Find a TenderPlanned procurementPreliminary market engagement notice
Published 27 Nov 2025, 17:16 GMT

Official UK procurement notice

Pre Market Engagement: Community Accommodation Service Tier 3 (CAS3)

Authority: Manchester City Council (Local council)

ServicesAbove thresholdSME suitableVCSE suitable
Planned pipeline valueValue not publishedpipeline notice, not a live tender
Tender notice expected Date not publishedfrom the planned procurement notice
Contract term 9 moends 23 Dec 2027 · starts 1 Apr 2027

What is being bought

Published requirement description

Community Accommodation Service Tier 3 (CAS3) is a provision funded by the Ministry of Justice (MoJ) and overseen in Manchester by the Greater Manchester Probation Service and Manchester City Council, to provide short-term accommodation and support for people who are threatened with homelessness upon their release from prison or approved premises, for up to 84 days. The CAS3 provision emphasises the prevention of homelessness and the reduction in reoffending.

Manchester City Council is seeking to engage with existing and potential providers of support and accommodation services to understand the market's capabilities in providing short-term support and accommodation for people who have recently left custody.

It is anticipated that any future service model would adopt a trauma-informed approach, recognising the diverse experiences and support needs of people leaving custody. The proposed model is intended to provide access to accommodation alongside person-centred support to address homelessness, improve wellbeing, increase independence and support positive move-on outcomes.

The proposed service is expected to operate collaboratively with statutory and voluntary sector partners, including Probation, local authorities, Greater Manchester Police and other relevant agencies, to support effective risk assessment, risk management and information sharing.

At this stage, the Council is considering a model that may include separate accommodation and support elements. To inform this approach, the Council is seeking feedback from the market regarding capacity, deliverability and potential service design considerations.

The accommodation element could include a minimum of 66 lettable self-contained single-sex units and/or compliant single-sex shared accommodation, available for occupation by CAS3 residents for up to 84 nights per placement. The support element could involve the provision of a floating support service delivered by a dedicated team of support workers. Such support may focus on helping individuals to secure and sustain accommodation, improve stability and resilience, access appropriate services and support successful resettlement outcomes.

The information contained within this notice is for market engagement purposes only and does not constitute a commitment by Manchester City Council to undertake a procurement process or award any contract.

CPV: Health and social work services

The lotProcurement structure

single lot · no lot value published
Lot #1Planned 9 moSMEVCSE
Contract period: 1 Apr 2027 – 23 Dec 2027 (9 mo)
Delivery: North WestEligibility: SME eligibleVCSE eligible

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

Pipeline intelligence · planning stage: how this market runs before the tender is published

How Manchester City Council buys Health and social work services (CPV 85), and who usually turns up

Manchester City Council’s published record next to the market for the same work. Frameworks and DPS are left out: they draw different bid counts. Whole-market view: Health and social work services (CPV 85) →

1

How the contest usually goes

Winner shares use published awards; bid and price charts use contested lots.

Question for the bid
This buyerManchester City Council · division 85
The marketHealth and social work services (CPV 85) · North West England
What to do with it
How often do SMEs win?
i

How often small and medium firms win.

Share of awards where the winner’s size is known.

The counts under this question show how many awards have a known supplier size.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 11 of 27 known-size awards · market: division 85 · North West England, n=936
41%42%

Small firms have won here. Neither number says whether you qualify; it describes who has been winning.

How often do local suppliers win?
i

How often local firms win similar work.

Winners with a registered address in the delivery region, out of awards with a known address.

Local means the winner is registered in the region where that award was delivered. The market figure counts awards delivered in North West England.

A local branch does not count if the registered address is elsewhere.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 31 of 41 known-location awards · market: division 85 · North West England, n=1,358
76%64%

Most of this buyer’s recorded winners were registered in the region where that award was delivered.

How long to a decision?
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the bid deadline to the award date, on competitions that published both.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: 13 decided notices · market: division 85 · North West England, n=193
72 days51 days

Half of these awards have an award date within 72 days of the bid deadline.

How often single-bid or direct?
i

How often work is awarded with no recorded rival.

Direct awards and tenders where every published lot count shows one bid.

Both shares are minimums: some awards have no bid count.

Thin markets produce this too; it is not proof of a tailored specification.

Last 36 months.

Buyer: at least 16 of 33 procurements with awards had no recorded rival · market: division 85 · North West England, n=1,198
48%69%

Direct awards or one recorded bid are common here. Check the route before spending time on a bid.

How many bids did past lots attract?

i

How many bids past lots received.

Each colour is a bid-count range. Only competed lots with a published count are included.

Past bids do not predict this tender.

Last 36 months.

This buyer26 lots with bid counts · broad CPV 85
15% had one bid
The market306 lots with bid counts · division 85 · North West England
17% had one bid
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
1 bid15% / 17%
Buyer: 4 of 26 lots with published bid counts. Market: 51 of 306 lots with published bid counts.
2–350% / 34%
Buyer: 13 of 26 lots with published bid counts. Market: 103 of 306 lots with published bid counts.
4–612% / 28%
Buyer: 3 of 26 lots with published bid counts. Market: 87 of 306 lots with published bid counts.
7+23% / 21%
Buyer: 6 of 26 lots with published bid counts. Market: 65 of 306 lots with published bid counts.

How did awards compare with estimates?

i

Where winning prices landed against estimates.

Each colour shows awards below, close to or above the published estimate, one lot at a time.

Past prices are a guide, not a bid price.

Last 36 months.

