Find a TenderOpen for tender Tender notice
Published 24 Sept 2026, 07:57 BST

Official UK procurement notice

Harnessing geological diversity for species recovery, ecological connectivity, and climate resilience

Authority: Natural England (Central government)

ServicesBelow threshold - open competitionBelow thresholdSME suitable
Sectors: Research & Development (R&D) (73) Delivery: UK
Published estimate£20,833£25,000 inc. VAT
Submission deadline 7 Oct 202614:00 BST · 12d 13h left
Contract term 5 mostarts 13 Oct 2026
Bids per lot · the market 4CPV 7321 · n=3 · competition analysis ↓

What is being bought

Published requirement description

This pilot project will improve recovery prospects for species with tightly defined geologies by identifying where they can persist or expand under climate change. It will seek to enhance Natural England's climate suitability maps with geological data to identify future strongholds and connectivity corridors. For identified species, ecological and geological knowledge will be collated; and it is anticipated that for a subset, field surveys will document fine-scale site conditions (e.g. slope, hydrology, soils, geological facies).

Species-level reports will provide practical advice to site managers and support local, and wider scale regional and national survival planning. By integrating predictive mapping with ecological insight, the project informs targeted management and landscape-scale planning. It focuses on features we can manage (habitat, land use, and connectivity), recognising that fixed geology may both constrain and guide species' climate-driven range shifts.

CPV: Research consultancy services

The lotProcurement structure

single lot · value published
Lot #1Lot 1 5 moSMEPublished value£20,833
Contract period: 13 Oct 2026 — 26 Mar 2027 (5 mo)Eligibility: SME eligibleDelivery: UKTurnover guideline: ~£41,666/yr≈ 2× annual value
Value
£20,833 exc. VAT · £25,000 inc. VAT
73210000 Research consultancy services

Who is likely to bid for this lot ↓

What it takes to win
i

How this buyer will score bids.

The evaluation criteria and weights exactly as published on the notice, grouped by family (price, quality, social value and so on).

Evaluation split and conditions of participation as published — the tender pack may add more
How bids are scored

full details in RFQ

No conditions of participation were published on the notice; check the tender documents.

Competition analysis · published record, not a forecast of who will bid

How Natural England buys Research consultancy services (CPV 7321) — and who usually turns up

Natural England’s own published record, next to the Greater London market for the same work. Frameworks and DPS are kept out: they attract a different number of bids. Whole-market view: Research consultancy services (CPV 7321) →

1

How the contest usually goes

Left: this authority. Right: the market where the work is delivered. Bids and award-vs-estimate pairs are per lot, from contested contracts only — direct awards (including PA 2023 transparency notices) report one bid by definition and are left out. On Procurement Act 2023 notices the count is the tenders assessed at the final stage, not every submission received; pairs compare like with like (VAT-exclusive, or VAT-inclusive on both sides). Empty means nothing was published, not filled in from elsewhere.

This authority

Natural England

contract notices in 36 months: 1 in CPV 7321 · 34 in division 73 (1 route not published) · 223 in all categories (2 without competition · 6 route not published)

Bids per lot
i

How many companies usually bid for work like this.

Middle value of published bid counts, one per lot, for this buyer or this region in the same sector.

Based on this buyer’s tenders in all categories, last 36 months: 1 lots. All 1 lots are from Procurement Act 2023 notices, which count bids assessed. Small sample.

Nothing is filled in from UK-wide numbers. An empty tile means nothing usable was published.

3all categories · 36m · n=1 lots
Single-bid lots
i

How often only one company bid.

Share of lots that received exactly one bid, on the same competitions as the bids figure.

Based on this buyer’s tenders in all categories, last 36 months: 1 lots. Small sample.

High means a thin market or an incumbent that is hard to beat.

0%all categories · 36m · n=1 lots
Award vs estimate
i

Do awards for work like this land above or below the estimate.

Estimate against award per lot, for this buyer or this region in the same sector.

Based on this buyer’s tenders in this industry (CPV 73), last 36 months: 24 pairs.

A past pattern, not a price to bid.

16% belowdivision 73 · 36m · n=24 pairs
Deadline → award date
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the deadline to the first award notice, on competitions that published both dates.

