sept 2026, 16:38 BST
Last source update
30 Sept 2026, 16:38 BST
Award evaluation window
Submission end — 17 Nov 2026, 23:59 GMT
Authority reference
2026-065
Latest notice
Tender notice (UK4)
Classification (CPV)
Market and economic research; polling and statisticsResearch and development services and related consultancy services
Delivery area
UK
Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-077e08 Find a Tender
Contract terms summary
As detailed within the tender documentation.

How to participate & submission route

Official notice
Expression of interest (EOI)
—
Tender submission deadline
26 Oct 2026, 12:00 GMT
Clarification deadline
19 Oct 2026, 12:00 BST
Electronic submission
Allowed
Accepted languages
en
Detailed submission instructions & authority contactsFrom official release
www.mytenders.co.uk ↗ Tenders and all associated documents required as part of the tender submission must be submitted BEFORE 12noon on the date of tender closing for a supplier’s offer to be deemed compliant.
Published estimate £416,667 excludes VAT (£500,000 including VAT).

Timeline

5 published dates · Europe/London
  1. Tender notice publishedearlier today
    30 Sept 2026, 16:38 BST
  2. Clarification questions byin 19 days
    19 Oct 2026, 12:00 BST
  3. Submission deadlinein 26 days
    26 Oct 2026, 12:00 GMT
  4. Award decision expected byin 48 days
    17 Nov 2026, 23:59 GMT
  5. Contract startsin 60 days
    30 Nov 2026, 00:00 GMT

Commercial outcome & contract awards

Nothing awarded yet
Awards (0)
No award published
Contracts (0)
No contract published
Bid statistics
No aggregate bid statistics published

Notice history

1 event · 1 release on Find a Tender
  1. Tender notice published
    30 Sept 2026, 16:38 BSTUK4

Contracting authority & participating public bodies

Ofgem

Contracting authorityPublic authority - sub-central government GB-PPON: PWXD-5991-LZZP 10 South Colonnade, London, London, E14 4PU [email protected]

Official documents & specifications (3)

Official links; attachments are not copied

Tender pack and attachments

  • Bidding documents and specifications tenderBidding documents and specifications2026-065 - Generation Market Study ITT
  • Conflict of interest declarationtenderConflict of interest declarationNot published

Notices published for this procedure

  • Tender notice tenderTender noticeUK4Tender notice on Find a Tender