This buyer24 lots with estimate and award · broad CPV 85
4% below estimate
The market207 lots with estimate and award · division 85 · North West England
29% below estimate
Buyer / market · select a colour for counts
Below estimate4% / 29%
Buyer: 1 of 24 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 60 of 207 lots with an estimate and award.
Within ±2%96% / 61%
Buyer: 23 of 24 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 126 of 207 lots with an estimate and award.
Above estimate0% / 10%
Buyer: 0 of 24 lots with an estimate and award. Market: 21 of 207 lots with an estimate and award.
2

Assess each lot
i

What past awards tell you about each lot.

See the forecast, this buyer’s earlier suppliers and firms with relevant wins.

No supplier is confirmed as a bidder.

Open a lot for its forecast, this buyer’s previous supplier and possible competitors, from published award history, not a bid list

Lot #1CPV 859 monthsSME suitableEstimate not published

This lot lists more than one class in CPV 85. The comparison uses that group.

Expected competition
i

How many bids this lot may attract.

The forecast uses similar past competitions. The bar shows either that forecast or past bid counts; the line below says which.

Each lot shows its own forecast based on its own category; forecasts for different lots of the same notice are not comparative. The bar shows 306 past lots.

A forecast, not a list of bidders.

—No model forecast yet17% chance of a single bid
Past bids on 306 similar lots
1 bid17%
51 of 306 similar past lots received 1 bid (17%).
2–334%
103 of 306 similar past lots received 2–3 (34%).
4–628%
87 of 306 similar past lots received 4–6 (28%).
7+21%
65 of 306 similar past lots received 7+ (21%).
Comparable past lots usually drew 3 bids.
Commercial price forecast
i

Where the award price may land.

The forecast uses similar awards and the buyer’s estimate. The band covers the middle half of likely prices.

No comparable awards for this lot yet.

A statistical guide from past awards, not a price to bid.

—Estimate not published
The buyer published no estimate for this lot, so there is nothing to forecast against. A price prediction here would be a number about a number we do not have.

Who has supplied this buyer on similar work?
i

Who has done similar work for this buyer.

Past contracts are matched by buyer, title and type of work.

A past supplier may not bid again.

No earlier contract of this buyer matches this lot on the published record.

Who could compete for this lot?
i

Who could compete for this lot?

Firms with relevant past wins. On a framework, we show firms on that agreement.

None is confirmed as a bidder.

Candidate suppliers for this notice have not been worked out yet, so this is not a verdict that nobody fits.

About this data
  • Source. Official UK public procurement notices (Find a Tender), reused under the Open Government Licence v3.0. New notices arrive through the day; the figures are rebuilt nightly.
  • Two views, kept apart. The authority’s own track record and the wider market for the same kind of work sit side by side and are never mixed. Where the local picture is too thin, a figure widens to a broader market and says which one it used.
  • Forecasts are labelled. The price forecast and its range, possible competitors and the earlier-work matches are our estimates from past awards: not published facts, not win chances and not price advice. Official notices do not say who is bidding.
  • Every figure shows what it rests on. Not every notice publishes a bid count, a value or a delivery region, so each figure carries the number of records behind it, and one built on few records is marked as such. The on a figure explains it; the counting rules are in the methodology. Spotted something wrong? Tell us.

Procedure terms & legal framework

From the official record
Legal basis
UKPGA · 2023/54 Procurement Act 2023
Procurement category
Services
Notice status
Planned procurement
Procurement threshold
Above threshold (FTS publication)
Regulatory regime
Standard
Commercial structure
Stand-alone contract (no framework)
Competition type
Competitive procedure
GPA / WTO covered
Unspecified in notice
Recurring procurement
Unspecified in notice
First published
27 Nov 2025, 17:16 GMT
Last source update
2 Sept 2026, 17:59 BST
Authority reference
P-1476
FTS notice number
2026/S 000-083244
Latest notice
Preliminary market engagement notice (UK2)
Classification (CPV)
Health and social work services
Delivery area
North West (UKD3)
Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-05ea96 Find a Tender

How it was run

Official notice
Submission deadline
—

Timeline

27 Nov 2025 → 1 Apr 2027 · 4 dates
  1. Planning notice published332 days ago
    27 Nov 2025, 17:16 GMT
  2. Latest notice published53 days ago
    2 Sept 2026, 17:59 BST
  3. Market engagement45 days ago
    10 Sept 2026, 23:59 BST

    Manchester City Council is seeking to engage with existing and potential providers of support and accommodation services to discuss some key aspects of the CAS-3 service design and delivery.

    We are holding an interactive online webinar on Thursday 10th September 2026 1pm on Microsoft Teams. If you would like to attend this webinar you can register for a place by completing this form:

    Market Engagement Webinar - Community Accommodation Service Tier (CAS 3) - Fill in form

    forms.cloud.microsoft/Pages/ResponsePage.aspx ↗

  4. Today
    26 Oct 2026
  5. Contract startsin 157 days
    1 Apr 2027, 00:00 BST

Notice history

2 events · 2 releases on Find a Tender · since 27 Nov 2025
  1. Preliminary market engagement notice published
    27 Nov 2025, 17:16 GMT
    UK2
  2. Preliminary market engagement notice published
    2 Sept 2026, 17:59 BST
    UK2

Commercial outcome & contract awards

Pipeline notice
Awards (0)
No award published
Contracts (0)
No contract published
Bid statistics
No aggregate bid statistics published

Contracting authority & participating public bodies

Manchester City Council

Contracting authorityPublic authority - sub-central government GB-PPON: PLNV-8798-LDMP Town Hall Extension, Manchester, North West, M60 2LAContact email

Official documents & specifications (2)

Official links; attachments are not copied

Notices published for this procedure