Based on this buyer’s tenders in all categories, last 36 months: 16 notices.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

12dall categories · 36m · n=16 notices
Notice updates
i

How often this buyer changes a notice after publishing it.

Middle number of amendments per notice. Deadline extensions and corrections both count.

Based on this buyer’s tenders in all categories, last 24 months: 261 notices.

Last 24 months.

3all categories · 24m · n=261 notices
Awarded without competition
i

How often this buyer awards without a competition.

Direct or limited awards as a share of its notices that say which procedure was used. These routes are legal in defined cases. This is just the record.

Based on this buyer’s tenders in this industry (CPV 73), last 36 months: 33 notices.

Last 36 months.

0%division 73 · 36m · n=33 notices
Winning award vs estimate robust · n=24
i

How often winners come in below, near or above the estimate.

Each lot with both an estimate and an award is placed by how far the award sat from the estimate.

Based on 24 lot pairs · division 73, last 36 months.

A past pattern, not a price to bid.

  • Below estimate 67%
  • Within ±2% 21%
  • Above estimate 13%

24 lot pairs · division 73.

How procedures are run robust · n=33
i

Which procedures buyers here use.

Notices by the procedure they declare: open, selective, limited or direct. Open and selective are competitions; limited and direct are not.

Based on 34 notices · division 73, last 36 months.

  • Open 100%
  • Selective 0%
  • Limited 0%
  • Direct 0%

34 notices · division 73. Open and selective are competed (they feed the bid and price figures above); limited and direct are not; notices publishing no route are outside all four.

The market · authority’s region

Greater London · Research consultancy services (CPV 7321)

contract notices delivered in Greater London in 36 months: 9 in CPV 7321 (6 competed, 2 route not published) · 154 in division 73 (102 competed, 22 route not published) · the notice publishes no delivery location, so the authority’s registered region is used

Bids per lot
i

How many companies usually bid for work like this.

Middle value of published bid counts, one per lot, for this buyer or this region in the same sector.

Based on this region’s tenders in this sector (CPV 7321), last 36 months: 3 lots. 1 lots are from Procurement Act 2023 notices (bids assessed, middle 5) and 2 from older notices (bids received, middle 4).

Nothing is filled in from UK-wide numbers. An empty tile means nothing usable was published.

4CPV 7321 · 36m · n=3 lots
Single-bid lots
i

How often only one company bid.

Share of lots that received exactly one bid, on the same competitions as the bids figure.

Based on this region’s tenders in this sector (CPV 7321), last 36 months: 3 lots.

High means a thin market or an incumbent that is hard to beat.

0%CPV 7321 · 36m · n=3 lots
Award vs estimate
i

Do awards for work like this land above or below the estimate.

Estimate against award per lot, for this buyer or this region in the same sector.

Based on this region’s tenders in this sector (CPV 7321), last 36 months: 3 pairs.

A past pattern, not a price to bid.

4% belowCPV 7321 · 36m · n=3 pairs
Deadline → award date
i

How long buyers here take to decide after bids close.

Middle value in days from the deadline to the first award notice, on competitions that published both dates.

Based on this region’s tenders in this industry (CPV 73), last 36 months: 23 notices.

Only decided tenders count, so slow ones still waiting are not in.

Last 36 months.

36ddivision 73 · 36m · n=23 notices
SME bidders
i

How much of this market goes to small and medium firms.

SME bidders where buyers published the split, otherwise SME winners.

Based on this region’s tenders in this industry (CPV 73), last 36 months: 34 lots.

Last 36 months.

64%division 73 · 36m · n=34 lots
Winners based in the region
i

How much work like this goes to companies based in the delivery region.

Awards in this category delivered here where the winner’s registered address is in the region.

Based on this region’s tenders in this sector (CPV 7321), last 36 months: 7 awards.

Registered address, so a national firm with a local branch counts as outside.

Last 36 months.

57%CPV 7321 · 36m · n=7 awards
Bids per lot moderate · n=3
i

How the number of bidders is spread across lots.

Each lot with a published bid count is put in a band: one bid, two to three, four to six, seven or more. Real competitions only.

Based on 3 lots on 3 contested notices · CPV 7321, last 36 months.

  • 1 bid 0%
  • 2–3 0%
  • 4–6 100%
  • 7+ 0%

Median 4 · 3 lots on 3 contested notices · CPV 7321.

Winning award vs estimate moderate · n=3
i

How often winners come in below, near or above the estimate.

Each lot with both an estimate and an award is placed by how far the award sat from the estimate.

Based on 3 lot pairs · CPV 7321, last 36 months.

A past pattern, not a price to bid.

  • Below estimate 67%
  • Within ±2% 33%
  • Above estimate 0%

3 lot pairs · CPV 7321.

robust · n=24
i

Where this tender’s estimate would land if the usual pattern repeats.

We apply the buyer’s usual movement between estimate and award (or the region’s) to the estimate on this notice.

Based on this buyer’s own usual movement over 24 lots (division 73), applied to the £20,833 estimate on this notice.

A benchmark, not a price to bid.

Awards in Natural England (division 73, n=24 pairs) land a median 16% below: on this notice’s £20,833 that is about £17,541. Context for a bid, not a recommended price.
Coverage and what to read with care
  • Each tile explains itself. The on a figure says what it is, how it is counted and which scope this notice’s own record came from (class, division, all categories, or the authority’s 24-month row). The two columns are never blended and nothing is filled from a UK-wide figure; an empty tile means the source published nothing usable. Long form: Methodology.
  • Coverage. Roughly 40 % of notices publish a bid count; about half publish an ITL1 delivery location, so the market column reads the authority’s registered region when the notice has none (labelled). About 30 % of award-vs-estimate pairs are exact matches — the buyer published the award at the estimate. n is on every figure; a thin sample is muted, never hidden.
  • “Match” and “relevance” are model scores from the nightly matcher, not published facts. Find a Tender does not publish who is bidding. Never shown: contact details, payment behaviour, or a recommended price.

Procedure terms & legal framework

From the official record
Procedure method
Below threshold - open competition
Legal basis
UKPGA · 2023/54 Procurement Act 2023
Procurement category
Services
Notice status
Open for tender
Procurement threshold
Below threshold
Regulatory regime
Standard
Commercial structure
Stand-alone contract (no framework)
Competition type
Competitive procedure
GPA / WTO covered
Unspecified in notice
Recurring procurement
No (one-off requirement)
First published
24 Sept 2026, 07:57 BST
Last source update
24 Sept 2026, 07:57 BST
Latest notice
Tender notice (UK4)
Classification (CPV)
Research consultancy services
Delivery area
UK
Official registry OCID
ocds-h6vhtk-077910 Find a Tender

How to participate & submission route

Official notice
Expression of interest (EOI)
—
Tender submission deadline
7 Oct 2026, 14:00 BST
Clarification deadline
—
Electronic submission
Not allowed
Detailed submission instructions & authority contactsFrom official release
To apply for this opportunity you must submit your quotation meeting the requirements detailed in the Request for Quotation (RFQ) attached. Your response must be sent to [email protected] by 2pm [14:00 GMT] on Wednesday 7th October 2026. If you have any clarification questions linked to this opportunity or the procurement process please submit these via email to [email protected] with a deadline of 30-September-2026 at 12:00 GMT. Please note that, unless commercially sensitive, both the question and the response will be circulated to all tenderers.
Published estimate £20,833 excludes VAT (£25,000 including VAT).

Timeline

3 published dates · Europe/London
  1. Tender notice published1 day ago
    24 Sept 2026, 07:57 BST
  2. Submission deadlinein 13 days
    7 Oct 2026, 14:00 BST
  3. Contract startsin 18 days
    13 Oct 2026, 00:00 BST

Commercial outcome & contract awards

Nothing awarded yet
Awards (0)
No award published
Contracts (0)
No contract published
Bid statistics
No aggregate bid statistics published

Notice history

1 event · 1 release on Find a Tender
  1. Tender notice published
    24 Sept 2026, 07:57 BSTUK4

Contracting authority & participating public bodies

Natural England

Contracting authorityPublic authority - central government GB-PPON: PJDG-6588-XDMM Seacole Building, 2 Marsham Street, London, London, SW1P 4DF

Official documents & specifications (4)

Official links; attachments are not copied

Tender pack and attachments

Notices published for this procedure

  • Tender notice tenderTender noticeUK4Tender notice on Find a Tender